Perfect-Picnic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,374

lifetime

Volume

$1.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$285

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-13 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

49% 84% +$142

Politics

34% 67% +$3

Crypto

14% 92% +$1

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$116.6K	58,497	58,497	+0	open	—	04-30 11:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	26	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	07-20 16:03
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	107	$52.9K	26,412	28,029	-1,618	open	—	02-09 21:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	50	$47.0K	24,212	24,212	+0	open	—	06-17 10:27
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	21	$35.7K	24,014	11,948	+12,066	open	—	04-30 23:21
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	32	$31.6K	15,935	15,935	+0	open	—	03-29 14:05
will bitcoin reach 63k on june 11	3	$30.9K	30,935	0	+30,935	open	—	06-11 10:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	45	$28.8K	17,428	17,428	+0	open	—	02-27 17:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$28.7K	28,852	10	+28,842	open	—	06-03 04:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	20	$27.7K	18,503	9,261	+9,242	open	—	03-24 22:05
over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	5	$24.6K	24,596	0	+24,596	open	—	07-13 18:57
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	14	$24.4K	19,101	5,397	+13,704	open	—	07-01 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	6	$24.2K	24,106	96	+24,010	open	—	05-22 06:54
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	40	$22.7K	12,062	11,207	+855	open	—	02-24 23:33
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	56	$22.4K	11,818	11,818	+0	open	—	02-18 13:25
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	10	$21.6K	12,441	9,230	+3,211	open	—	05-25 17:53
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	26	$21.0K	13,838	8,753	+5,085	open	—	02-27 17:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$20.4K	10,265	10,265	+0	open	—	04-08 00:34
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	78	$19.3K	11,896	9,062	+2,834	open	—	03-08 20:57
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$18.2K	9,233	9,233	+0	open	—	03-24 19:44
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	23	$18.1K	14,249	14,146	+103	open	—	03-24 13:51
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	22	$17.7K	9,660	8,095	+1,565	open	—	03-25 20:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	22	$17.2K	12,265	6,271	+5,995	open	—	03-10 18:20
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?	12	$16.9K	16,886	0	+16,886	open	—	06-18 07:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	18	$13.7K	8,904	4,822	+4,082	open	—	04-05 18:42
Will Trump dance today?	2	$13.3K	11,315	2,000	+9,315	open	—	04-28 20:50
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	17	$13.0K	11,103	2,006	+9,096	open	—	07-10 13:21
crint irl omn 2026 02 14	14	$12.5K	7,564	5,047	+2,516	open	—	02-14 08:16
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	23	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	open	—	05-15 20:52
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	53	$11.9K	7,347	5,636	+1,710	open	—	02-24 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:03:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,831	100¢	$1,829	0x739283…
07-20 16:03:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a386f…
07-20 16:03:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13,000	100¢	$12,987	0xca1fa0…
07-20 16:03:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x52f5b6…
07-20 16:03:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6bf9dc…
07-20 16:03:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x0d600e…
07-20 16:03:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa16c80…
07-20 16:03:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7a5cb3…
07-20 16:03:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4f7424…
07-20 16:03:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x17c10e…
07-20 16:03:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd8aaa1…
07-20 16:03:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x297393…
07-20 16:03:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5f0871…
07-20 16:03:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc35c5e…
07-20 16:02:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc952ec…
07-20 16:02:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xde8a74…
07-20 16:02:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ca4b2…
07-20 16:02:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xed4449…
07-20 16:02:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x637c4b…
07-20 16:02:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x896b15…
07-20 16:02:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x09db58…
07-20 16:02:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe54fce…
07-20 16:02:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40,000	100¢	$39,960	0x3f1ebc…
07-20 16:02:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x2d3510…
07-20 16:02:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xca32e2…
07-20 16:02:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x166898…
07-13 18:58:28	over 4m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325642	Yes	BUY	7,038	100¢	$7,031	0x8d09b5…
07-13 18:57:37	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	8,424	100¢	$8,416	0x4a0282…
07-13 18:54:14	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	6,140	100¢	$6,134	0xf1105a…
07-13 18:50:08	over 4m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325642	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8ebea2…
07-13 18:46:31	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xa20a34…
07-13 17:41:28	over 10m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325645	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7453c3…
07-13 17:16:11	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdd84e8…
07-13 17:08:47	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77f954…
07-13 16:52:28	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3b79ea…
07-12 13:19:49	crict20blastw lan dur 2026 07 12	Lancashire Thunder	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e3838…
07-12 04:55:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc74576…
