Realized P&L (30d)
+$460
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved (30d)
10,147
Trades (30d)
10,311
44,242 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$45.6K
$194.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$376
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-28 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
54% 41% -$1,699
Sports
25% 38% -$5,083
Crypto
17% 45% -$356
Politics
4% 31% -$802
Tech
0% 24% -$172
Pop-Culture
0% 56% -$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 824 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$5 06-06 03:13
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No -50 -$44 95¢ $-48 -$3 05-15 10:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -48 -$27 90¢ $-43 -$16 07-22 07:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -48 -$34 80¢ $-39 -$5 06-12 16:35
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -25 -$22 97¢ $-24 -$2 05-15 05:29
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +17 $3 92¢ $16 +$13 10-27 13:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 -$13 82¢ $-13 +$0 07-09 01:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -14 -$10 79¢ $-11 -$1 06-12 16:34
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 Over +14 $7 74¢ $10 +$3 10-27 23:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 $0 06-24 16:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -75 -$9 12¢ $-9 +$0 06-17 16:03
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 Over +10 $5 79¢ $8 +$3 10-27 22:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -8 -$6 86¢ $-7 -$1 06-12 16:35
Spread: Celtics (-12.5) Nets +7 $3 96¢ $6 +$3 10-27 22:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-27 05:21
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$3 88¢ $-4 -$2 07-22 16:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 10-27 08:20
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $3 81¢ $3 +$1 08-07 10:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $4 50¢ $3 -$1 10-20 12:55
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes -50 -$1 5¢ $-2 -$1 07-21 19:59
Nets vs. Celtics Nets +7 $3 29¢ $2 -$1 10-28 01:14
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +4 $2 46¢ $2 $0 10-26 13:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -100 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 07-21 19:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 06-28 16:31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +5 $2 36¢ $2 -$1 10-10 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-27 09:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $0 06-26 02:18
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -25 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$1 07-21 19:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1 -$3 56¢ $0 +$4 06-12 16:35
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -9 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-06 13:32