(anonymous) 0xc04eba…90c1f9 Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$239
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (30d)
948
Trades (30d)
6,397
6,395 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$471.0K
$470.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$112.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 11-02 19:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
50% 72% +$84
Other
44% 87% -$782
Sports
4% 75% +$21
Tech
1% 85% +$918
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +17,367 $13,095 78¢ $13.6K +$538 11-01 17:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,205 $7,793 74¢ $7.6K -$191 10-31 12:14
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +11,114 $6,940 66¢ $7.3K +$339 11-02 13:21
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +10,143 $6,524 66¢ $6.7K +$175 11-02 09:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +8,858 $5,825 60¢ $5.4K -$466 11-02 09:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,142 $4,445 78¢ $4.8K +$376 11-02 21:07
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +6,560 $4,687 72¢ $4.7K +$3 11-02 03:28
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +4,566 $4,071 94¢ $4.3K +$198 11-02 20:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +4,333 $4,093 96¢ $4.2K +$64 11-02 18:24
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +4,566 $4,072 89¢ $4.0K -$25 11-02 20:54
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +4,101 $3,949 96¢ $3.9K -$4 11-02 20:54
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +11,114 $4,078 34¢ $3.8K -$244 11-02 13:21
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,348 $3,481 82¢ $3.6K +$106 11-01 12:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,631 $3,549 98¢ $3.6K +$10 10-29 07:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +8,858 $3,046 39¢ $3.4K +$395 11-02 09:00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +9,711 $3,489 34¢ $3.3K -$236 11-02 09:41
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +4,566 $3,362 66¢ $3.0K -$326 11-02 20:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,606 $2,805 28¢ $2.9K +$111 10-31 12:14
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,846 $2,454 88¢ $2.5K +$46 10-29 03:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +12,089 $2,969 20¢ $2.5K -$491 10-31 14:33
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,255 $2,114 97¢ $2.2K +$83 10-27 01:06
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,007 $2,121 72¢ $2.2K +$59 11-02 17:52
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +1,954 $1,894 96¢ $1.9K -$9 11-02 20:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,163 -$1,544 80¢ $-1719 -$176 11-01 17:39
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +2,586 $1,668 66¢ $1.7K +$26 11-01 10:51
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,726 $1,671 95¢ $1.6K -$38 10-28 23:30
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,759 $1,618 92¢ $1.6K -$8 10-28 04:52
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,815 $1,623 88¢ $1.6K -$35 10-20 21:40
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,819 $1,546 85¢ $1.5K -$4 10-28 04:52
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5,373 $1,562 29¢ $1.5K -$30 11-02 03:28