Realized P&L
+$21.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.43K
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
801
Trades
14,623
lifetime
Volume
$1.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$8.09K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Politics
59% 71% +$13,020
Other
34% 70% +$1,149
Crypto
3% 69% +$1,900
Sports
2% 82% +$4,557
Tech
1% 90% +$899
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,036 $2,458 97¢ $2.9K +$480 09-20 05:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $913 94¢ $935 +$22 10-20 23:38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,000 $894 92¢ $925 +$31 10-28 17:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +1,150 $254 60¢ $691 +$437 08-11 01:25
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +700 $598 96¢ $675 +$77 10-10 18:58
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +581 $454 99¢ $572 +$118 10-27 20:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 Yes +1,150 $971 40¢ $458 -$513 09-23 15:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +426 $294 97¢ $413 +$119 10-26 23:23
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +134 $76 98¢ $131 +$56 10-07 23:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +143 $113 88¢ $127 +$14 09-23 14:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,036 $767 3¢ $99 -$668 09-15 18:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No -100 -$67 51¢ $-51 +$16 10-23 10:33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes -100 -$45 49¢ $-49 -$4 10-24 09:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +143 $57 12¢ $16 -$40 09-24 00:53
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +581 $30 1¢ $8 -$21 10-27 15:22
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +134 $6 2¢ $3 -$4 10-07 13:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +0 -$3 96¢ $0 +$3 09-07 21:22
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$5 91¢ $0 +$5 10-21 20:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$37 74¢ $0 +$37 10-28 16:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$1,262 26¢ $0 +$1,262 10-28 08:58