Crisp-Official — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$171

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,357

lifetime

Volume

$754.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$423

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$5

Other

28% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,348	$594	18¢	$423	$-171	07-21 03:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	209	$28.2K	36,790	23,982	+12,807	open	—	04-23 03:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	252	$27.0K	25,506	21,230	+4,276	open	—	04-24 13:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	213	$24.7K	18,868	15,618	+3,251	open	—	04-30 20:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	137	$21.1K	15,198	14,452	+746	open	—	04-21 18:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	45	$20.8K	26,129	25,709	+420	open	—	04-08 16:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	43	$20.4K	12,905	11,005	+1,900	open	—	05-01 00:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	154	$19.7K	34,346	30,561	+3,785	open	—	05-29 14:25
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	221	$16.8K	56,314	54,628	+1,686	open	—	07-07 20:54
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	53	$16.8K	19,981	20,120	-139	open	—	06-17 16:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	94	$15.9K	8,326	8,326	+0	open	—	06-29 14:10
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	144	$15.9K	28,218	26,622	+1,596	open	—	02-01 16:38
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	52	$15.5K	7,110	9,721	-2,611	open	—	05-01 00:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$15.2K	18,073	12,613	+5,460	open	—	06-04 00:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	64	$14.7K	8,757	8,757	+0	open	—	06-07 23:08
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	34	$14.3K	7,221	7,221	+0	open	—	06-30 00:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	46	$13.7K	11,758	12,710	-953	open	—	01-30 02:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	100	$13.5K	22,572	21,768	+804	open	—	02-28 13:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	76	$10.9K	25,621	31,255	-5,633	open	—	05-25 17:37
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	53	$10.4K	9,267	10,862	-1,594	open	—	01-15 15:10
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	70	$10.2K	7,046	7,046	+0	open	—	07-01 13:23
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	8	$9.5K	6,806	2,707	+4,099	open	—	04-27 03:40
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	23	$8.5K	4,788	3,788	+1,000	open	—	07-21 03:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$8.5K	11,642	11,789	-147	open	—	06-16 01:05
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	18	$8.4K	4,236	4,236	+0	open	—	07-08 04:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	88	$7.6K	7,178	7,148	+30	open	—	06-19 12:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	12	$6.8K	15,909	16,048	-140	open	—	01-15 07:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$6.6K	10,305	10,305	+0	open	—	02-28 07:02
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	122	$6.2K	18,134	17,337	+797	open	—	02-15 09:27
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	25	$5.9K	3,994	3,994	+0	open	—	07-01 21:03
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	13	$5.8K	5,863	0	+5,863	open	—	04-27 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:35:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xf36e30…
07-21 14:33:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc97c61…
07-21 14:32:39	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2189f9…
07-21 14:31:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd894d9…
07-21 13:40:33	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x69a1d6…
07-21 13:39:09	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4d4a0c…
07-21 03:07:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	17¢	$15	0x441dec…
07-21 03:02:52	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	657	16¢	$105	0x36aaf2…
07-21 03:01:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$897	0xfe9bdf…
07-21 03:01:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,588	17¢	$442	0x38ee08…
07-21 03:01:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeb733c…
07-20 18:48:30	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	391	10¢	$39	0x44a515…
07-20 18:42:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2,626	99¢	$2,607	0x7038ed…
07-20 18:42:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc85d7d…
07-20 18:42:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x109180…
07-20 18:42:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x989640…
07-20 18:42:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x47b587…
07-20 18:42:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x02ef21…
07-20 18:39:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6f9fb…
07-20 18:39:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x710b3f…
07-20 18:39:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bc941…
07-20 18:38:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x565b47…
07-20 18:38:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd4a8ec…
07-20 18:38:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x83ea38…
07-20 18:38:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5fba97…
07-20 18:38:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1,132	99¢	$1,124	0x46ecaa…
07-20 18:10:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,493	99¢	$2,475	0x62ca8f…
07-20 17:55:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x1137bd…
07-20 17:54:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xaafedf…
07-20 17:54:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	375	99¢	$372	0xa7d887…
07-20 17:54:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3e8775…
07-20 17:53:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x2b710f…
07-20 17:50:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5e858d…
07-20 17:37:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0xad8790…
07-20 17:37:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,448	21¢	$304	0x97c8d2…
07-20 16:29:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,417	21¢	$298	0xd75494…
07-20 16:28:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	951	21¢	$200	0x020d1f…
07-20 16:26:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,673	21¢	$561	0x4b8d36…
07-20 16:26:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	20¢	$104	0x786e1d…
07-20 16:25:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,615	19¢	$307	0xcd1cee…
07-20 16:19:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	391	11¢	$43	0x50bad6…
07-20 15:58:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x45c9ec…
07-20 15:58:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa4b78c…
07-20 15:58:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	233	43¢	$100	0x9f7abb…
07-20 15:58:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x908624…
07-20 15:58:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	59	43¢	$25	0x431a95…
07-20 15:58:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0xa9c4ea…
07-20 15:58:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x693739…
07-20 15:58:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0x35cf0c…
07-20 15:58:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	36	43¢	$15	0x4bdecd…
07-20 15:41:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	750	34¢	$255	0x036c13…
07-20 15:41:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	132	34¢	$45	0x924fe7…
07-20 15:38:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	630	34¢	$214	0x6d33d8…
07-20 15:24:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	226	38¢	$86	0x5664ba…
07-20 15:20:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x2ec537…
07-20 15:20:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	183	35¢	$64	0xa79fb1…
07-20 15:20:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	112	35¢	$39	0x98e539…
07-20 15:19:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0xa5eead…
07-20 15:19:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x30d41f…
07-20 15:19:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe39225…
07-20 15:19:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x916d00…
07-20 15:19:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x545dfc…
07-20 15:19:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xb35998…
07-20 15:19:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x97b05b…
07-20 15:19:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x1a47da…
07-20 15:19:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0x4ded8f…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdffa60…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd7de18…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd20b95…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x501620…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x3d4c0e…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x337130…
07-20 15:19:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1f48fe…
07-20 15:19:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xd38fe8…
07-20 15:19:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb6a84a…
07-20 15:19:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x12408e…
07-20 15:19:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x06c17b…
07-20 15:19:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xcf05d1…
07-20 15:19:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x8eae8c…
07-20 15:19:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf33198…
07-20 15:19:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa5e42…
07-20 15:19:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x930862…
07-20 15:19:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x53281d…
07-20 15:19:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0bcbca…
07-20 15:19:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf7215f…
07-20 15:19:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	62	35¢	$22	0xf4015a…
07-20 15:19:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe4c995…
07-20 15:19:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdaea81…
07-20 15:19:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x983d40…
07-20 15:19:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xed8e92…
07-20 15:19:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x39671b…
07-20 15:19:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe6ecf4…
07-20 15:19:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3d99b4…
07-20 15:19:09	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7e24b1…
07-20 15:19:09	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x11d934…
07-20 15:19:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0c15e3…
07-20 15:19:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x47df99…
07-20 15:19:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	76	35¢	$27	0x82dfd2…
07-20 15:17:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xc54597…
07-20 15:17:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xddcd3c…