Realized P&L
+$71
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
35
Trades
3,505
lifetime
Volume
$26.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$290
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
45% 83% +$75
Other
34% 50% $-3
Crypto
16%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +110 $92 83¢ $91 $-1 06-26 04:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 06-13 20:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +45 $39 86¢ $39 +$0 06-30 07:27
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +30 $22 93¢ $28 +$6 06-01 15:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +130 $75 16¢ $21 $-54 06-28 20:37
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +20 $17 93¢ $19 +$2 06-15 19:01
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$1 06-20 16:26
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No -11 $-11 94¢ $-11 +$0 06-10 19:55
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -10 $-11 99¢ $-10 +$1 06-30 16:55
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-30 10:50
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 16:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +150 $18 $0 $-17 06-17 08:45
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +1 $0 $0 $-0 05-29 19:31