Realized P&L
-$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
598
Trades
1,308
lifetime
Volume
$25.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
76% 81% -$1,456
Politics
13% 82% -$162
Sports
9% 77% -$15
Tech
2% 70% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $167 99¢ $168 +$1 10-14 04:22
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $163 100¢ $164 +$2 10-09 01:23
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +104 $104 100¢ $103 $0 10-16 17:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +149 $143 54¢ $80 -$63 10-14 10:42
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +73 $72 100¢ $72 $0 10-18 05:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $55 98¢ $67 +$11 10-14 15:12
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%? No +63 $41 92¢ $58 +$17 10-16 06:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +51 $47 100¢ $51 +$4 10-14 10:42
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 99¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? No +49 $41 80¢ $39 -$3 10-16 05:09
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October? No +36 $35 100¢ $36 +$1 10-14 20:40
will pat adams be the next white house press secretary 2027 No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 10-16 19:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 15%-20%? No +36 $27 99¢ $36 +$8 10-08 18:11
will jayson tatum win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +36 $36 97¢ $35 -$1 10-16 18:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%? No +35 $28 99¢ $35 +$7 10-10 16:35
will rachel campos duffy be the next white house press secretary 2027 No +35 $34 98¢ $34 $0 10-17 08:24
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +32 $31 99¢ $31 $0 10-08 10:44
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? No +39 $26 77¢ $30 +$4 10-13 11:50
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%? No +36 $24 80¢ $29 +$4 10-15 15:27
Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 +$0 10-16 22:57
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +32 $32 82¢ $27 -$6 10-13 01:23
Will KC be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 +$0 10-14 17:01
Will San Jose Earthquakes be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 -$1 10-08 13:57
will deni avdija win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 10-16 20:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%? No +20 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 10-17 13:37
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +21 $19 90¢ $19 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? No +38 $21 50¢ $19 -$2 10-08 16:23
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision? No +19 $17 97¢ $18 +$2 10-10 20:13
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 10-14 22:45