Crisp-Official — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,876

lifetime

Volume

$796.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$5

Other

29% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	209	$28.2K	36,790	23,982	+12,807	open	—	04-23 03:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	252	$27.0K	25,506	21,230	+4,276	open	—	04-24 13:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	213	$24.7K	18,868	15,618	+3,251	open	—	04-30 20:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	137	$21.1K	15,198	14,452	+746	open	—	04-21 18:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	45	$20.8K	26,129	25,709	+420	open	—	04-08 16:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	43	$20.4K	12,905	11,005	+1,900	open	—	05-01 00:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	154	$19.7K	34,346	30,561	+3,785	open	—	05-29 14:25
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	221	$16.8K	56,314	54,628	+1,686	open	—	07-07 20:54
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	53	$16.8K	19,981	20,120	-139	open	—	06-17 16:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	94	$15.9K	8,326	8,326	+0	open	—	06-29 14:10
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	144	$15.9K	28,218	26,622	+1,596	open	—	02-01 16:38
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	52	$15.5K	7,110	9,721	-2,611	open	—	05-01 00:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$15.2K	18,073	12,613	+5,460	open	—	06-04 00:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	64	$14.7K	8,757	8,757	+0	open	—	06-07 23:08
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	34	$14.3K	7,221	7,221	+0	open	—	06-30 00:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	46	$13.7K	11,758	12,710	-953	open	—	01-30 02:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	100	$13.5K	22,572	21,768	+804	open	—	02-28 13:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	76	$10.9K	25,621	31,255	-5,633	open	—	05-25 17:37
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	53	$10.4K	9,267	10,862	-1,594	open	—	01-15 15:10
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	70	$10.2K	7,046	7,046	+0	open	—	07-01 13:23
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	8	$9.5K	6,806	2,707	+4,099	open	—	04-27 03:40
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	23	$8.5K	4,788	3,788	+1,000	open	—	07-21 03:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$8.5K	11,642	11,789	-147	open	—	06-16 01:05
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	18	$8.4K	4,236	4,236	+0	open	—	07-08 04:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	88	$7.6K	7,178	7,148	+30	open	—	06-19 12:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	12	$6.8K	15,909	16,048	-140	open	—	01-15 07:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$6.6K	10,305	10,305	+0	open	—	02-28 07:02
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	122	$6.2K	18,134	17,337	+797	open	—	02-15 09:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	25	$5.9K	3,994	3,994	+0	open	—	07-01 21:03
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	13	$5.8K	5,863	0	+5,863	open	—	04-27 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:34:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	183	51¢	$93	0x23d3c5…
08-11 14:32:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x901a17…
08-11 14:32:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x0eeab2…
08-11 14:32:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x815392…
08-11 14:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x88da50…
08-11 14:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x77a732…
08-11 14:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x5ca3bb…
08-11 14:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbc7ad8…
08-11 14:31:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xb8c44e…
08-11 14:31:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x8caace…
08-11 14:31:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xf14290…
08-11 14:31:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xd05314…
08-11 14:31:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xde01cd…
08-11 14:31:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xc74d69…
08-11 14:31:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xbf65ea…
08-11 14:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	216	51¢	$110	0xe84665…
08-11 14:23:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xe700c7…
08-11 13:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0xa5edac…
08-11 12:44:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x81d6ef…
08-11 12:44:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0x8a49fe…
08-11 12:44:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	621	51¢	$317	0x86dc76…
08-11 12:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x07d841…
08-11 12:28:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0xec6a34…
08-11 12:24:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xc69f6a…
08-11 12:15:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x033811…
08-11 09:31:19	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0x0f934e…
08-11 09:20:48	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x87a2b5…
08-11 09:19:28	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xbbe2b0…
08-11 09:12:27	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x19cb7e…
08-11 01:25:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xd87607…
08-11 01:23:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	1,150	22¢	$254	0x626615…
08-10 20:11:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	271	79¢	$213	0xd55b48…
08-10 19:00:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x84afb5…
08-10 04:04:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x25b881…
08-10 00:12:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$165	0x4de44d…
08-10 00:06:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0x976e06…
08-09 17:06:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x91a8a0…
08-09 16:53:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	300	86¢	$259	0xdd77f6…
08-09 15:14:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0x8107ec…
08-09 15:12:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x667cda…
08-09 14:18:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x7b532e…
08-09 14:17:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x1e9544…
08-09 14:17:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9b0ee6…
08-09 14:16:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xfb3526…
08-09 14:16:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0x5434db…
08-09 14:16:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xbf220e…
08-09 14:16:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	235	85¢	$200	0x91a73d…
08-09 14:14:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0xcc9dcd…
08-09 14:12:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xbfdfb8…
08-09 14:12:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xcb7e22…
08-09 14:12:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x051ce2…
08-09 14:12:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0x7920d1…
08-09 14:12:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xe651f0…
08-09 14:12:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xb2f4e7…
08-09 13:27:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xb74365…
08-09 13:20:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x08c484…
08-09 12:43:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4b592d…
08-09 10:55:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x9cfdff…
08-09 04:27:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	257	46¢	$118	0xad4845…
08-07 17:01:24	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	333	29¢	$97	0x7e6f06…
08-07 15:42:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	24¢	$18	0x00dd23…
08-07 15:41:25	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	215	44¢	$95	0xcbbbd7…
08-07 15:23:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0x37f206…
08-07 15:03:21	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	215	41¢	$88	0xa3bf8d…
08-07 14:41:21	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x36a209…
08-07 14:41:16	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xd8f99c…
08-07 14:35:01	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x6b39b8…
08-07 14:34:55	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x878303…
08-07 14:16:07	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	174	53¢	$92	0xcf0feb…
08-07 14:14:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x683c9d…
08-07 01:33:54	btc updown 5m 1786066200	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x910100…
08-07 01:33:52	btc updown 5m 1786066200	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x109ab3…
08-07 01:33:51	btc updown 5m 1786066200	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xbbda3e…
08-07 01:33:51	btc updown 5m 1786066200	Up	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x690b8b…
08-07 01:33:51	btc updown 5m 1786066200	Up	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x2cab0d…
08-07 01:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786066200	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa9515e…
08-07 01:20:18	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x795c76…
08-07 01:20:15	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9e5520…
08-07 01:20:10	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x361993…
08-07 01:20:07	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Down	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5e5f92…
08-07 01:18:34	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Up	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x8816eb…
08-07 01:18:07	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Up	BUY	78	16¢	$13	0xefe025…
08-07 01:18:07	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Up	BUY	120	16¢	$19	0x946c01…
08-07 01:18:06	btc updown 5m 1786065300	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x64a97c…
08-05 18:59:44	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	541	28¢	$151	0x5d9d96…
08-05 15:51:00	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xb8e50e…
08-05 07:33:44	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	58	28¢	$16	0x36fb8c…
08-05 01:49:26	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	305	28¢	$85	0xb55b02…
08-03 19:36:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0xc72419…
08-03 19:32:03	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x9632cf…
08-03 19:29:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	1,382	1¢	$17	0x57ab3b…
08-03 17:36:42	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xbf1c63…
08-03 17:35:44	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0x11225b…
08-03 17:12:20	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xd50eab…
08-03 16:58:38	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	267	100¢	$267	0x4e943c…
08-03 16:52:27	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x685fed…
08-03 16:24:36	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ecff0…
08-03 16:11:57	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4137d3…
08-03 15:58:09	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x59db2a…
08-03 15:54:18	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x95dfa6…