(anonymous) 0xc04eba…90c1f9 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.97K
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
1,574
Trades
8,033
lifetime
Volume
$642.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$99.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 11-15 03:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
47% 79% +$3,735
Other
46% 81% -$1,892
Sports
4% 75% +$21
Tech
3% 77% +$913
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +22,849 $17,103 96¢ $22.0K +$4,913 11-06 14:37
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +16,558 $10,852 64¢ $10.7K -$197 11-06 09:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +17,364 $6,070 34¢ $6.0K -$80 11-06 09:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +11,267 $5,987 42¢ $4.8K -$1,198 11-11 08:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,271 $4,185 91¢ $3.9K -$310 11-06 14:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +22,793 $6,131 14¢ $3.1K -$3,054 11-06 14:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,007 $2,121 100¢ $3.0K +$883 11-02 17:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,130 $1,496 93¢ $2.9K +$1,414 11-11 10:29
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,274 $2,847 87¢ $2.8K -$7 11-06 15:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes -6,906 -$3,229 40¢ $-2797 +$432 11-11 14:20
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,766 $2,508 98¢ $2.7K +$214 11-09 19:54
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +3,584 $2,603 76¢ $2.7K +$103 11-08 11:13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2,823 $1,797 95¢ $2.7K +$877 11-05 15:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +2,819 $2,408 94¢ $2.7K +$256 11-09 21:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +4,395 $1,916 60¢ $2.6K +$699 11-11 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,600 $2,302 96¢ $2.5K +$181 11-09 19:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +2,665 $2,034 92¢ $2.5K +$419 11-10 20:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +2,490 $1,996 94¢ $2.3K +$332 11-09 21:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,843 $1,632 99¢ $1.8K +$192 11-09 12:45
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,886 $1,740 92¢ $1.7K +$4 11-06 15:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -18,121 -$220 9¢ $-1676 -$1,457 11-06 06:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +1,630 $1,239 95¢ $1.6K +$317 11-09 22:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,200 $1,324 68¢ $1.5K +$161 11-09 22:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,322 $1,319 100¢ $1.3K -$1 11-10 23:21
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,308 $1,307 100¢ $1.3K -$2 11-11 10:29
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,308 $1,300 99¢ $1.3K +$1 11-11 10:29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,308 $1,299 99¢ $1.3K -$3 11-11 10:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes -1,477 -$1,175 88¢ $-1292 -$117 11-10 22:07
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,282 $1,280 100¢ $1.3K +$1 11-10 23:21
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,224 $1,223 100¢ $1.2K -$1 11-06 13:13