Hopeful-Container 0x727e81…cf8b9d
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$825
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved (90d)
126
Trades (90d)
576
4,415 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.76K
$36.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Politics
49% 71% +$1,722
Other
36% 72% +$1,948
Crypto
11% 83% +$166
Sports
3% 56% +$25
Tech
1% 100% +$43
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +300 $285 98¢ $295 +$10 10-21 23:38
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $128 64¢ $129 +$1 10-20 09:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +130 $124 96¢ $124 +$1 08-23 19:33
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +125 $110 97¢ $122 +$12 06-30 07:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +120 $108 92¢ $111 +$3 10-05 08:35
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +110 $106 97¢ $107 +$0 10-24 19:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +95 $83 98¢ $93 +$10 06-30 07:27
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +74 $71 98¢ $73 +$3 10-08 21:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -70 -$65 97¢ $-68 -$3 06-03 02:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$3 05-23 13:38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 10-08 17:00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +40 $38 97¢ $39 +$0 10-08 19:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $26 92¢ $27 +$1 10-01 09:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +30 $26 86¢ $26 -$1 10-08 12:22
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $28 12¢ $23 -$5 09-30 08:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +30 $18 68¢ $21 +$2 10-10 17:39
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +50 $22 40¢ $20 -$2 10-24 01:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 08-24 14:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$4 10-07 23:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 08-15 12:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $12 34¢ $17 +$5 10-06 18:55
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +20 $18 76¢ $15 -$2 08-28 07:25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +45 $18 30¢ $14 -$4 08-25 10:08
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +60 $15 20¢ $12 -$3 08-28 06:10
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +336 -$28 3¢ $12 +$39 10-20 20:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$15 10¢ $-10 +$5 05-08 06:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 08-18 22:01
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-08 07:45
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 05-22 21:46
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +11 $10 82¢ $9 -$1 10-05 06:43