Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$9.08K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

231

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$541.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$931

Open exposure

$6.83K

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-28 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

92% 100% +$46,189

Politics

7% 100% +$362

Tech

1% 100% +$89

Sports

0% 67% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No		+19,265	$8,998	20¢	$3.9K	-$5,049	10-14 19:32
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes		+14,768	$6,908	20¢	$2.9K	-$4,028	10-14 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	42	$194.0K	221,758	0	+221,758	No	+$27,758	09-16 18:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$49.5K	50,501	0	+50,501	Yes	+$1,001	09-16 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$41.6K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$8,367	07-29 18:00
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	19	$24.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$524	07-31 19:31
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	1	$16.6K	17,454	0	+17,454	Yes	+$819	09-16 18:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	30	$16.4K	16,712	0	+16,712	No	+$273	07-29 18:00
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	4	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$100	07-20 16:00
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	20	$9.0K	19,265	0	+19,265	open	—	10-14 19:32
Spain/USA vs. France/Germany	1	$7.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	USA	+$2,215	09-13 16:24
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	14	$6.9K	14,768	0	+14,768	open	—	10-14 19:34
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	8	$6.6K	6,646	0	+6,646	No	+$80	10-12 20:15
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$6.5K	6,553	0	+6,553	Yes	+$35	09-29 04:30
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$6.5K	6,535	0	+6,535	No	+$26	09-29 04:30
Young Boys Bern vs. Servette Geneva: Young Boys Bern O/U 1.5	1	$5.2K	6,049	0	+6,049	Over	+$847	09-19 20:10
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-14 12:30
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	1	$4.9K	5,306	0	+5,306	Yes	+$356	09-16 18:00
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$4.9K	5,321	0	+5,321	Yes	+$371	09-16 18:00
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	9	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$55	09-30 19:00
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	9	$4.9K	2,486	2,486	+0	Yes	+$35	07-28 01:02
itf rahman1 lumsde1 2026 09 19	1	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Kasra Rahmani	+$919	09-19 18:56
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	34	$4.0K	4,072	0	+4,072	Yes	+$53	08-01 19:00
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	1	$3.6K	3,602	0	+3,602	Yes	+$36	07-24 10:34
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$3.4K	3,598	0	+3,598	No	+$217	09-16 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$3.2K	3,238	0	+3,238	Yes	+$49	10-28 18:00
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?	8	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$30	07-14 12:30
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	1	$3.0K	2,979	0	+2,979	Yes	+$10	09-17 11:00
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$3.0K	3,037	0	+3,037	Yes	+$70	09-16 18:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$2.9K	2,957	0	+2,957	No	+$33	10-28 18:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	1	$2.6K	2,618	0	+2,618	No	+$6	09-17 11:00
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	1	$2.1K	2,134	0	+2,134	Yes	+$35	10-23 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:00:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,957	99¢	$2,924	0xcd5d10…
10-28 18:00:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,238	99¢	$3,190	0x1145f8…
10-28 10:41:58	Will William Contreras lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xf23389…
10-28 08:53:05	Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xc6c6eb…
10-28 06:54:58	Will Vest launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x83cdd1…
10-28 06:21:17	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa5851e…
10-28 05:03:41	Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xdf0e31…
10-27 21:13:39	Will Codex launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0x1b3c81…
10-27 13:03:23	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xdf063d…
10-27 06:55:02	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 million	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x007a4e…
10-26 21:25:18	Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x2e5d6f…
10-26 00:49:59	Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?	No	BUY	73	53¢	$39	0x77b07e…
10-25 20:18:29	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1c74a2…
10-25 19:23:54	Will Luis Torrens win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4171ca…
10-25 14:50:05	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xacabdc…
10-25 08:13:59	Will Mauricio Dubón win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf727fc…
10-25 07:01:59	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x6cfecd…
10-23 21:48:42	bby wow karol g judeline rusowsky 2 spotify song this week october 30	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbfcac6…
10-23 14:08:17	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	Yes	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0x7da9d7…
10-23 10:30:05	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,134	98¢	$2,099	0x76a656…
10-23 10:30:05	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0x6e318c…
10-23 07:39:08	Will Dennis Geiger record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x294420…
10-22 23:12:48	Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 3.8M?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4455fb…
10-22 07:51:00	Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x0382f5…
10-21 16:33:39	Will tkzin play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x105d3d…
10-21 09:44:57	Will brawk play for NRG in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xecf59d…
10-21 06:00:12	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xea9254…
10-21 06:00:12	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x997823…
10-21 06:00:12	Will UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x51e873…
