Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
30.5%
Resolved
271
Trades
20,943
lifetime
Volume
$105.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$180
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-20 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
50% 19% +$59
Sports
41% 20% $-1,414
Politics
6% 50% +$48
Crypto
3% 4% +$123
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -66 $-33 82¢ $-54 $-21 06-17 16:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -48 $-34 72¢ $-34 $-1 06-12 16:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -25 $-23 96¢ $-24 $-1 06-06 03:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -240 $-12 $-13 $-1 06-17 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 $-13 74¢ $-12 +$2 07-09 01:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-24 16:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $2 46¢ $7 +$5 06-28 15:25
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 06-11 20:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $2 60¢ $4 +$2 06-29 02:21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 68¢ $4 +$0 06-26 00:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +5 $3 70¢ $3 +$1 06-30 13:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 06-29 19:49
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 20¢ $-2 +$2 06-12 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 06-30 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-30 04:48
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +27 $1 $1 $-0 06-28 21:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-24 00:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +6 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-21 14:10
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-09 15:53
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +7 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 19:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $6 $0 $-6 06-16 17:34
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +0 $-0 80¢ $0 +$0 07-09 01:12
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +0 $-1 52¢ $0 +$1 07-10 12:38