Realized P&L
+$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.66K
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
1,342
Trades
6,788
lifetime
Volume
$537.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$75.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 11-05 18:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Politics
51% 80% +$3,812
Other
43% 83% -$1,289
Sports
4% 75% +$21
Tech
2% 85% +$918
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +19,023 $14,503 66¢ $12.7K -$1,852 11-05 16:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,910 $7,594 67¢ $7.9K +$338 11-03 13:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +18,967 $4,905 36¢ $6.9K +$2,018 11-05 16:04
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +12,716 $4,769 34¢ $4.3K -$509 11-03 13:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,631 $3,549 99¢ $3.6K +$59 10-29 07:13
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +3,190 $2,941 96¢ $3.0K +$107 11-05 18:15
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,157 $2,988 93¢ $2.9K -$58 11-05 18:15
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,007 $2,121 97¢ $2.9K +$785 11-02 17:52
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,250 $2,776 82¢ $2.7K -$121 11-05 18:15
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,846 $2,454 91¢ $2.6K +$124 10-29 03:08
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +3,190 $2,645 80¢ $2.6K -$78 11-05 18:15
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2,823 $1,797 85¢ $2.4K +$603 11-05 15:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,846 $1,262 72¢ $2.1K +$801 11-05 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,688 $203 98¢ $1.7K +$1,451 11-03 12:56
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +2,037 $850 80¢ $1.6K +$774 11-03 09:33
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +3,190 $1,819 48¢ $1.5K -$304 11-05 18:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,638 $1,116 82¢ $1.4K +$236 10-31 01:26
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,445 $1,335 92¢ $1.3K +$2 11-05 05:40
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,309 $354 99¢ $1.3K +$947 10-30 12:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,183 $941 84¢ $995 +$54 11-02 15:21
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1,304 $967 76¢ $984 +$18 11-04 13:40
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +921 $904 98¢ $906 +$2 10-27 13:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +928 $677 96¢ $894 +$217 10-26 19:51
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +989 $822 88¢ $870 +$48 11-02 09:56
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +866 $844 98¢ $847 +$3 11-01 02:39
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +866 $843 97¢ $844 +$1 11-01 02:39
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +866 $844 97¢ $837 -$6 11-01 02:39
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +866 $834 96¢ $836 +$2 11-01 02:39
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +866 $832 95¢ $827 -$5 11-01 02:39
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +866 $819 95¢ $820 +$1 11-01 02:39