Perfect-Picnic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

1,636

Trades

7,876

lifetime

Volume

$3.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$428

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-15 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Other

56% 85% +$33,878

Politics

31% 78% +$2,672

Crypto

10% 94% +$1,902

Sports

2% 76% -$686

Tech

0% 67% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	113	$407.1K	219,988	188,570	+31,418	Yes	+$296	07-23 14:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$116.6K	58,497	58,497	+0	No	+$23	04-30 11:39
lol gen t1 2026 07 21	13	$99.8K	50,000	50,000	+0	T1	+$0	07-21 11:33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	6	$81.8K	81,869	0	+81,869	No	+$82	06-29 22:59
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	78	$78.0K	52,271	27,126	+25,145	Yes	+$1,389	08-03 20:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	7	$62.6K	41,804	20,903	+20,901	Yes	+$21	05-30 18:52
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	26	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	Yes	+$60	07-20 16:03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	23	$59.4K	38,574	20,901	+17,672	No	+$18	05-30 23:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$57.3K	57,755	10	+57,745	No	+$462	06-03 04:12
Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	214	$55.2K	50,450	10,184	+40,267	Yes	+$4,953	08-08 05:18
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	107	$52.9K	26,412	28,029	-1,618	No	+$10	02-09 21:51
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	26	$47.5K	34,977	12,664	+22,313	No	+$115	07-04 00:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	50	$47.0K	24,212	24,212	+0	Yes	+$1,316	06-17 10:27
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	1	$40.9K	0	40,915	-40,915	Yes	-$41	06-29 22:58
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	21	$35.7K	24,014	11,948	+12,066	Yes	+$223	04-30 23:21
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?	17	$33.8K	20,923	13,000	+7,923	No	+$104	07-04 00:44
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	32	$31.6K	15,935	15,935	+0	Yes	+$170	03-29 14:05
will bitcoin reach 63k on june 11	3	$30.9K	30,935	0	+30,935	Yes	+$31	06-11 10:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	45	$28.8K	17,428	17,428	+0	Yes	-$469	02-27 17:34
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$28.7K	28,737	0	+28,737	Yes	+$30	07-31 20:01
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	7	$28.0K	15,981	12,000	+3,981	Yes	+$4	08-08 00:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	20	$27.7K	18,503	9,261	+9,242	Yes	+$37	03-24 22:05
over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	5	$24.6K	24,596	0	+24,596	Yes	+$25	07-13 18:57
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	14	$24.4K	19,101	5,397	+13,704	Under	+$53	07-01 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	6	$24.2K	24,106	96	+24,010	Up	+$24	05-22 06:54
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?	17	$24.1K	9,756	17,223	-7,467	Yes	-$45	06-08 08:08
Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 3 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	4	$23.3K	22,890	1,306	+21,584	No	+$440	08-08 03:47
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	40	$22.7K	12,062	11,207	+855	No	+$32	02-24 23:33
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	56	$22.4K	11,818	11,818	+0	No	-$113	02-18 13:25
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	10	$21.6K	12,441	9,230	+3,211	No	+$25	05-25 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 00:54:28	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5a227e…
10-15 00:54:26	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xff0a44…
10-15 00:54:14	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x828cc6…
10-15 00:54:14	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6792cf…
10-15 00:53:56	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7e1639…
10-15 00:53:50	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xe99274…
10-15 00:49:50	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5851b9…
10-15 00:49:49	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3c03a4…
10-15 00:49:49	Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3a0806…
10-14 06:56:50	Tomás Jacob: 3+ shots	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2d9bf5…
10-14 06:16:35	Tomás Jacob: 3+ shots	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc19fcd…
10-14 06:14:04	Tomás Jacob: 3+ shots	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc0328c…
10-14 05:51:19	Tomás Jacob: 3+ shots	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x06f846…
10-06 17:11:14	Egribel vs. Werner: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf6bf41…
10-06 17:11:12	Egribel vs. Werner: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0eeb14…
10-06 17:10:00	Egribel vs. Werner: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa0e73f…
10-06 17:09:54	Egribel vs. Werner: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9f5425…
10-06 17:09:54	Egribel vs. Werner: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8a3d50…
10-06 16:38:09	Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd397ae…
10-06 16:38:08	Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x82d351…
10-01 07:19:50	will the nba announce an expansion team in las vegas by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xad61ed…
10-01 05:53:32	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xeddd37…
10-01 05:41:48	Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc803e8…
10-01 05:41:48	Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	0¢	$0	0x304d63…
10-01 05:41:48	Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0aff80…
10-01 05:41:47	Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf99158…
10-01 05:41:12	Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0xd6d5cc…
10-01 05:23:47	will the nba announce an expansion team in las vegas by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x02075a…
10-01 05:23:21	will the nba announce an expansion team in las vegas by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf5c1d6…
10-01 04:35:44	Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xde55b4…
10-01 04:32:00	Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	0¢	$1	0x495d49…
10-01 04:31:59	Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x39f1d4…
