Perfect-Picnic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,993

lifetime

Volume

$1.49M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$249

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-09 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

47% 84% +$142

Politics

39% 67% +$3

Crypto

14% 92% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$116.6K	58,497	58,497	+0	open	—	04-30 11:39
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	107	$52.9K	26,412	28,029	-1,618	open	—	02-09 21:51
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	21	$35.7K	24,014	11,948	+12,066	open	—	04-30 23:21
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	32	$31.6K	15,935	15,935	+0	open	—	03-29 14:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	45	$28.8K	17,428	17,428	+0	open	—	02-27 17:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$28.7K	28,852	10	+28,842	open	—	06-03 04:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	20	$27.7K	18,503	9,261	+9,242	open	—	03-24 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	6	$24.2K	24,106	96	+24,010	open	—	05-22 06:54
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	40	$22.7K	12,062	11,207	+855	open	—	02-24 23:33
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	56	$22.4K	11,818	11,818	+0	open	—	02-18 13:25
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	10	$21.6K	12,441	9,230	+3,211	open	—	05-25 17:53
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	26	$21.0K	13,838	8,753	+5,085	open	—	02-27 17:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$20.4K	10,265	10,265	+0	open	—	04-08 00:34
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	78	$19.3K	11,896	9,062	+2,834	open	—	03-08 20:57
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$18.2K	9,233	9,233	+0	open	—	03-24 19:44
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	23	$18.1K	14,249	14,146	+103	open	—	03-24 13:51
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	22	$17.7K	9,660	8,095	+1,565	open	—	03-25 20:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	22	$17.2K	12,265	6,271	+5,995	open	—	03-10 18:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	18	$13.7K	8,904	4,822	+4,082	open	—	04-05 18:42
Will Trump dance today?	2	$13.3K	11,315	2,000	+9,315	open	—	04-28 20:50
crint irl omn 2026 02 14	14	$12.5K	7,564	5,047	+2,516	open	—	02-14 08:16
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	23	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	open	—	05-15 20:52
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	53	$11.9K	7,347	5,636	+1,710	open	—	02-24 20:04
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	3	$11.4K	8,365	3,003	+5,362	open	—	03-04 22:49
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	52	$11.2K	15,863	9,334	+6,529	open	—	03-27 06:22
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$11.2K	9,873	1,309	+8,564	open	—	04-01 03:03
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?	10	$10.5K	20,166	176	+19,989	open	—	05-21 15:22
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	15	$10.5K	5,299	5,299	+0	open	—	04-04 01:08
us strike on somalia by march 7	2	$10.3K	5,166	5,166	+0	open	—	03-02 12:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	1	$10.2K	10,286	0	+10,286	open	—	04-08 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:02:09	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x675637…
06-09 10:44:45	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x60a0b1…
06-09 10:32:21	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x36b2cb…
06-09 10:14:30	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	714	50¢	$357	0x970ba2…
06-09 10:10:57	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe70236…
06-09 10:10:55	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x856d42…
06-09 10:10:55	crint chn sau 2026 06 09 toss winner	Saudi Arabia	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7e29fc…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdce9ff…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc3742f…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9e188a…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x991946…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5879d6…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e907a…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35b198…
06-09 10:10:54	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10d968…
06-09 10:10:52	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe9341b…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc3497d…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9105eb…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75fb0b…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7209f8…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x353ae7…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x315baf…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25f73f…
06-09 10:10:51	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1d3fab…
06-09 10:10:49	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d427a…
06-09 10:10:48	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa0fe80…
06-09 10:10:48	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5b8cd1…
06-09 10:10:48	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x41f01b…
06-09 10:10:46	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8b968…
06-09 10:10:46	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4f1698…
06-09 10:10:42	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	Saudi Arabia	BUY	495	50¢	$248	0xd42737…
06-09 10:04:12	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	270	50¢	$135	0xa3e758…
06-09 09:55:10	crint chn sau 2026 06 09	China	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x5925bb…
06-09 08:13:33	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 12 20260607232722169	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x80b510…
06-08 21:44:37	fif nig mtn 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xc6b71e…
