(anonymous) 0xc04eba…90c1f9
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$295
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved (90d)
925
Trades (90d)
6,146
6,146 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$451.3K
$451.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$93.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 11-02 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
49% 74% +$140
Other
45% 87% -$782
Sports
4% 75% +$21
Tech
1% 85% +$918
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +17,367 $13,095 78¢ $13.5K +$365 11-01 17:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,205 $7,793 72¢ $7.4K -$395 10-31 12:14
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +9,708 $6,233 65¢ $6.3K +$102 11-01 16:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +6,803 $4,510 62¢ $4.2K -$292 11-01 13:26
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5,586 $3,995 70¢ $3.9K -$85 11-01 17:18
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +5,802 $3,705 64¢ $3.7K -$21 11-01 18:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,631 $3,549 99¢ $3.6K +$30 10-29 07:13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,348 $3,481 80¢ $3.5K +$19 11-01 12:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +9,276 $3,350 36¢ $3.3K -$57 11-01 16:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,606 $2,805 30¢ $3.2K +$430 10-31 12:14
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +3,245 $2,845 90¢ $2.9K +$59 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +3,245 $2,885 89¢ $2.9K +$15 11-01 00:31
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +2,913 $2,732 95¢ $2.8K +$23 10-28 03:29
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,780 $2,677 96¢ $2.7K -$6 11-01 00:31
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +12,089 $2,969 22¢ $2.6K -$370 10-31 14:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +6,803 $2,321 38¢ $2.6K +$258 11-01 13:26
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,846 $2,454 89¢ $2.5K +$79 10-29 03:08
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +3,245 $2,493 74¢ $2.4K -$75 11-01 00:31
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,255 $2,114 98¢ $2.2K +$97 10-27 01:06
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +5,802 $2,048 36¢ $2.1K +$70 11-01 18:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,502 $1,595 72¢ $1.8K +$194 10-20 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,163 -$1,544 78¢ $-1698 -$154 11-01 17:39
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,726 $1,671 94¢ $1.6K -$45 10-28 23:30
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,759 $1,618 92¢ $1.6K +$4 10-28 04:52
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,815 $1,623 86¢ $1.6K -$63 10-20 21:40
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,819 $1,546 85¢ $1.5K -$6 10-28 04:52
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1,559 $1,394 94¢ $1.5K +$63 10-20 21:11
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +2,586 $1,668 55¢ $1.4K -$259 11-01 10:51
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +1,759 $1,486 78¢ $1.4K -$123 10-28 04:52
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +4,399 $1,289 30¢ $1.3K +$9 11-01 17:18