(anonymous) 0xf44076…aeb009 Create alert
whale hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$27.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.9K
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
256
Trades
3,748
lifetime
Volume
$940.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$30.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-30
last 11-05 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
66% 60% +$26,526
Other
33% 39% +$1,280
Tech
1% 67% -$398
Crypto
0% 0% -$127
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +51,094 $1,940 13¢ $6.5K +$4,524 10-31 04:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +15,266 $3,506 34¢ $5.1K +$1,608 10-29 23:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +5,955 $3,925 74¢ $4.4K +$512 11-05 10:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +1,623 $400 99¢ $1.6K +$1,203 11-01 21:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +1,874 $392 85¢ $1.6K +$1,201 11-03 03:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,419 $986 60¢ $1.5K +$478 10-21 03:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,354 -$2,108 26¢ $1.2K +$3,260 11-05 14:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +1,124 $835 100¢ $1.1K +$288 11-03 03:39
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +3,025 $406 32¢ $953 +$547 10-12 13:15
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +849 $508 100¢ $849 +$340 11-03 04:09
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +2,264 $686 34¢ $758 +$72 10-14 12:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +733 $410 100¢ $731 +$320 11-03 20:47
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 No +1,000 $430 66¢ $660 +$230 10-17 10:39
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%? Yes +602 $125 97¢ $584 +$459 10-21 11:25
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +19,765 $455 3¢ $504 +$49 10-08 17:57
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,210 $908 39¢ $478 -$430 10-01 08:49
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +423 $118 100¢ $423 +$304 10-28 17:28
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,927 $413 5¢ $369 -$45 11-05 20:46
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? No — +368 $279 90¢ $329 +$50 10-25 23:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +9,904 $992 3¢ $317 -$675 11-04 15:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,097 $277 8¢ $159 -$117 09-29 00:01
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,194 $109 1¢ $100 -$9 11-03 04:40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +887 $319 6¢ $49 -$270 10-31 13:37
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +877 $325 5¢ $47 -$277 10-31 01:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +604 $290 8¢ $45 -$245 09-21 20:35
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +51 -$3,787 36¢ $18 +$3,805 10-17 18:03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +686 $218 1¢ $7 -$210 10-31 01:43
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 09-28 05:33
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,007 0¢ $2 -$1,006 11-05 20:57
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? Yes +117 $41 1¢ $1 -$40 11-03 02:40