Blushing-Yin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$6.57K

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,149

lifetime

Volume

$7.04M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.70K

Open exposure

$61.9K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 75% +$43

Politics

39% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+25,000	$23,200	92¢	$23.1K	$-75	07-22 15:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+20,000	$18,600	90¢	$17.9K	$-700	07-07 18:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+10,000	$9,050	92¢	$9.1K	+$100	07-20 03:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,400	92¢	$4.6K	+$200	07-08 17:46
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+5,000	$4,250	74¢	$3.7K	$-575	07-06 07:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,966	$1,612	80¢	$1.6K	$-39	07-08 19:35
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-1,999	$-800	50¢	$-990	$-190	06-05 15:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1,000	$4,730	70¢	$-695	$-5,425	07-19 20:49
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?	No	-500	$-330	39¢	$-195	+$135	07-01 19:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	129	$862.0K	432,192	433,000	-807	open	—	01-04 15:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	51	$733.7K	737,656	4,000	+733,656	open	—	06-03 21:26
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	178	$306.1K	244,166	64,920	+179,246	open	—	02-01 01:45
Trump out as President by April 30?	193	$301.3K	143,918	160,000	-16,082	open	—	04-30 23:01
us strikes iraq by february 28	21	$249.8K	250,000	0	+250,000	open	—	03-05 16:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	39	$249.5K	250,000	0	+250,000	open	—	04-01 15:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	138	$246.5K	197,003	51,000	+146,003	open	—	05-27 17:17
will iran strike israel on march 4	32	$199.8K	200,000	0	+200,000	open	—	03-07 19:18
will iran strike israel on march 10	26	$190.7K	191,212	0	+191,212	open	—	03-17 10:24
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	44	$159.6K	160,000	0	+160,000	open	—	01-20 01:54
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	34	$147.4K	147,734	0	+147,734	open	—	01-04 15:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	46	$139.7K	140,244	0	+140,244	open	—	03-13 00:13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	94	$138.2K	129,790	10,000	+119,790	open	—	02-19 02:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	262	$131.9K	133,202	0	+133,202	open	—	04-28 07:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	318	$130.1K	128,012	4,772	+123,240	open	—	03-03 13:02
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$119.9K	120,000	0	+120,000	open	—	03-11 23:18
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	61	$118.9K	119,207	0	+119,207	open	—	01-21 19:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	60	$109.7K	79,784	32,000	+47,784	open	—	04-04 22:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	209	$105.9K	65,000	65,000	+0	open	—	07-19 20:49
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	39	$104.2K	105,979	0	+105,979	open	—	01-08 01:59
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	5	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	01-06 05:42
will the us strike somalia next 656	6	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	01-26 10:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	99	$96.4K	66,087	53,253	+12,834	open	—	01-27 02:28
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$95.9K	96,041	0	+96,041	open	—	07-08 23:22
trump out as president by march 31	49	$94.3K	94,999	0	+94,999	open	—	03-23 21:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$89.4K	89,657	0	+89,657	open	—	04-07 04:24
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	32	$87.9K	37,995	50,000	-12,005	open	—	01-03 16:31
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	12	$61.4K	61,480	0	+61,480	open	—	04-30 23:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$58.1K	58,000	500	+57,500	open	—	03-03 20:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$57.2K	32,000	27,000	+5,000	open	—	04-06 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 15:16:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x5798e6…
07-20 23:45:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,750	100¢	$4,731	0x81c76f…
07-20 23:43:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xad6359…
07-20 13:33:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x70d386…
07-20 13:33:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$9	0x9cf282…
07-20 13:33:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	277	61¢	$169	0x91a6a3…
07-20 13:33:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3fba7c…
07-20 13:33:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x51ee70…
07-20 13:33:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2ff3e3…
07-20 13:33:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x15d432…
07-20 13:24:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	63¢	$1,573	0xf792f4…
07-20 13:23:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xa774d1…
07-20 13:23:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	171	61¢	$104	0x695c50…
07-20 13:23:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x176eca…
07-20 13:23:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xa0ed15…
07-20 13:23:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9d64c7…
07-20 13:23:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x90b69e…
07-20 13:23:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6d9dc8…
07-20 13:23:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x4757a2…
07-20 13:23:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xefb8d5…
07-20 13:23:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	483	62¢	$299	0xeb9c43…
07-20 13:23:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xb3245e…
07-20 13:23:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xa15994…