10-01 04:29:21	Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xb483ba…
10-01 04:29:21	Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	0¢	$0	0xac3cfe…
09-23 16:46:22	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xec71e0…
09-23 16:45:19	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0832f2…
09-23 16:32:55	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	SELL	2,901	18¢	$518	0x6a41d9…
09-23 15:15:49	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xcebb79…
09-23 15:13:25	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc9896d…
09-23 15:13:08	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd72c4a…
09-23 14:53:27	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	479	10¢	$46	0x02abf8…
09-23 14:52:09	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	275	11¢	$31	0xd127ee…
09-23 13:36:46	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	67	13¢	$8	0xd27aea…
09-23 13:29:41	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xcd58cd…
09-15 08:21:30	ILT20 Continent Cup: Sierra Leone vs Uganda - Toss Match Double Sierra Leone Winner	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa74b7…
09-15 08:17:39	Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcdda93…
09-15 08:17:22	Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x659484…
09-15 08:17:12	Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfbd6c…
09-15 08:16:52	Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf3e882…
09-15 08:03:30	T20 Series India A vs Australia A, Women: India A vs Australia A - Toss Match Double Australia A Winner	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x97d96b…
09-15 08:02:39	T20 Series India A vs Australia A, Women: India A vs Australia A - Toss Match Double Australia A Winner	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c773a…
09-01 12:10:03	Will Defensor Sporting win on 2026-07-25?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9964a5…
08-21 06:13:30	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	Yes	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xaf8c4f…
08-21 06:11:01	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	Yes	BUY	830	100¢	$829	0x25c6ac…
08-21 06:10:07	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours	Yes	BUY	2,637	100¢	$2,634	0x49cb1c…
08-21 06:09:58	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 24 hours	Yes	BUY	6,528	100¢	$6,521	0x62872a…
08-19 14:24:55	clf tsg ksc 2026 08 01 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xeae820…
08-19 14:17:24	clf tsg ksc 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x6f3a00…
08-17 12:13:36	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 btts second half	No	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x823906…
08-17 12:04:12	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	565	100¢	$564	0x6d535a…
08-17 12:03:31	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 second half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x3dd28e…
08-17 12:02:34	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	543	100¢	$543	0xd5da08…
08-17 12:02:28	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	544	100¢	$544	0xc832e0…
08-17 12:02:21	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x2a517b…
08-17 12:01:39	uru1 wan cla 2026 08 16 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,167	100¢	$1,166	0x7edc97…
08-09 19:35:55	Exact Score: CD Derio 0 - 2 Club Portugalete?	Yes	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,129	0x09fb5c…
08-09 19:31:37	CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	318	100¢	$318	0x440493…
08-09 19:31:01	CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x5be64b…
08-09 19:29:30	CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x0ae55f…
08-09 17:34:03	clf der port 2026 08 08 btts	No	BUY	490	100¢	$489	0xf81a3c…
08-09 16:26:12	clf der port 2026 08 08 btts	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xf49302…
08-09 16:24:21	clf der port 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,817	100¢	$1,815	0xf4a0d6…
08-09 16:22:03	clf der port 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	705	100¢	$704	0xe4bfca…
08-09 16:21:51	clf der port 2026 08 08 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	705	100¢	$704	0x12b21d…
08-09 16:21:39	clf der port 2026 08 08 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	705	100¢	$704	0xdf2b2b…
08-08 19:18:30	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Team Jenz	BUY	192	48¢	$92	0xaccc25…
08-08 19:17:40	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Team Jenz	BUY	767	48¢	$368	0x022f5c…
08-08 08:09:48	1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	467	100¢	$466	0xcbf1db…
08-08 08:09:22	1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4b15e3…
08-08 08:09:03	1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x34b865…
08-08 06:30:15	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbbe3bc…
08-08 06:25:15	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x8b2cc3…
08-08 06:21:45	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xf2065a…
08-08 06:21:39	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xff9171…
08-08 06:21:04	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xdbc7ca…
08-08 05:50:39	Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x662b5c…
08-08 05:41:51	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xe58509…
08-08 05:40:51	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xb4959b…
08-08 05:40:34	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	269	0¢	$0	0xbd8296…
08-08 05:39:39	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x96d443…
08-08 05:39:30	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xc8c26e…
08-08 05:37:27	Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc5077…
08-08 05:36:13	Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa0034a…
08-08 05:35:33	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9819fe…
08-08 05:31:04	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,043	100¢	$1,042	0x94c645…
08-08 05:30:45	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	468	100¢	$468	0xeb62b3…
08-08 05:29:13	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	802	100¢	$802	0x33c3ea…
08-08 05:26:03	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xa0d7e6…
08-08 05:26:03	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$0	0x634acb…
08-08 05:24:54	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$0	0xe2d314…