Realized P&L (7d)
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
47.1%
Resolved (7d)
964
Trades (7d)
1,013
44,154 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.12K
$194.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$343
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-27 10:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
54% 41% -$1,669
Sports
25% 38% -$5,083
Crypto
17% 45% -$297
Politics
4% 30% -$800
Tech
0% 24% -$172
Pop-Culture
0% 56% -$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 824 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$5 06-06 03:13
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No -50 -$44 95¢ $-48 -$3 05-15 10:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -48 -$27 90¢ $-43 -$16 07-22 07:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -48 -$34 81¢ $-39 -$5 06-12 16:35
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -25 -$22 97¢ $-24 -$2 05-15 05:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 -$13 82¢ $-13 +$0 07-09 01:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -14 -$10 81¢ $-11 -$1 06-12 16:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 $0 06-24 16:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -75 -$9 11¢ $-8 +$1 06-17 16:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -8 -$6 86¢ $-7 -$1 06-12 16:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +6 $4 100¢ $6 +$1 10-19 17:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$3 88¢ $-4 -$2 07-22 16:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 10-20 12:55
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +6 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 10-21 16:05
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $3 81¢ $3 +$1 08-07 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up +4 $2 78¢ $3 +$2 10-27 09:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 10-27 08:20
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +4 $2 64¢ $3 +$0 10-26 13:59
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes -50 -$1 5¢ $-2 -$1 07-21 19:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -100 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 07-21 19:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 06-28 16:31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +5 $2 36¢ $2 -$1 10-10 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-27 09:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $0 06-26 02:18
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -25 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$1 07-21 19:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1 -$3 54¢ $0 +$4 06-12 16:35
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -9 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-06 13:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 $0 07-21 19:58
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +0 -$1 86¢ $0 +$1 07-21 19:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +0 -$2 92¢ $0 +$2 07-21 19:58