Realized P&L
-$99
Unrealized P&L
+$1.43K
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
639
Trades
4,631
lifetime
Volume
$301.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$116.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 10-26 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
48% 74% +$124
Other
47% 87% -$333
Sports
4% 100% +$128
Tech
1% 50% -$15
Crypto
0% 90% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +24,859 $17,323 70¢ $17.5K +$203 10-26 17:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +13,749 $10,903 94¢ $13.0K +$2,075 10-26 10:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +13,578 $12,083 92¢ $12.6K +$476 10-26 17:14
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +13,155 $12,025 81¢ $10.6K -$1,389 10-26 10:05
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,185 $8,967 100¢ $9.2K +$185 10-26 10:05
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +22,700 $6,906 30¢ $6.9K +$17 10-26 17:57
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +13,133 $4,170 24¢ $3.1K -$1,024 10-26 10:05
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,601 $2,827 64¢ $3.0K +$125 10-25 17:06
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,933 $2,924 100¢ $2.9K +$6 10-26 10:05
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,933 $2,926 100¢ $2.9K +$3 10-26 10:05
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,929 $2,920 100¢ $2.9K -$4 10-26 06:46
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,983 $2,835 68¢ $2.7K -$106 10-25 02:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2,545 $1,909 92¢ $2.3K +$429 10-23 02:44
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +2,641 $1,715 84¢ $2.2K +$490 10-26 03:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,549 $2,010 78¢ $2.0K -$9 10-19 14:12
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +1,687 $1,614 99¢ $1.7K +$54 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +1,761 $1,651 93¢ $1.6K -$16 10-23 03:07
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,502 $1,595 64¢ $1.6K +$19 10-20 19:01
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,748 $1,461 90¢ $1.6K +$103 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,815 $1,623 86¢ $1.6K -$72 10-20 21:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,666 $1,543 92¢ $1.5K -$7 10-26 09:18
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,748 $1,482 88¢ $1.5K +$47 10-26 16:22
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,512 $1,510 100¢ $1.5K +$0 10-23 05:46
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,687 $1,556 89¢ $1.5K -$55 10-26 16:22
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -2,159 -$1,504 70¢ $-1501 +$4 10-26 14:13
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,197 $1,635 36¢ $1.5K -$145 10-25 17:06
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,488 $1,487 100¢ $1.5K -$1 10-24 10:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,522 $1,486 97¢ $1.5K -$5 10-19 14:12
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,504 $1,460 96¢ $1.5K -$9 10-26 16:22
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,468 $1,415 99¢ $1.5K +$36 10-25 20:30