Realized P&L
+$71
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
35
Trades
3,562
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$249
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
45% 83% +$75
Other
35% 50% $-3
Crypto
16%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +98 $80 95¢ $92 +$12 07-18 19:50
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 07-09 09:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +45 $39 92¢ $41 +$2 06-30 07:27
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +30 $22 97¢ $29 +$7 06-01 15:00
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No -24 $-23 97¢ $-23 $-0 07-19 08:35
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-30 10:50
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 16:44
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +1 $0 $0 $-0 05-29 19:31