Thrifty-Prostrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.57K

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

205

Trades

3,035

lifetime

Volume

$1.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$423

Open exposure

$12.2K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Politics

84% 59% +$5,506

Other

12% 57% +$957

Crypto

3% 67% +$19,515

Sports

1% 100% +$344

Tech

0% 33% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-4,065	-$3,729	96¢	$-3892	-$163	06-11 23:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+7,568	$2,511	43¢	$3.3K	+$754	09-28 03:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+3,682	$2,667	80¢	$2.9K	+$261	10-13 07:27
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+1,664	$932	81¢	$1.3K	+$416	09-06 06:07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+2,064	$210	20¢	$413	+$202	10-26 15:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+330	$44	74¢	$246	+$201	10-19 15:16
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+6,069	$137	1¢	$70	-$67	08-22 15:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	+2,675	$25	0¢	$13	-$12	09-09 03:09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+62	$33	15¢	$9	-$24	10-21 05:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	250	$140.6K	104,937	104,937	+0	Yes	-$718	06-16 13:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	74	$115.1K	63,057	63,057	+0	No	-$4,384	04-14 23:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	51	$80.5K	47,482	47,482	+0	No	-$981	04-15 08:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	90	$68.2K	62,770	37,757	+25,013	No	+$5,875	07-02 10:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	69	$56.4K	39,341	26,941	+12,400	No	-$25	06-01 01:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	53	$51.9K	28,467	28,467	+0	No	+$779	06-16 05:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	81	$47.2K	37,526	37,526	+0	Yes	+$3,176	06-14 08:05
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	2	$46.7K	23,431	23,431	+0	No	-$23	01-03 10:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	17	$45.8K	32,524	19,183	+13,340	No	+$2,369	05-25 15:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$41.0K	25,804	25,804	+0	No	-$513	01-14 13:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$37.5K	32,219	25,523	+6,696	No	+$19,516	06-02 23:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	35	$37.3K	35,454	4,520	+30,934	No	+$2,623	06-19 13:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	56	$32.3K	32,756	32,756	+0	Yes	-$637	06-14 08:16
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	33	$23.7K	13,298	13,298	+0	Yes	+$695	06-01 01:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	46	$19.6K	8,573	12,638	-4,065	open	—	06-11 23:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$12.8K	12,919	5	+12,914	No	+$78	05-16 04:18
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$12.8K	12,019	11,057	+962	Yes	+$344	07-07 14:41
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	4	$12.5K	12,889	100	+12,789	Yes	+$538	05-13 12:39
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	47	$12.3K	10,313	8,780	+1,533	No	+$3,576	08-19 03:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	22	$11.1K	11,974	0	+11,974	No	+$857	05-23 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	34	$11.0K	12,876	12,876	+0	No	-$213	06-19 05:36
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	133	$10.8K	15,015	15,015	+0	No	-$5,124	07-18 00:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$10.7K	5,386	5,386	+0	No	+$5	05-31 07:47
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	24	$10.7K	6,355	6,355	+0	No	+$411	06-24 02:27
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	3	$10.5K	10,640	0	+10,640	No	+$107	07-07 23:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	21	$10.3K	7,505	7,442	+63	No	-$299	05-26 13:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	24	$9.8K	8,113	8,113	+0	No	-$1,536	06-19 03:07
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$9.6K	4,847	4,847	+0	No	+$53	05-22 13:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	22	$9.3K	6,625	6,625	+0	Yes	-$550	06-21 10:53
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$8.9K	4,452	4,452	+0	Yes	+$13	07-20 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:50:20	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,428	24¢	$342	0x395522…
10-26 00:44:48	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	636	22¢	$140	0x924bd2…
10-22 10:49:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	225	75¢	$169	0x94f868…
10-22 10:49:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	75	77¢	$58	0x43394a…
10-21 15:48:36	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	595	32¢	$192	0xcc5072…
10-21 05:57:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	54¢	$33	0x6c7906…
10-21 00:26:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd3bba9…
10-21 00:25:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd0c4c2…
10-21 00:25:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x1a719a…
10-19 15:16:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xc8775c…
10-19 14:04:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x9bfbf9…
10-19 13:38:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xf04e84…
10-17 08:32:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	77¢	$499	0xbfa374…
10-16 03:35:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	390	79¢	$309	0xb95145…
10-16 02:57:54	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,195	27¢	$323	0x1654fb…
10-15 12:36:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xfa40db…
10-15 12:35:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	202	80¢	$161	0x2482e2…
10-15 11:02:07	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	350	35¢	$122	0x61b658…
10-15 07:18:10	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	1,285	27¢	$344	0x9646db…
10-15 02:33:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	83¢	$500	0x27f1a4…
10-14 13:25:32	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,097	28¢	$590	0xe7cf4f…
10-14 09:47:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0xc2f021…
10-14 09:43:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0x11cb23…
10-14 09:37:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	471	86¢	$405	0x42bce3…
10-13 23:26:10	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	446	1¢	$3	0x330c55…
