Hopeful-Container — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,564

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-02 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

45% 83% +$75

Other

35% 50% $-3

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	153	$969	1,070	847	+223	open	—	03-27 21:53
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	153	$875	1,080	857	+223	open	—	03-27 21:53
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	42	$675	456	338	+118	open	—	05-31 03:04
us strikes iraq by february 28	62	$593	2,620	2,913	-293	open	—	03-04 00:53
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$558	702	702	+0	open	—	05-15 17:03
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	21	$414	310	508	-198	open	—	05-31 17:23
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	20	$311	171	171	+0	open	—	07-03 05:50
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	11	$310	508	488	+20	open	—	02-28 00:39
will xrp be the top performing crypto for the week of march 16	13	$270	166	171	-5	open	—	03-23 01:43
will bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of march 2	28	$243	213	172	+42	open	—	03-08 16:23
atp comesan pellegr 2026 02 25	16	$240	195	174	+21	open	—	02-25 20:58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	23	$229	157	157	+0	open	—	02-28 07:37
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	22	$224	205	174	+31	open	—	01-19 14:16
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$217	320	320	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$209	260	260	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	30	$200	130	175	-45	open	—	06-30 19:33
chi1 cdu cuc 2026 03 01 cdu	4	$198	763	763	+0	open	—	03-02 01:17
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	4	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 20:57
will israel strike iraq by february 28	6	$186	196	196	+0	open	—	02-28 09:20
will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$154	104	104	+0	open	—	01-15 19:20
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	33	$148	140	90	+50	open	—	02-28 07:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	38	$143	145	100	+45	open	—	02-28 06:48
Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	9	$132	151	151	+0	open	—	04-29 13:16
Will Trump say "Pulitzer" in May?	3	$130	70	70	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 16:39
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	15	$127	174	1	+173	open	—	04-15 20:18
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	23	$124	179	148	+31	open	—	01-19 14:18
will sam or altman be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	4	$118	126	0	+126	open	—	03-06 10:21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$117	200	35	+165	open	—	06-19 14:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	9	$114	671	670	+0	open	—	05-25 21:57
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	7	$112	90	90	+0	open	—	02-28 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 11:25:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xabf94b…
07-25 08:47:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x94be9e…
07-20 16:02:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x166898…
07-20 15:30:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x66726f…
07-19 08:35:36	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x4be41d…
07-18 19:50:09	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x7326b8…
07-16 06:20:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0b74b4…
07-14 19:38:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots pedro porro gte1	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ef435…
07-11 03:54:40	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x5eb400…
07-09 09:14:50	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x53723b…
07-08 16:46:50	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x2ed522…
07-07 18:19:46	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d1476…
07-07 14:42:59	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xdac295…
07-07 14:37:52	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x6f305f…
07-07 14:14:28	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xa5acd0…
07-07 11:34:32	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xd0300d…
07-07 01:54:43	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	13	58¢	$7	0x97b262…
07-07 00:08:25	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x6a3cd8…
07-07 00:06:25	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x5ed111…
07-06 23:39:26	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x3449ba…
07-06 23:39:07	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	30	42¢	$12	0x3ef4c7…
07-06 23:13:38	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x6b584b…
07-06 23:03:58	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x483d59…
07-06 21:03:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8111ab…
07-06 20:57:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xba6db0…
07-06 15:36:19	moscow air traffic suspended by july 15 20260702184246098	Yes	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0xe70d54…
07-06 15:09:28	moscow air traffic suspended by july 15 20260702184246098	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf857dd…
07-06 14:54:10	moscow air traffic suspended by july 15 20260702184246098	Yes	SELL	108	35¢	$38	0xa02c3a…
07-05 13:23:04	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc72253…
07-04 18:06:41	moscow air traffic suspended by july 15 20260702184246098	Yes	BUY	66	37¢	$25	0x34a4d2…
07-04 18:02:38	moscow air traffic suspended by july 15 20260702184246098	Yes	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x8e4ff3…
07-04 01:24:11	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb57612…
07-04 00:38:26	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x3ee94e…
07-03 11:22:16	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x67253d…
07-03 05:50:25	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x2c9f45…
07-03 05:23:22	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x3622bf…
07-02 22:45:25	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x42f19c…
07-02 22:45:25	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2c4938…
07-02 16:16:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x05c94a…
07-02 13:40:43	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x07c755…
07-02 11:33:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb13e9e…
07-02 11:27:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x966726…
07-02 09:17:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5089d5…
07-02 08:39:05	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0bdc69…
07-02 08:36:28	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x652979…
07-02 02:07:56	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5535c8…
07-02 01:52:44	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe847eb…
07-02 01:11:59	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4668ab…
07-01 08:28:56	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x5b747e…
07-01 07:21:28	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe5e2e7…
07-01 07:20:52	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x24b77e…
07-01 07:20:20	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x07ea9d…
07-01 07:19:50	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x4f055b…
06-30 19:33:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0x1a48e8…
06-30 16:55:37	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfd2184…
06-30 07:27:23	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe630e9…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe9cadb…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe0fa03…
06-29 03:40:43	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfb5e39…
06-29 03:25:25	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x0bc584…
06-28 20:38:17	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3098e6…
06-28 20:37:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x67bcf4…
06-28 20:37:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x5f549d…
06-28 20:37:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x387569…
06-28 20:36:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcdbe66…
06-28 20:02:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa93daa…
06-28 14:53:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x2d38d7…
06-28 10:07:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x21d165…
06-28 08:32:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe0e0a1…
06-28 06:32:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3e131d…
06-28 06:23:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x2e1523…
06-28 06:18:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x892269…
06-28 06:15:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xccd10a…
06-28 06:10:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x613e34…
06-28 06:03:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2a5f0b…
06-27 23:49:22	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x58e28d…
06-27 23:28:47	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x2ed41b…
06-27 23:25:38	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xd7a64a…
06-27 23:22:41	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x020772…
06-27 23:22:37	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x7b2476…
06-27 23:06:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xdcd6dc…
06-27 22:40:02	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc4aa0b…
06-27 22:38:49	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xdbe0e7…
06-27 22:26:08	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xdafbf6…
06-27 22:23:25	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x6a828e…
06-27 22:13:02	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x2c68e6…
06-27 21:41:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf5c65d…
06-27 21:40:29	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xf430c6…
06-27 21:38:20	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xa1833c…
06-27 18:53:44	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x1b2611…
06-27 18:14:38	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xdbc0ca…
06-27 18:01:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0xf79c5f…
06-27 13:36:11	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	SELL	45	62¢	$28	0x351e9b…
06-27 10:35:35	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xb683e7…
06-27 09:50:50	iran successfully targets shipping on june 30 20260625225210241	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x5c708a…
06-27 09:42:22	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x9e0d9c…
06-27 09:40:01	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x520e59…
06-27 09:38:31	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x87c3a7…
06-27 07:09:17	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe68662…
06-27 07:06:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5e6f3c…