(anonymous) 0xb285d5…76b59b
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$220
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved (7d)
74
Trades (7d)
71
1,308 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$747
$25.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.15K
25 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
76% 80% -$1,490
Politics
13% 83% -$145
Sports
9% 73% -$17
Tech
2% 78% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $167 98¢ $168 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $163 97¢ $160 -$3 10-09 01:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +149 $143 89¢ $133 -$10 10-14 10:42
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +130 $128 100¢ $129 +$1 10-17 17:39
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +115 $114 97¢ $111 -$3 10-16 23:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $85 96¢ $86 +$1 10-13 22:44
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 99¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +51 $47 97¢ $50 +$3 10-14 10:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $55 72¢ $49 -$7 10-14 15:12
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-28 02:25
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +21 $19 89¢ $19 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 92¢ $17 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-15 06:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 10-07 04:32
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +14 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 10-17 20:06
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 $0 10-15 15:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +58 $12 16¢ $9 -$3 10-26 17:42
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +62 $6 15¢ $9 +$3 10-07 21:56
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7 $7 95¢ $7 $0 10-20 21:12
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $0 10-05 20:27
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$1 10-15 17:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +43 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-18 05:39