Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on November 12?
No won
Total volume
$450
Trades
37
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-12
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-12 04:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $70
vs crowd: 0% YES on $450)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | — | $258 | $258 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $39 | $39 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $0 | $153 | $153 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $0 | $70 | $70 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $0 | $207 | $207 |
| Median | 4 | $0 | $68 | $68 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 10 | 11-12 04:50 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 11-12 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 11-10 22:00 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-11 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8db…ca1d | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-10 21:45 |
| Dismal-Raid 0xc73f…ff79 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-11 23:32 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-11 10:00 |
| Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-11 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-10 22:00 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc04e…c1f9 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-11 10:00 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 11-10 12:25 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-11 10:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xebf7…aa53 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-11 21:45 |
| Calm-Bag 0x5694…bd0e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-11 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 10:00 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-11 10:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-12 04:50:01 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 146 | 100¢ | $146 | 0xae9cab… |
| 11-12 04:50:01 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae9cab… |
| 11-12 04:49:52 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa8c95a… |
| 11-12 04:49:52 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8c95a… |
| 11-11 23:32:45 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff602d… |
| 11-11 23:32:45 | Dismal-Raid 0xc73f…ff79 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xff602d… |
| 11-11 21:45:54 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3452b… |
| 11-11 21:45:54 | (anonymous) 0xebf7…aa53 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa3452b… |
| 11-11 21:45:52 | Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x688781… |
| 11-11 21:45:52 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x688781… |
| 11-11 21:25:15 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf673bd… |
| 11-11 21:25:15 | Calm-Bag 0x5694…bd0e | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf673bd… |
| 11-11 10:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e8e4b… |
| 11-11 10:00:04 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e8e4b… |
| 11-11 10:00:04 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8e8e4b… |
| 11-11 10:00:04 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e8e4b… |
| 11-11 10:00:03 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86fab8… |
| 11-11 10:00:03 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb76c86… |
| 11-11 10:00:03 | Elderly-Reveal 0x6bee…7e78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd6615… |
| 11-11 10:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfd6615… |
| 11-11 10:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xc04e…c1f9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x86fab8… |
| 11-11 10:00:03 | Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xb76c86… |
| 11-10 22:26:52 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x831a0c… |
| 11-10 22:26:52 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x34fe69… |
| 11-10 22:26:52 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x831a0c… |
| 11-10 22:26:52 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34fe69… |
| 11-10 22:26:52 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x831a0c… |
| 11-10 22:26:52 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x831a0c… |
| 11-10 22:00:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4c830… |
| 11-10 22:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf4c830… |
| 11-10 22:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4c830… |
| 11-10 21:45:03 | (anonymous) 0xf8db…ca1d | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x6e8935… |
| 11-10 21:45:03 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e8935… |
| 11-10 12:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x550c94… |
| 11-10 12:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x550c94… |
| 11-10 12:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6e334… |
| 11-10 12:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe6e334… |