Violent-Reference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-26 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Crypto

37% 25% $-4

Politics

19% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	5	$284	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 03:50
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	6	$247	204	204	+0	open	—	03-20 09:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 09:42
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 02:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$150	125	125	+0	open	—	03-16 06:59
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	11	$135	119	119	+0	open	—	05-20 03:59
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	0	142	-142	open	—	05-31 17:29
was ilhan omar sprayed with pure water 783	1	$90	0	99	-99	open	—	01-28 08:28
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	5	$77	49	86	-36	open	—	06-22 19:14
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$76	108	108	+0	open	—	05-14 09:40
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$71	103	103	-0	open	—	05-18 09:00
btc updown 15m 1768114800	8	$70	69	69	+0	open	—	01-11 07:02
will valentine or valentines be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week february 22	2	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	02-15 12:32
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 14:48
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$68	0	90	-90	open	—	06-01 15:59
will jd vance clap between 8089 times during the state of the union	3	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	02-25 15:03
eth updown 15m 1772038800	3	$59	53	42	+11	open	—	02-25 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$58	70	70	+0	open	—	05-01 04:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$56	150	150	+0	open	—	03-24 16:55
btc updown 15m 1770256800	6	$55	84	84	+1	open	—	02-05 02:12
Over $2M committed to the Fabric public sale?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	01-26 17:02
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 06:29
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$45	1,360	60	+1,300	open	—	04-29 11:58
btc updown 15m 1770632100	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	02-09 10:25
btc updown 15m 1768127400	2	$42	80	0	+80	open	—	01-11 10:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	04-03 16:42
btc updown 15m 1770888600	3	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	02-12 09:36
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	3	$39	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 16:27
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	01-06 08:23
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?	2	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	03-14 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 15:51:57	f1 hungarian grand prix h2h leclerc vs norris 2026 07 26	Leclerc	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xe26f44…
07-26 09:59:58	f1 hungarian grand prix h2h leclerc vs norris 2026 07 26	Leclerc	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x31da45…
07-26 09:48:55	f1 hungarian grand prix h2h leclerc vs norris 2026 07 26	Leclerc	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x4db37d…
06-27 13:39:23	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe555de…
06-23 04:17:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xee8af4…
06-22 19:14:46	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	54¢	$32	0xa09f2f…
06-16 07:51:22	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcaaca8…
06-13 06:55:54	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe02ed9…
06-13 06:52:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x918b6b…
06-03 14:14:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa0cc0a…
06-01 15:59:57	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	75¢	$68	0xded8b4…
05-31 17:29:47	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x227e37…
05-31 15:42:54	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x05c281…
05-31 07:01:25	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd0b7f0…
05-30 17:37:51	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	138	81¢	$112	0xa35dba…
05-29 11:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xc75750…
05-29 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x02330b…
05-29 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x027ad5…
05-26 09:14:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x5f0926…
05-20 03:59:43	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xb110a0…
05-20 03:59:28	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x8b9b06…
05-20 00:44:01	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0f3716…
05-19 19:06:42	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x3a6d3b…
05-18 15:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x483321…
05-18 09:00:01	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0x0d25b3…
05-17 18:15:59	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x4cba73…
05-15 19:00:15	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	24	27¢	$7	0x237f8a…
05-15 18:34:40	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xb7657e…
05-14 19:15:13	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x0e373e…
05-14 17:13:48	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x6cb5b1…
05-14 15:00:52	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x3c9fce…
05-14 14:59:05	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x79eb98…
05-14 14:55:33	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xa44191…
05-14 11:59:27	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xb2472c…
05-14 09:40:19	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	75	45¢	$34	0x65b203…
05-14 09:38:13	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x91a390…
05-14 08:03:59	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xa92cbc…
05-10 19:21:45	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0fcd67…
05-10 19:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5fb926…
05-10 19:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x6dc52a…
05-10 19:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1f89e6…
05-10 16:34:23	Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0x35575b…
05-10 12:34:45	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x2474d8…
05-09 18:04:33	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xcfc86c…
05-06 14:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdf6b69…
05-06 09:50:10	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xa6078a…
05-05 12:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1d113e…
05-05 08:58:06	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	71	31¢	$22	0x3afe20…
05-04 07:50:56	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x10920c…
05-03 21:01:44	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x0fca1f…
05-03 19:42:10	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x2af737…
05-03 19:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe428e3…
05-03 18:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd01eae…
05-03 18:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x572424…
05-03 10:48:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x79ebbe…
05-01 05:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x45920d…
05-01 05:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x543f43…
05-01 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc95845…
05-01 05:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe1d474…
05-01 05:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1d2885…
05-01 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x715936…
05-01 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9b3d9d…
05-01 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0xd14230…
05-01 04:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xba9c6e…
05-01 04:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5f7bcf…
04-30 16:08:58	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xee583c…
04-30 12:30:26	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb36507…
04-29 11:58:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xb35ffd…
04-29 04:43:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbb4f4d…
04-29 04:24:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xd53878…
04-29 04:23:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xa62e27…
04-29 04:23:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xf3723a…
04-28 10:40:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x1c1007…
04-27 16:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd1c7b3…
04-27 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe9baed…
04-26 17:53:10	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	37	71¢	$26	0xc1ca71…
04-26 15:28:40	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xd3ad16…
04-26 12:49:58	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x6027e4…
04-26 10:05:22	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf75357…
04-26 10:04:56	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xd24782…
04-25 04:14:02	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x5f7dfc…
04-23 06:22:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x6a518b…
04-23 03:50:34	btc updown 15m 1776915900	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x94e6f3…
04-23 03:32:26	btc updown 15m 1776915000	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x13f0c8…
04-23 03:19:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x1b1650…
04-23 03:19:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xaf05fc…
04-22 14:14:00	btc updown 15m 1776867300	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x93d5e1…
04-22 04:44:08	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3b083b…
04-22 04:43:56	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x52f41c…
04-21 17:52:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5030f1…
04-21 17:51:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc2c8be…
04-21 17:23:42	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x5bbe15…
04-21 11:21:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x9f3377…
04-21 06:49:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xe87d33…
04-21 06:22:32	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfda077…
04-21 04:44:48	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xe3bbe5…
04-20 16:27:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$9	0x842ede…
04-20 14:39:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xcd7b10…
04-19 15:45:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x84e265…
04-19 12:45:04	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x607065…