Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,471

lifetime

Volume

$6.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-10 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

53% 14% $-37

Other

38% 75% +$133

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	28	$108	88	72	+16	open	—	03-27 06:08
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	36	$98	2,065	2,375	-310	open	—	05-11 13:08
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	27	$97	61	61	+0	open	—	01-23 18:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	3	$89	94	94	+0	open	—	04-08 14:12
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	47	$68	89	89	+0	open	—	04-03 20:21
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	26	$64	2,135	2,135	+0	open	—	02-28 10:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	24	$60	27	74	-47	open	—	07-01 03:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$58	92	56	+36	open	—	05-26 03:22
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	45	$55	87	83	+3	open	—	07-07 19:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	25	$53	97	97	+0	open	—	03-10 15:01
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 10 2026	23	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	03-08 21:24
btc updown 15m 1781338500	8	$52	78	28	+49	open	—	06-13 08:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$50	852	852	+0	open	—	04-08 17:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	47	$40	39	29	+10	open	—	05-15 23:59
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	8	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-19 00:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$38	54	54	+0	open	—	05-25 23:48
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	8	$38	146	33	+113	Yes	+$140	05-03 00:22
will iran strike israel on march 10	42	$37	95	95	+0	open	—	03-14 11:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	9	$36	24	55	-31	open	—	06-14 20:38
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	9	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	07-31 14:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	5	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	07-20 16:05
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	3	$34	146	146	+0	open	—	03-24 21:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	41	$33	33	33	+0	open	—	03-01 01:32
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	30	$33	32	31	+1	open	—	04-28 02:24
sol updown 5m 1781336400	3	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	06-13 07:45
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	30	$33	26	20	+6	open	—	05-15 13:22
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	49	$31	87	85	+1	open	—	03-03 20:39
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 6	8	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-07 14:01
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	14	$29	45	44	+1	open	—	06-18 20:39
sol updown 5m 1781335200	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	06-13 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:52:33	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xddf9a1…
08-10 00:07:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xd709c6…
08-08 07:00:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x30c10b…
08-07 21:34:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x4ce7c9…
08-07 20:29:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x86e0ff…
08-01 18:58:50	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1fe6af…
08-01 10:04:08	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x1d7520…
08-01 10:00:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xf2412c…
08-01 08:34:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xf9a701…
08-01 06:12:18	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbfd58c…
08-01 06:12:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa5218b…
08-01 06:12:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1462f0…
08-01 05:12:05	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7310ba…
08-01 05:08:47	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3f8f35…
08-01 05:08:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x882cde…
07-31 15:51:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x6ab867…
07-31 14:34:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x859149…
07-31 14:34:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xd244d3…
07-31 14:15:02	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8b0f32…
07-31 04:09:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x524f26…
07-30 21:07:45	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xffbb98…
07-30 21:07:21	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x4a425f…
07-30 21:06:30	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x3c8488…
07-30 21:06:00	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd333dd…
07-30 17:07:21	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x4c229c…
07-30 11:07:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xeaa5b9…
07-30 10:59:50	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0bf1c0…
07-30 10:57:23	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x472f70…
07-30 10:54:20	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1b2246…
07-30 05:59:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x51469b…
07-29 15:27:44	ucl kai omo 2026 07 29 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x1c32b5…
07-29 14:48:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x365bf0…
07-29 11:19:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xae106a…
07-29 11:19:41	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x201651…
07-28 12:08:46	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x1bd3fd…
07-27 21:24:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x47074c…
07-27 21:22:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7a154a…
07-27 21:15:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbc272e…
07-27 20:58:43	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7834c4…
07-27 20:58:43	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5564f1…
07-27 13:36:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xfdb48a…
07-27 07:17:03	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x105147…
07-26 20:31:40	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x47f4ba…
07-26 15:51:16	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7826d…
07-26 15:49:27	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x218983…
07-26 01:11:28	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74431c…
07-25 10:00:00	val jdg drg 2026 07 25	JD Gaming	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x11b99d…
07-25 07:40:04	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbab739…
07-25 03:05:49	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 25 2026 20260722224455366	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x44d6a4…
07-24 10:10:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x89ac52…
07-24 09:25:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xce7e91…
07-24 08:41:10	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x68fa16…
07-24 08:30:10	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfbd25f…
07-24 08:24:09	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xae849c…
07-24 08:24:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x8ca36b…
07-24 08:19:07	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe7a8b7…
07-24 07:55:51	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x0d5eab…
07-24 04:35:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x1d4199…
07-24 04:10:25	btc updown 5m 1784866200	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x21c94b…
07-24 00:32:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1172a4…
07-23 23:36:28	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5dd02c…
07-23 22:16:34	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x96438b…
07-23 22:14:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0f31d2…
07-23 18:39:09	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x363296…
07-23 05:51:13	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x376c8f…
07-20 18:25:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7afd1e…
07-20 18:24:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5a975a…
07-20 18:22:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3c8095…
07-20 18:13:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x088b43…
07-20 17:37:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x718346…
07-20 16:05:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6a0ad0…
07-20 15:55:09	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x60af45…
07-20 15:55:09	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x339e6f…
07-20 13:21:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x1198af…
07-20 13:18:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe8f66d…
07-20 10:45:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x843d10…
07-19 23:12:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd4d7a7…
07-19 01:15:42	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x2c3d8a…
07-18 21:37:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xbda8f5…
07-18 16:03:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x297e6c…
07-18 15:32:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x7e5356…
07-18 04:31:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd74e52…
07-18 04:22:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe922c3…
07-17 03:07:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x0bb034…
07-17 01:58:10	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	No	BUY	468	0¢	$2	0xbeafe9…
07-17 01:13:02	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xef55e6…
07-17 01:12:08	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xa057fe…
07-17 01:11:05	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x1ec36f…
07-17 01:10:23	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb8ff9b…
07-16 17:23:02	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1bde54…
07-16 17:21:34	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1a9ba9…
07-16 17:21:05	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x70b231…
07-16 15:21:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xde1541…
07-15 11:56:44	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4718b6…
07-15 01:25:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xa4e60d…
07-14 07:56:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x8f2a40…
07-14 07:55:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xe0c60f…
07-14 07:55:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x419aa6…
07-14 07:54:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x30cb28…
07-14 07:54:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdf4386…