Realized P&L (24h)
-$33
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
26
4,530 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$157
$37.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Politics
49% 71% +$1,689
Other
36% 72% +$1,957
Crypto
11% 83% +$166
Sports
3% 56% +$25
Tech
1% 100% +$43
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +300 $285 98¢ $293 +$8 10-21 23:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +220 $201 96¢ $210 +$9 10-29 14:14
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $192 65¢ $195 +$3 10-30 16:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +130 $124 97¢ $126 +$3 08-23 19:33
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +125 $110 98¢ $122 +$13 06-30 07:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +110 $106 98¢ $108 +$2 10-24 19:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +95 $83 98¢ $93 +$10 06-30 07:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +80 $73 94¢ $76 +$3 10-29 03:36
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +74 $71 98¢ $73 +$3 10-08 21:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -70 -$65 97¢ $-68 -$3 06-03 02:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$3 05-23 13:38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$2 10-08 17:00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 10-08 19:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +30 $26 85¢ $26 -$1 10-08 12:22
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +50 $22 48¢ $24 +$2 10-24 01:25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $28 12¢ $23 -$5 09-30 08:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $24 11¢ $22 -$1 10-31 23:13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +30 $18 74¢ $22 +$4 10-10 17:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +400 $24 6¢ $22 -$2 10-30 07:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +800 $22 3¢ $21 $0 10-31 20:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 10-07 23:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 08-24 14:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $19 10¢ $20 +$0 10-31 20:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 08-15 12:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $12 34¢ $17 +$5 10-06 18:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +420 $17 4¢ $17 $0 10-31 20:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +88 $11 13¢ $11 +$0 10-31 22:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$15 10¢ $-10 +$5 05-08 06:00
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-08 07:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 08-18 22:01