Realized P&L
-$2.99K
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
1,733
Trades
8,590
lifetime
Volume
$224.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.83K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-30 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
65% 68% -$626
Politics
19% 64% +$189
Crypto
8% 65% -$737
Sports
6% 47% -$1,462
Tech
1% 84% -$357
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 741 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +3,160 $3,106 100¢ $3.2K +$51 10-28 21:56
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +665 $441 86¢ $575 +$134 08-16 16:29
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -312 -$307 99¢ $-308 -$1 05-09 12:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +219 $218 86¢ $187 -$31 10-04 01:46
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +99 $77 97¢ $96 +$19 07-01 20:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +90 $62 99¢ $90 +$27 10-23 19:52
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +88 $74 99¢ $87 +$13 10-02 07:46
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +94 $86 92¢ $86 +$0 07-11 19:45
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +43 $36 98¢ $42 +$6 07-07 12:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +43 $38 98¢ $42 +$4 10-12 18:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,100 $127 3¢ $36 -$91 09-19 15:24
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +40 $34 84¢ $34 -$1 10-21 05:21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +103 $21 25¢ $26 +$5 05-03 04:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +39 $26 62¢ $24 -$2 10-20 15:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 Yes +45 $31 40¢ $18 -$13 08-18 17:38
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +88 $113 14¢ $12 -$102 08-13 16:49
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -282 -$20 3¢ $-9 +$12 05-02 12:08
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $26 68¢ $2 -$24 10-21 07:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +22 $4 7¢ $1 -$2 07-01 17:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 16:07
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +40 $12 0¢ $0 -$12 10-12 05:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? Yes +32 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-19 12:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$4 94¢ $0 +$4 05-04 05:27