Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
30.5%
Resolved
271
Trades
16,793
lifetime
Volume
$95.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$704
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-10 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
48% 19% +$59
Sports
44% 20% $-1,414
Politics
5% 50% +$48
Crypto
3% 4% +$123
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1638 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -390 $-328 87¢ $-341 $-13 06-06 11:30
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -325 $-257 72¢ $-236 +$21 06-06 12:57
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -61 $-57 76¢ $-46 +$11 06-09 20:05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -25 $-23 96¢ $-24 $-1 06-09 23:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -25 $-23 95¢ $-24 $-0 06-06 03:13
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +9 $5 66¢ $6 +$0 06-09 17:22
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +7 $3 66¢ $5 +$2 05-31 04:08
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Yes +600 $5 $4 $-1 06-06 03:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5 $2 76¢ $4 +$2 06-07 18:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $3 38¢ $4 +$0 06-09 09:36
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +10 $5 31¢ $3 $-2 06-04 07:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +60 $3 $3 $-0 06-03 04:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -11 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$1 06-06 17:16
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 35¢ $-2 +$0 06-06 22:39
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-09 17:47
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 15:53
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +27 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 21:41