Official-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$5.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-25 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

63% 53% +$181

Sports

26% 44% -$163

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$10

Politics

3% 0% -$152

Tech

3% 100% +$6

Crypto

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	8	$913	500	500	+0	No	+$27	05-12 21:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	3	$399	253	253	+0	No	+$52	06-08 07:54
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	11	$326	178	178	+0	No	+$2	05-12 21:06
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	5	$274	249	249	+0	Yes	+$40	07-08 19:13
will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	3	$232	200	200	+0	No	+$40	07-05 21:00
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?	4	$213	157	157	+0	No	+$10	05-18 14:31
will the announcers say weather during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250619	3	$163	222	120	+102	No	-$50	06-26 18:06
will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	2	$150	0	168	-168	No	-$18	02-24 16:26
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?	10	$147	272	272	+0	No	+$16	05-14 18:08
will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	3	$131	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	06-23 09:28
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by June 30?	3	$114	435	0	+435	Yes	+$321	05-21 19:35
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$6	02-14 04:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$85	303	0	+303	No	-$85	01-10 11:39
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?	3	$84	237	237	+0	Yes	-$32	06-04 14:32
nothing ever happens israel edition	1	$83	0	150	-150	No	-$67	01-12 11:32
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$78	0	142	-142	Yes	-$64	02-24 16:31
will the announcers say weather during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913600	3	$76	135	0	+135	No	-$76	07-05 18:23
Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	3	$70	136	0	+136	open	—	09-29 17:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$70	39	39	+0	No	+$3	03-27 14:24
Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	1	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	09-25 18:16
Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	3	$66	200	0	+200	open	—	09-25 10:20
will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$60	72	0	+72	No	+$12	07-02 09:53
will erling haaland score 7 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$60	91	0	+91	Yes	-$60	07-02 09:51
Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	1	$42	100	0	+100	open	—	09-22 18:25
ucl atm bog1 2026 01 28 atm	1	$39	50	0	+50	No	-$39	01-28 18:33
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?	1	$37	136	0	+136	No	-$37	05-29 17:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?	7	$35	55	33	+22	No	-$8	08-11 21:56
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$32	200	0	+200	Yes	-$32	01-11 14:53
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$32	30	30	+0	No	+$11	02-13 08:20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	1	$28	40	0	+40	Yes	+$12	06-26 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:14:42	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xb5e592…
10-25 11:14:02	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe848aa…
10-25 11:13:26	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa86210…
09-29 17:00:36	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x3cf895…
09-29 17:00:26	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x733b43…
09-29 17:00:11	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0x710dd6…
09-25 18:16:47	Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x449a86…
09-25 10:20:38	Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	71	33¢	$23	0xebd357…
09-22 18:25:42	Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x801b58…
09-22 18:19:52	Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x845e0f…
09-22 18:19:33	Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x5fec94…
09-17 07:23:51	Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x231f71…
09-17 07:23:21	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xaec838…
09-17 07:22:49	PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9ea8c1…
09-17 07:22:03	OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: OFI O/U 2.5 Corners	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x65d26d…
09-09 10:04:42	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x93d984…
09-09 10:04:06	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xec1380…
09-09 10:03:24	VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xcdf8f1…
09-07 12:45:03	Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe70537…
09-01 16:23:18	Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xb1d0d7…
09-01 16:22:58	Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: Southampton FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x695966…
08-24 16:43:13	Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x45106a…
08-11 21:56:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xb12612…
08-11 18:59:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xc5eef4…
08-11 18:18:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0xfe0715…
08-11 17:46:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3cc0d6…
08-11 17:31:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xb36802…
07-08 19:13:25	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	249	63¢	$157	0xc61e31…
07-05 21:00:46	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	SELL	126	68¢	$86	0x295c7e…
07-05 21:00:22	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	SELL	74	68¢	$50	0xce710c…
07-05 18:23:20	will the announcers say weather during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913600	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xc0a301…
07-05 18:22:50	will the announcers say weather during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913600	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfcbd64…
07-05 18:16:05	will the announcers say weather during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913600	Yes	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x0a9537…
07-02 18:55:46	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots mikel oyarzabal gte2	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3e839a…
