Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 23?
No won
Total volume
$1,104
Trades
157
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-23
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-22 18:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.0¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $531
vs crowd: 10% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $88 | $619 | $532 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $12 | $267 | $254 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 18 | $6 | $524 | $518 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $1 | $112 | $110 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $8 | $63 | $54 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 15 | $85 | $205 | $120 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +207 | $196 | $196 | 7 | 10-21 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 10-20 12:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +186 | $47 | $47 | 5 | 10-16 15:49 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | +122 | $3 | $3 | 7 | 10-22 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-20 18:10 |
| Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-22 04:47 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +80 | $63 | $63 | 4 | 10-17 18:43 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +64 | $54 | $54 | 6 | 10-20 13:05 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +52 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-20 18:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x7248…7e72 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-20 18:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +45 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +42 | $30 | $38 | 2 | 10-22 12:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +39 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 10-20 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | +37 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-21 20:42 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +36 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-20 19:23 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-20 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc04e…c1f9 | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 10-20 12:33 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-20 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…35ca | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-20 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1b5…5d85 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-20 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +23 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-22 04:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d0d…2e6d | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-20 18:10 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-18 11:26 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-16 05:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe949…dea6 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-20 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-17 18:43 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-20 18:10 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-18 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-17 18:43 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb285…b59b | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-16 04:10 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-18 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-16 04:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-20 18:10 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 11:24 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-16 15:49 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-22 18:29 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +8 | $3 | $5 | 4 | 10-18 22:06 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +8 | $4 | $61 | 7 | 10-16 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-16 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-17 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-15 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-16 07:48 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-16 04:10 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | +1 | $2 | $3 | 2 | 10-22 18:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 18:29:36 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1c8ff… |
| 10-22 18:29:36 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1c8ff… |
| 10-22 12:57:23 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd59bf3… |
| 10-22 12:57:23 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd59bf3… |
| 10-22 06:01:47 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd571a2… |
| 10-22 06:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd571a2… |
| 10-22 04:47:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x615c71… |
| 10-22 04:47:33 | Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | Yes | BUY | 82 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x615c71… |
| 10-22 04:47:33 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 85 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x615c71… |
| 10-22 00:55:12 | Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc33cdf… |
| 10-22 00:55:12 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc33cdf… |
| 10-21 23:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf409fb… |
| 10-21 23:54:12 | Hopeful-Container 0x727e…8b9d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf409fb… |
| 10-21 20:42:00 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bf044… |
| 10-21 20:42:00 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bf044… |
| 10-21 20:42:00 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bf044… |
| 10-21 20:41:38 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x057a70… |
| 10-21 20:41:38 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x057a70… |
| 10-21 20:28:15 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4799b… |
| 10-21 20:28:15 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4799b… |
| 10-21 20:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb7c17… |
| 10-21 20:22:15 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb7c17… |
| 10-21 11:27:41 | (anonymous) 0xf440…b009 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3008f7… |
| 10-21 11:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3008f7… |
| 10-20 19:23:05 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b7fe… |
| 10-20 19:23:05 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xb3b7fe… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x984577… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x984577… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x7248…7e72 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x1d0c9e… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x984577… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x9d0d…2e6d | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x5e134c… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e134c… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xa6fc3b… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x984577… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x827d…c558 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d0c9e… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x984577… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x984577… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6fc3b… |
| 10-20 18:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6fc3b… |
| 10-20 13:05:00 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa4b8eb… |
| 10-20 13:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4b8eb… |
| 10-20 12:37:26 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa80b01… |
| 10-20 12:37:26 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa80b01… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x017977… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ec41f… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x017977… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbd724… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf479e9… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xc04e…c1f9 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xdbd724… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfdd06e… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf84e47… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xdcdc26… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcdc26… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…35ca | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xf479e9… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd08f2… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x7248…7e72 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xfdd06e… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x0ec41f… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xc1b5…5d85 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x017977… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xf84e47… |
| 10-20 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xe949…dea6 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xcd08f2… |
| 10-20 08:37:04 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b1991… |
| 10-20 08:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b1991… |
| 10-20 08:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b1991… |
| 10-19 20:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8992… |
| 10-19 20:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8992… |
| 10-19 19:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6db92… |
| 10-19 19:14:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xa6db92… |
| 10-19 03:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x7f8cbb… |
| 10-19 03:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7f8cbb… |
| 10-19 03:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f8cbb… |
| 10-18 22:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbdc7fd… |
| 10-18 22:06:05 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbdc7fd… |
| 10-18 22:06:05 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbdc7fd… |
| 10-18 22:06:05 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x840716… |
| 10-18 22:06:05 | (anonymous) 0xf440…b009 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x840716… |
| 10-18 11:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa012c4… |
| 10-18 11:26:41 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa012c4… |
| 10-18 11:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa012c4… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xf074c6… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xf074c6… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xaee04d… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x856eea… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x6f11ab… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaee04d… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x856eea… |
| 10-18 11:24:03 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x6f11ab… |
| 10-17 18:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xf41e50… |
| 10-17 18:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x270cfd… |
| 10-17 18:43:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf41e50… |
| 10-17 18:43:48 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x270cfd… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xc6880a… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xc6880a… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x2beb9a… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x725617… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xcf5454… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xcf5454… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x725617… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2beb9a… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x2beb9a… |
| 10-17 18:43:47 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xcf5454… |