Realized P&L (30d)
+$298
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved (30d)
9,724
Trades (30d)
10,001
44,473 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$44.2K
$194.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$371
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-29 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Other
54% 41% -$1,708
Sports
25% 38% -$5,063
Crypto
17% 45% -$388
Politics
4% 31% -$802
Tech
0% 24% -$172
Pop-Culture
0% 56% -$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 824 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$5 06-06 03:13
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No -50 -$44 96¢ $-48 -$3 05-15 10:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -48 -$27 90¢ $-43 -$16 07-22 07:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -48 -$34 82¢ $-39 -$6 06-12 16:35
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -25 -$22 97¢ $-24 -$2 05-15 05:29
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +17 $3 98¢ $17 +$14 10-27 13:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 -$13 82¢ $-13 +$0 07-09 01:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -14 -$10 82¢ $-11 -$1 06-12 16:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 -$9 96¢ $-10 -$1 06-24 16:49
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$2 10-28 08:53
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -75 -$9 11¢ $-8 +$1 06-17 16:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -8 -$6 87¢ $-7 -$1 06-12 16:35
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England England +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-29 01:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 10-27 08:20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$3 90¢ $-4 -$2 07-22 16:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 10-20 12:55
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 08-07 10:36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +7 $3 47¢ $3 +$0 10-28 14:03
Cavaliers vs. Hawks Cavaliers +5 $3 48¢ $3 $0 10-29 13:01
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs BetBoom Team +8 $3 32¢ $2 $0 10-29 12:04
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes -50 -$1 4¢ $-2 -$1 07-21 19:59
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +4 $2 55¢ $2 $0 10-26 13:59
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +5 $2 38¢ $2 -$1 10-10 12:09
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $3 32¢ $2 -$1 06-28 16:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -100 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 07-21 19:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 30¢ $1 $0 10-27 09:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? No — +59 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-29 14:29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $0 06-26 02:18
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -25 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$1 07-21 19:59
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -9 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-06 13:32