(anonymous) 0xc04eba…90c1f9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$149
Unrealized P&L
+$5.79K
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved (7d)
408
Trades (7d)
2,113
4,662 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$176.5K
$307.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$122.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-13
last 10-26 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
48% 75% +$126
Other
46% 88% -$323
Sports
4% 100% +$128
Tech
1% 50% -$15
Crypto
0% 90% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +26,848 $18,687 68¢ $18.4K -$296 10-26 22:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +13,749 $10,903 100¢ $13.7K +$2,832 10-26 10:05
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +13,155 $12,025 100¢ $13.1K +$1,117 10-26 10:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +13,984 $12,462 94¢ $13.1K +$613 10-26 20:56
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,185 $8,967 100¢ $9.2K +$208 10-26 10:05
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +24,689 $7,531 32¢ $7.8K +$246 10-26 22:36
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,734 $3,723 99¢ $3.7K -$17 10-26 22:36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,601 $2,827 64¢ $3.0K +$136 10-25 17:06
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,933 $2,926 100¢ $2.9K +$5 10-26 10:05
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,933 $2,924 100¢ $2.9K +$5 10-26 10:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,983 $2,835 68¢ $2.7K -$126 10-25 02:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2,545 $1,909 90¢ $2.3K +$381 10-23 02:44
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +2,641 $1,715 81¢ $2.1K +$424 10-26 03:10
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +2,261 $2,119 94¢ $2.1K +$9 10-26 20:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,549 $2,010 80¢ $2.0K +$16 10-19 14:12
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +1,687 $1,614 100¢ $1.7K +$68 10-26 16:22
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,982 $1,383 84¢ $1.7K +$276 10-26 21:19
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,502 $1,595 66¢ $1.6K +$44 10-20 19:01
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,748 $1,461 90¢ $1.6K +$121 10-26 16:22
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,757 $1,625 89¢ $1.6K -$60 10-26 22:47
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,815 $1,623 86¢ $1.6K -$72 10-20 21:40
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,748 $1,482 88¢ $1.5K +$64 10-26 16:22
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,512 $1,510 100¢ $1.5K +$0 10-23 05:46
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,197 $1,635 36¢ $1.5K -$145 10-25 17:06
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,488 $1,487 100¢ $1.5K -$1 10-24 10:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,522 $1,486 97¢ $1.5K -$5 10-19 14:12
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -2,159 -$1,504 68¢ $-1479 +$25 10-26 14:13
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,687 $1,556 87¢ $1.5K -$84 10-26 16:22
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,468 $1,415 99¢ $1.5K +$38 10-25 20:30
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,504 $1,460 95¢ $1.4K -$33 10-26 16:22