Realized P&L
-$61
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
46
Trades
678
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$140
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-28 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
40% 55% -$7
Sports
35% 67% -$88
Other
22% 63% +$44
Crypto
3% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-10 09:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 $0 10-25 01:49
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-28 09:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $11 85¢ $10 -$1 10-22 15:33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$0 10-28 06:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$0 10-22 16:13
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +11 $9 91¢ $10 +$1 10-28 06:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $9 84¢ $10 +$1 10-20 17:09
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 10-15 14:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 -$1 10-10 03:03
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 10-27 08:50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +12 $10 83¢ $10 $0 10-22 23:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 89¢ $10 $0 10-04 18:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $10 83¢ $10 -$1 09-24 06:48
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 07-11 08:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-22 11:25
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-04 17:39
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 09-23 22:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-26 14:54
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 09-27 06:31
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 85¢ $0 -$1 10-28 04:19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-10 07:57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $2 72¢ $0 -$1 10-14 15:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$1 43¢ $0 +$1 10-25 21:29
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +0 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 10-05 04:06