07-20 13:22:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x3f9580…
07-20 13:22:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9da7d7…
07-20 13:22:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x188f85…
07-20 13:21:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x4cb875…
07-20 13:21:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xd92cce…
07-20 13:21:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0xd30612…
07-20 13:21:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc22274…
07-20 13:21:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x1198af…
07-20 13:21:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x7bce28…
07-20 13:21:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xf2548c…
07-20 13:15:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1df23b…
07-20 13:15:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xa6d582…
07-20 13:09:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0xb40d20…
07-20 13:08:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	305	71¢	$217	0xc5f120…
07-20 13:07:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xa32e4e…
07-20 13:07:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xda1e46…
07-20 13:07:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	195	71¢	$138	0xf22d8b…
07-20 13:03:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	352	72¢	$253	0x7b2497…
07-20 13:02:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	148	72¢	$107	0x7847e9…
07-20 13:02:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x1db631…
07-20 03:05:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,745	91¢	$4,318	0xb9d098…
07-20 02:23:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0x6e152b…
07-20 02:15:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2753f5…
07-20 02:05:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xfc65ad…
07-19 20:49:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x5d62e2…
07-19 19:52:45	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x8c4474…
07-16 17:06:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9,091	77¢	$7,000	0x2c1609…
07-16 17:02:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x28c983…
07-16 16:52:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x9731a7…
07-16 16:49:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	77¢	$2,310	0xa98e7d…
07-16 16:37:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	77¢	$29	0x2fc0b7…
07-16 16:29:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	120	77¢	$92	0xc373bd…
07-16 16:28:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,414	77¢	$1,089	0xd9d3d8…
07-16 16:06:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	77¢	$7,700	0xe6b4e6…
07-16 16:01:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xff0923…
07-16 15:50:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0x785c0a…
07-16 15:41:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x429367…
07-16 15:40:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	75	77¢	$58	0xc200e4…
07-16 15:40:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x618065…
07-16 15:40:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	23	77¢	$18	0xa611ad…
07-16 15:40:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xa03b57…
07-16 15:40:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x334697…
07-16 15:40:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xa48f63…
07-16 15:40:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x752927…
07-16 15:40:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xc41599…
07-16 15:40:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x25feb0…
07-16 15:40:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x21954d…
07-16 15:40:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xc07225…
07-16 15:40:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0x88cd48…
07-16 15:40:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x81292b…
07-16 15:40:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x60bf5e…
07-16 15:40:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xfeb672…
07-16 15:40:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	34	77¢	$27	0x3d5b0c…
07-16 15:40:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xada9c9…
07-16 15:40:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x77b3c5…
07-16 15:40:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	152	77¢	$117	0x3ddab3…
07-16 15:30:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4,000	77¢	$3,080	0x82abd8…
07-16 15:25:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x8e57b5…
07-16 15:15:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	46	77¢	$36	0x5e80a5…
07-16 15:11:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xe48d49…
07-16 15:10:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	43	77¢	$33	0x3e4399…
07-16 15:09:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xf3fc8d…
07-16 15:08:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	77¢	$7,700	0x6ca56f…
07-16 15:06:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xe1cf6b…
07-16 14:54:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	77¢	$7,700	0x1da608…
07-16 14:50:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd4cc4b…
07-16 14:43:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xe151fd…
07-16 14:43:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4c32db…
07-16 14:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x077672…
07-16 14:39:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x5fe052…
07-16 14:15:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x5e0b68…
07-16 14:12:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x50fc81…
07-16 14:12:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	358	77¢	$275	0xd75da9…
07-16 14:09:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7,517	77¢	$5,788	0x4db6e1…
07-16 13:49:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x5a6963…
07-16 13:46:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xe3a356…
07-16 13:45:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xcdcaaf…