06-08 21:44:03	fif nig mtn 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3,713	99¢	$3,683	0x76a851…
06-08 21:04:10	xrp up or down on may 19 2026	Down	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,095	0x3d4de7…
06-08 21:01:27	solana up or down on may 18 2026	Down	BUY	7,519	100¢	$7,512	0x88eede…
06-08 20:58:16	solana up or down on may 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa0240e…
06-08 20:58:16	solana up or down on may 18 2026	Down	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7beca5…
06-08 19:42:24	solana up or down on may 18 2026	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2e9e3a…
06-08 12:07:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1,960	100¢	$1,958	0x83cdd6…
06-08 10:39:06	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	83	29¢	$24	0xd52588…
06-08 10:38:40	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	500	29¢	$145	0xaa5bf7…
06-08 10:28:43	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	54	25¢	$14	0x982e00…
06-08 09:58:06	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xae1a74…
06-08 09:51:30	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x22d244…
06-08 09:44:16	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x1a95b0…
06-08 09:41:28	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2a1833…
06-08 09:41:06	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9e755f…
06-08 09:24:58	fif eqg com 2026 06 08 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	610	26¢	$159	0xe08311…
06-08 06:04:39	crint npl2 hon2 2026 06 08 toss winner	Nepal	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfc4ad7…
06-08 04:36:10	will xrp dip to 1pt15 on june 8	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x0c8721…
06-07 05:02:40	crint chn are3 2026 06 06	United Arab Emirates	BUY	2,150	100¢	$2,148	0xb33ccf…
06-07 03:29:42	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,253	100¢	$5,248	0x3a816c…
06-06 20:16:18	YOM FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,628	100¢	$2,624	0x44a0c9…
06-06 20:14:51	YOM FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc10535…
06-06 20:13:30	YOM FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	621	99¢	$612	0xade8e2…
06-06 20:11:52	YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x92a577…
06-06 20:11:43	YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x5b6478…
06-06 20:10:16	YOM FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb359be…
06-06 11:23:49	bitcoin above 60600 on june 6 2026 7am et	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x9e2de3…
06-06 05:34:46	crint npl3 hon5 2026 06 06 toss winner	Nepal	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1abb38…
06-06 05:34:27	crint npl3 hon5 2026 06 06 toss winner	Nepal	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd87776…
06-05 09:43:39	crint omn2 hon2 2026 06 05 completed match	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd5680c…
06-05 09:15:51	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	214	6¢	$12	0xb5e955…
06-05 09:11:43	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	BUY	214	5¢	$10	0x6ca8dc…
06-05 09:06:19	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	671	6¢	$40	0x9a0bca…
06-05 09:04:55	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	BUY	671	4¢	$28	0x9e8a59…
06-05 05:15:00	crint bhr sgp 2026 06 04	Singapore	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0x9083db…
06-05 05:07:18	crint bhr sgp 2026 06 04	Singapore	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0xa72f63…
06-05 05:05:54	crint bhr sgp 2026 06 04 completed match	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x445f88…
06-04 16:34:49	bitcoin above 61800 on june 4 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xfc6576…
06-04 10:38:57	will john madden be on the cover of madden nfl 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f1642…
06-04 06:11:31	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe35fe8…
06-04 06:01:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x71981e…
06-04 03:48:00	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb015b…
06-04 03:46:24	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1c683f…
06-04 03:46:24	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1a40d3…
06-04 03:46:24	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1a03c4…
06-03 04:12:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa104b9…
06-02 12:37:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xea596d…
06-02 09:24:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb71310…
06-02 09:10:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28,835	99¢	$28,633	0x2292a4…
06-01 11:03:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35b2ee…
06-01 09:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xaacb71…
06-01 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0x6026ce…
06-01 09:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x7ada2e…
06-01 09:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	132	51¢	$67	0x136c55…
06-01 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	658	50¢	$329	0xd6d3bf…
06-01 09:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	228	49¢	$113	0xb75a1a…
06-01 08:57:14	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	SELL	1,218	4¢	$53	0x8f301e…
06-01 08:57:03	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	SELL	589	5¢	$32	0xc65ae3…
06-01 08:56:41	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe49d33…
06-01 08:56:13	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x149aef…
06-01 08:55:43	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xc96816…
06-01 08:55:36	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x89f91f…
06-01 08:38:15	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Bahrain	BUY	1,879	44¢	$818	0xfb1732…
06-01 06:19:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe3c83d…
06-01 06:17:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xe56f08…