Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
476
Trades
1,296
lifetime
Volume
$24.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.59K
25 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
76% 80% -$1,617
Politics
13% 83% -$103
Sports
9% 80% +$25
Tech
2% 71% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +494 $366 94¢ $462 +$96 10-15 08:08
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $167 98¢ $167 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $163 99¢ $163 +$0 10-09 01:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +149 $143 90¢ $134 -$9 10-14 10:42
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +130 $128 99¢ $129 +$1 10-17 17:39
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +115 $114 99¢ $113 -$1 10-16 23:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $85 94¢ $85 $0 10-13 22:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $55 78¢ $54 -$2 10-14 15:12
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 97¢ $50 -$1 10-08 19:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +51 $47 97¢ $50 +$2 10-14 10:42
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +21 $19 90¢ $19 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 94¢ $17 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-15 06:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +14 $14 99¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +14 $13 95¢ $13 $0 10-17 20:06
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +12 $12 97¢ $11 $0 10-15 15:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $28 12¢ $11 -$17 10-12 04:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +58 $12 18¢ $11 -$2 10-26 17:42
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +62 $6 12¢ $7 +$1 10-07 21:56
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7 $7 92¢ $7 $0 10-20 21:12
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +99 $42 3¢ $3 -$39 10-16 00:49
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-15 17:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-18 05:39