10-21 05:31:42	will skuba play for nrg in 2027	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8a510c…
10-21 00:26:57	will airbnb abnb q3 gross booking value be above 20261008120132000 26pt2b	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x07ce5b…
10-21 00:26:33	will marvell q3 data center revenue be above 2pt6b	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xae4af0…
10-20 18:59:41	Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $5.5B?	Yes	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x31bc2d…
10-20 15:51:18	Will Ewandro record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x3d1d70…
10-19 16:23:54	Will Movistar KOI Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x13489d…
10-18 02:03:56	Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x59d049…
10-17 17:15:24	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 total revenue per available seat mile 21¢+?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xdce855…
10-17 17:15:17	Will Vest launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xb2daaa…
10-17 06:45:26	Will Strasbourg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xb1aaf6…
10-17 06:37:51	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x3364a3…
10-16 18:33:10	Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.2B?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xbf840a…
10-16 15:04:36	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xa7569f…
10-15 12:30:20	Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$214	0x945805…
10-15 12:30:19	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	No	BUY	1,512	100¢	$1,511	0xdbd508…
10-15 12:30:19	Will PPI YoY be 5.6% in September?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd1089f…
10-15 12:30:17	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62071a…
10-14 19:34:06	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5bbd5a…
10-14 19:32:55	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0xa2f9b9…
10-14 19:32:55	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x44fcb3…
10-14 19:32:36	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5ac8cb…
10-14 19:12:51	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xda8ed7…
10-14 19:12:51	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x320cf8…
10-14 19:12:48	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x924b0f…
10-14 19:12:48	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x8f73c5…
10-14 19:12:48	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x6a2503…
10-14 19:12:46	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0xf25315…
10-14 19:12:46	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x5c58ee…
10-14 19:12:46	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x58d8be…
10-14 19:12:46	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x36d74e…
10-14 19:12:46	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	47¢	$33	0x119648…
10-14 19:12:46	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x05a8f9…
10-14 19:12:45	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0xfe3c35…
10-14 19:12:45	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0xfcf1c1…
10-14 19:12:45	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x5545b1…
10-14 19:12:45	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x39e0f8…
10-14 19:12:45	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	47¢	$67	0x0d7c1c…
10-14 19:12:13	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	92	47¢	$43	0x0d6344…
10-14 19:10:18	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7efa10…
10-14 19:10:18	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x54c698…
10-14 19:10:18	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x53154c…
10-14 19:10:12	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0ebf6a…
10-14 19:10:09	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9b8676…
10-14 19:10:09	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,607	47¢	$6,362	0x7d21e7…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	999	47¢	$470	0xdbec7e…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x93dbe2…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x76b7c8…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x71d9fe…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9,743	46¢	$4,523	0x66557d…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x56b06e…
10-14 19:10:07	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7,431	47¢	$3,493	0x3c6604…
10-14 12:30:17	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x328343…
10-14 12:30:15	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	No	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0x84a95c…
10-14 12:30:15	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	No	BUY	613	100¢	$613	0x5543c8…
10-14 12:30:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	1,138	99¢	$1,131	0x51e0b6…
10-14 12:30:14	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	No	BUY	330	98¢	$325	0x4c8b31…
10-14 12:30:12	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	No	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0xfb344e…
10-14 12:30:12	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x69513d…
10-14 12:30:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0xce0473…
10-14 12:30:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6a9d00…
10-14 12:30:11	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	461	100¢	$459	0x2b895f…
10-14 12:30:09	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xd46d46…
10-14 12:30:09	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) or decrease in September?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x9ac953…
10-14 12:30:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?	No	BUY	616	99¢	$610	0x3100ec…
10-13 19:01:27	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2548d9…
10-13 19:00:21	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd22c1…
10-13 19:00:18	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be at least 2.8%?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdecd2c…
10-13 19:00:18	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.3% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb98b82…
10-13 19:00:18	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	BUY	219	88¢	$192	0x8ec3b8…
10-13 19:00:18	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x866d08…
10-13 19:00:18	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x79c2ac…