(anonymous) 0xb285d5…76b59b Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved (90d)
560
Trades (90d)
1,308
1,308 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$25.0K
$25.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
76% 81% -$1,448
Politics
13% 81% -$160
Sports
9% 75% -$17
Tech
2% 70% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $167 99¢ $168 +$1 10-14 04:22
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $163 100¢ $164 +$2 10-09 01:23
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +130 $128 100¢ $129 +$1 10-17 17:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +149 $143 69¢ $102 -$41 10-14 10:42
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%? No +63 $41 92¢ $58 +$17 10-16 06:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $55 78¢ $54 -$2 10-14 15:12
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +51 $47 99¢ $51 +$4 10-14 10:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%? No +45 $41 99¢ $45 +$4 10-09 15:38
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? No +49 $41 90¢ $43 +$2 10-16 05:09
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October? No +36 $35 100¢ $36 +$1 10-14 20:40
will jayson tatum win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +36 $36 97¢ $35 -$1 10-16 18:25
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-14 17:08
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +32 $32 81¢ $26 -$6 10-13 01:23
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%? No +36 $24 69¢ $25 +$0 10-15 15:27
will deni avdija win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 10-16 20:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%? No +20 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 10-17 13:37
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +21 $19 87¢ $19 -$1 10-26 03:32
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 10-14 22:45
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,300,000 and 1,350,000? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$1 10-20 18:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 0%-10%? No +18 $17 99¢ $18 +$1 10-09 15:03
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +18 $17 98¢ $18 +$1 10-10 06:03
will elizabeth pipko be the next white house press secretary 2027 No +18 $18 96¢ $17 -$1 10-17 08:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%? No +36 $28 48¢ $17 -$11 10-08 11:19
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 94¢ $17 $0 10-22 03:11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? No +18 $17 92¢ $16 -$1 10-14 19:30
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? No +16 $16 95¢ $15 $0 10-05 07:55
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-15 06:27
Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +18 $18 83¢ $15 -$3 10-14 15:55