Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.50K
Hit rate
82.1%
Resolved (90d)
64
Trades (90d)
481
3,078 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$97.0K
$1.29M lifetime
Avg / trade
$420
Open exposure
$15.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 02:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
84% 59% +$5,683
Other
12% 54% +$525
Crypto
3% 67% +$19,515
Sports
1% 100% +$344
Tech
0% 33% +$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -4,065 -$3,729 98¢ $-3994 -$265 06-11 23:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,568 $2,511 45¢ $3.4K +$913 09-28 03:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3,277 $2,330 88¢ $2.9K +$570 11-08 13:39
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +2,660 $2,299 86¢ $2.3K +$2 11-09 15:31
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +2,114 $1,310 88¢ $1.9K +$561 11-08 13:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +522 $428 76¢ $399 -$29 11-10 02:22
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +626 $244 40¢ $247 +$3 11-08 14:09
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? Yes +1,043 $357 20¢ $209 -$148 11-06 07:20
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,069 $137 2¢ $118 -$19 08-22 15:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +100 $86 85¢ $85 -$1 11-10 02:22
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,292 $109 6¢ $72 -$38 11-08 14:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $41 72¢ $41 +$1 11-08 09:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +2,675 $25 0¢ $4 -$21 09-09 03:09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +62 $33 2¢ $1 -$32 10-21 05:57