Realized P&L
+$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.80K
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,983
lifetime
Volume
$390.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$38.8K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-10 00:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
92% 33% +$1,235
Politics
6% 50% +$50
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +16,255 $13,695 88¢ $14.3K +$642 06-08 13:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -8,803 $-6,550 90¢ $-7966 $-1,417 05-29 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -8,699 $-3,683 70¢ $-6089 $-2,406 05-31 11:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5,028 $3,488 72¢ $3.6K +$133 06-09 03:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +34,129 $4,325 10¢ $3.2K $-1,083 06-09 22:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2,000 $1,890 98¢ $2.0K +$61 05-30 17:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +888 $604 77¢ $684 +$80 05-30 18:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +500 $385 84¢ $422 +$38 06-01 13:28
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No -227 $-200 86¢ $-196 +$3 05-30 19:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +191 $145 68¢ $129 $-16 05-29 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-235 16¢ $-82 +$152 05-28 14:30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,212 $-83 $-67 +$16 06-10 00:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -100 $-17 22¢ $-22 $-6 05-31 11:22