Realized P&L
+$96
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
22
Trades
3,406
lifetime
Volume
$6.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$41
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-20 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% 14% $-37
Other
38% 75% +$133
Crypto
5%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-02 01:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 +$0 06-11 15:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $4 68¢ $5 +$1 07-14 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 46¢ $5 +$3 07-07 21:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 07-14 07:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 12:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +26 $4 10¢ $3 $-1 07-20 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 07-14 07:55
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 12:10
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $-0 07-15 11:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-1 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 12:32
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 +$0 07-18 21:37