07-02 16:55:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 shots bruno fernandes gte2	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x998154…
07-02 11:44:17	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots dani olmo gte2	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa189b6…
07-02 11:35:56	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots mikel oyarzabal gte2	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2a771e…
07-02 09:53:04	will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	72	84¢	$60	0xd0663e…
07-02 09:51:10	will erling haaland score 7 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0xcdac44…
07-01 20:01:17	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x797527…
06-30 17:31:32	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xa7b3ca…
06-27 15:39:02	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 shots ivan perisic gte2	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x04c4e4…
06-27 15:30:05	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 shots martin baturina gte1	Yes	BUY	55	41¢	$23	0x46d1c3…
06-26 18:10:55	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x961401…
06-26 18:06:07	will the announcers say weather during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250619	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x2fcf9b…
06-26 17:21:40	will the announcers say weather during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250619	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x0a4420…
06-26 17:00:58	will the announcers say weather during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250619	Yes	BUY	222	48¢	$107	0xa94133…
06-25 18:13:01	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x3fae4f…
06-25 18:10:02	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 goals daichi kamada gte1	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xcb6fe2…
06-25 18:08:20	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 shots daichi kamada gte2	Yes	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0xb22169…
06-23 09:28:47	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x998095…
06-22 12:53:10	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x7cc52f…
06-22 12:52:04	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x52b62f…
06-22 12:50:05	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xf49831…
06-12 13:37:30	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xf52fcf…
06-12 13:07:30	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x2682ff…
06-12 13:06:49	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x04992e…
06-12 13:05:34	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	84	33¢	$28	0x475b41…
06-12 01:04:31	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 shots son heungmin gte2	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0x94da81…
06-11 18:08:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5727e7…
06-11 16:20:18	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 shots patrik schick gte2	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8cbdba…
06-11 12:49:36	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x42bd56…
06-11 12:49:09	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 shots raul jimenez gte3	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x158869…
06-10 14:41:24	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x41e3b1…
06-10 13:34:39	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	No	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x601508…
06-10 13:34:21	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x3618c1…
06-08 07:54:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	253	89¢	$225	0x4af3b1…
06-04 19:02:28	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	77	11¢	$8	0xc2d94d…
06-04 18:21:19	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x375d1c…
06-04 18:15:39	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x26d39f…
06-04 15:58:00	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	98	14¢	$14	0x0b0a1d…
06-04 14:32:27	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	237	11¢	$26	0x3300d9…
06-04 14:14:09	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	102	14¢	$14	0x28d7df…
06-01 01:31:44	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbb35f5…
05-30 09:43:34	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	95	17¢	$16	0xf92c6f…
05-29 17:37:05	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	136	27¢	$37	0x2d0d28…
05-29 17:36:26	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0xb890ff…
05-29 16:43:40	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xa2c12d…
05-28 09:54:29	Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x0f315a…
05-27 20:21:41	Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfe9553…
05-25 14:06:20	Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x5e6dc2…
05-25 13:50:00	Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	115	10¢	$12	0x687b8e…
05-25 13:48:01	Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	171	13¢	$22	0x29286e…
05-24 15:50:07	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x4222c7…
05-24 13:51:16	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x2d56a9…
05-24 12:07:41	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xf1034b…
05-24 12:05:37	Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xae56fe…
05-24 12:04:38	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xdeed39…
05-24 12:02:11	Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb4e98a…
05-24 12:00:15	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd5afb0…
05-24 11:59:16	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6e1677…
05-24 11:57:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x213cea…
05-24 11:56:33	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x92dc76…
05-24 09:12:27	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	No	BUY	153	69¢	$106	0x144d55…
05-23 09:53:50	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x74d080…
05-23 09:53:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x487fe4…
05-21 19:35:02	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7ede16…
05-21 19:28:35	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	87	27¢	$23	0xc76b8e…
05-21 19:27:28	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	343	26¢	$89	0x2f5559…
05-18 14:31:46	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?	No	SELL	57	71¢	$40	0x6a4c44…