07-12 03:29:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots lautaro martinez gte1	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0979bc…
07-12 03:26:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots lautaro martinez gte1	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe73191…
07-12 03:09:20	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x801a89…
07-12 03:07:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	267	99¢	$264	0xe8f64b…
07-12 03:06:10	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x371054…
07-11 04:27:23	cricmlc san los 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	3,666	100¢	$3,662	0xb46aaa…
07-11 04:26:26	cricmlc san los 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2c0128…
07-11 04:25:17	cricmlc san los 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ed5bd…
07-11 04:24:43	cricmlc san los 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc96e79…
07-11 04:23:46	cricmlc san los 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	3,272	100¢	$3,269	0x7c2a23…
07-11 04:23:38	cricmlc san los 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9097ea…
07-11 03:37:58	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Yes	BUY	1,682	100¢	$1,680	0x80fa9c…
07-10 13:21:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,344	99¢	$1,335	0xfd7c31…
07-10 13:21:16	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	561	99¢	$557	0x488845…
07-10 13:17:50	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xf97906…
07-10 12:51:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	6,281	99¢	$6,225	0x74c34a…
07-10 12:36:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	814	99¢	$807	0xfd5344…
07-10 11:54:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xafce4e…
07-10 11:52:11	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	743	100¢	$742	0xb08441…
07-10 11:48:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	753	99¢	$746	0x27e844…
07-10 11:48:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	819	100¢	$818	0x8a7152…
07-10 11:40:47	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x1683c1…
07-10 11:36:28	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xb0167f…
07-10 11:33:17	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0xdeeae4…
07-10 11:32:02	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	543	99¢	$538	0x99d47f…
07-10 11:29:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0xe73aea…
07-10 11:28:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb00fdc…
07-10 11:28:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x43ca7b…
07-10 11:25:41	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	417	98¢	$408	0x0273c3…
07-10 09:33:10	will future feature esdeekid on the real me 20260624160542255	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f99ce…
07-10 09:24:37	will future feature esdeekid on the real me 20260624160542255	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47756b…
07-10 09:24:01	will future feature 21 savage on the real me 20260624160542247	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba4b91…
07-10 09:11:40	will future feature 2 chainz on the real me 20260624160542277	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf23d1d…
07-10 09:02:25	will future feature sza on the real me 20260624160542264	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x2f7140…
07-10 09:00:40	will future feature sexyy red on the real me 20260624160542250	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,199	0x8ea9c7…
07-09 04:56:16	Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?	Yes	BUY	153	0¢	$0	0x3d4ca5…
07-09 04:55:29	Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9d2ec7…
07-09 04:54:49	Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?	Yes	BUY	844	0¢	$1	0x87ebc9…
07-09 04:54:16	Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?	No	BUY	662	100¢	$659	0xa961ae…
07-09 02:47:38	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x319c5e…
07-09 02:45:53	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 2pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2,223	100¢	$2,221	0x125a92…
07-09 02:45:46	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 2pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	7,777	100¢	$7,769	0x74ef79…
07-09 02:45:32	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 3pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	9,868	100¢	$9,858	0x2354c1…
07-09 02:32:10	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 3pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	777	100¢	$776	0x3aa5ca…
07-09 02:26:11	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10,648	100¢	$10,637	0x5e3784…
07-09 02:26:02	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10,645	100¢	$10,634	0x26bed9…
07-09 02:25:53	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10,650	100¢	$10,639	0xf264a1…
07-07 16:36:47	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	ZEDI Esports	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe6d045…
07-07 16:35:40	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	901	0¢	$2	0x723c36…
07-07 16:35:13	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	GamerLegion	SELL	180	99¢	$179	0xeb75e8…
07-07 16:34:19	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	ZEDI Esports	BUY	722	1¢	$4	0xf545b5…
07-07 12:03:59	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x8dab15…
07-07 12:02:58	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x0a1c4e…
07-07 12:00:56	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	GamerLegion	BUY	901	70¢	$632	0x0b2950…
07-07 12:00:23	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	BUY	1,111	8¢	$89	0x34ec72…
07-07 11:53:19	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	563	24¢	$135	0xbc3574…
07-07 11:52:41	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	427	28¢	$119	0x5b970e…
07-07 11:48:25	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	214	16¢	$34	0x45a5b5…
07-07 11:47:55	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	967	16¢	$155	0x282266…
07-07 11:47:47	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x2a2322…
07-07 11:47:44	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	1,832	16¢	$293	0x341480…
07-07 11:47:04	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	SELL	990	12¢	$119	0xaa9558…
07-07 11:46:23	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	ZEDI Esports	BUY	323	5¢	$16	0x524fed…