Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
30.5%
Resolved
271
Trades
19,281
lifetime
Volume
$100.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$304
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-30 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
49% 19% +$59
Sports
42% 20% $-1,414
Politics
6% 50% +$48
Crypto
3% 4% +$123
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1638 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -66 $-61 99¢ $-66 $-4 06-12 16:35
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -66 $-33 76¢ $-50 $-17 06-17 16:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -48 $-34 84¢ $-40 $-6 06-12 16:35
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -25 $-23 99¢ $-25 $-2 06-09 23:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -25 $-23 96¢ $-24 $-0 06-06 03:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -240 $-12 $-13 $-1 06-17 16:03
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-24 16:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +16 $1 60¢ $10 +$8 06-30 15:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-24 16:49
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 06-11 20:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-24 16:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-8 100¢ $-5 +$3 06-24 16:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 06-19 08:53
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 06-24 10:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $6 36¢ $4 $-2 06-16 17:34
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 33¢ $-3 +$0 06-12 16:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-26 00:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 06-30 13:15
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $-0 06-28 15:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 06-29 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $2 18¢ $3 +$0 06-28 15:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-30 14:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $2 31¢ $2 +$0 06-29 02:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +9 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-30 04:48
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +7 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 06-25 19:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-24 00:23
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? Yes +110 $2 $1 $-1 06-22 22:43
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 15:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +6 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-21 14:10
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Yes +600 $5 $1 $-5 06-06 03:13