10-13 13:05:28	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,258	1¢	$14	0x27072b…
10-13 10:04:22	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0x3f53f8…
10-13 07:27:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	1,424	77¢	$1,097	0xbcd336…
10-11 15:06:37	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,132	9¢	$102	0x28dc99…
10-10 02:53:24	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa168e3…
10-10 02:52:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	227	43¢	$98	0x54b603…
10-09 06:17:36	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	766	28¢	$216	0xee6b57…
10-09 06:16:55	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xacf84a…
10-09 06:16:49	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	29¢	$28	0x638d89…
10-09 06:11:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	31¢	$28	0xf6c0f7…
10-09 06:10:37	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa2689d…
10-09 01:42:38	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	10¢	$43	0xe74cd9…
10-09 01:06:08	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	11¢	$44	0x7a21d3…
10-09 00:44:44	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	19¢	$19	0x9444e6…
10-09 00:44:35	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0fa8a0…
10-09 00:44:33	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xa59f88…
10-09 00:29:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	32¢	$23	0x65bebb…
10-09 00:19:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x32502e…
10-09 00:18:35	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb62ede…
10-09 00:17:11	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x76b572…
10-09 00:17:05	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x759933…
10-09 00:16:08	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	18¢	$15	0xc51d80…
10-09 00:16:00	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xd8cda5…
10-09 00:15:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	21¢	$33	0x98f990…
10-08 00:37:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	1,591	65¢	$1,035	0x153490…
10-07 12:30:22	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	276	77¢	$213	0x95c9c5…
10-07 11:16:30	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	517	66¢	$341	0xcf6750…
10-07 11:07:35	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	451	65¢	$293	0xc6f70f…
10-06 13:57:11	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	9¢	$16	0xf9c01e…
10-06 13:43:01	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1,577	99¢	$1,562	0x5761a2…
10-06 07:30:55	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,623	20¢	$325	0x6960c0…
10-06 01:23:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0xf2931d…
10-05 14:02:25	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,670	19¢	$317	0x298dba…
10-05 04:02:26	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xc5ebed…
10-05 03:30:14	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xcb3165…
10-05 02:13:05	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x2b6232…
10-05 02:08:52	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$93	0xd282e0…
10-05 02:08:23	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x184d03…
10-05 00:21:31	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,016	100¢	$1,015	0x915499…
10-05 00:21:22	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5b5f6c…
10-04 15:15:07	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	65¢	$137	0x1de19a…
10-04 13:43:44	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xbabb13…
10-04 13:36:59	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x9a00a7…
10-04 13:26:37	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x450849…
10-04 13:25:52	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x172e25…
10-04 13:25:14	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3277ff…
10-04 13:25:13	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	69¢	$131	0xd44d94…
10-04 13:24:02	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x426108…
10-04 13:24:01	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	73¢	$167	0xc35a19…
10-04 13:20:37	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x4df72b…
10-04 13:19:49	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf31fea…
10-04 13:19:20	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3bffc2…
10-04 13:19:16	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xf8dff9…
10-04 13:19:11	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x00fabc…
10-04 13:17:56	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x9a6719…
10-03 13:51:12	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	198	74¢	$146	0xfd87f6…
10-03 11:53:18	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0x9118c7…
10-03 11:53:17	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	7¢	$4	0x2e7264…
10-03 11:28:15	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	16¢	$103	0xa10223…
10-03 11:27:29	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	801	6¢	$51	0x8bf526…
10-03 11:27:21	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	6¢	$24	0xc422b2…
10-03 02:30:23	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	1,837	15¢	$276	0x20c2e4…
10-02 07:46:11	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	1,837	17¢	$312	0x9aaca1…
10-01 06:56:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	722	100¢	$721	0x337641…
09-30 02:41:42	next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 5 2026	No	BUY	595	88¢	$524	0xb7580d…
09-30 02:31:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	501	100¢	$499	0x30e108…
09-29 14:24:11	next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 5 2026	No	BUY	220	89¢	$196	0xdbc17d…
09-29 14:11:17	next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 5 2026	No	BUY	297	88¢	$261	0xf543b4…
09-29 14:10:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	342	92¢	$314	0x2709e3…
09-29 14:10:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xdfa98d…
09-29 14:08:57	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	538	68¢	$366	0x859b20…
09-29 09:30:44	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	412	45¢	$185	0xdc0861…
09-29 06:59:08	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	412	49¢	$202	0x593c40…
09-29 05:52:29	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	1,046	98¢	$1,020	0x001f17…
09-29 05:45:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	SELL	1,379	4¢	$61	0x383833…