Enchanting-Texture 0x71abe9…d2f015
whale hot 25W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$118.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.50K
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved
474
Trades
8,126
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$94.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-27 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
77% 63% +$101,732
Politics
22% 75% +$15,422
Tech
1% 60% +$658
Crypto
0% 70% +$311
Sports
0% 100% +$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30,700 $25,440 83¢ $25.5K +$41 10-25 22:56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +28,003 $23,043 86¢ $24.2K +$1,179 10-27 11:01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +8,805 $7,899 97¢ $8.6K +$681 10-05 04:15
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +4,500 $3,900 95¢ $4.3K +$373 09-08 21:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +10,065 $3,981 36¢ $3.7K -$313 10-26 08:53
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +7,499 $2,244 43¢ $3.2K +$980 10-27 11:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +3,145 $2,849 100¢ $3.1K +$296 10-27 04:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +2,492 $2,252 99¢ $2.5K +$215 10-26 07:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,445 $2,356 100¢ $2.4K +$77 10-24 14:07
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +4,721 $1,096 48¢ $2.3K +$1,171 10-06 19:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,934 $1,553 94¢ $1.8K +$274 10-21 21:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +4,004 $824 43¢ $1.7K +$897 10-05 01:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,355 $1,298 68¢ $1.6K +$315 10-26 07:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,709 $1,623 41¢ $1.5K -$102 10-27 01:04
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,104 $793 98¢ $1.1K +$291 09-12 20:37
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,017 $481 80¢ $819 +$338 10-07 01:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +1,110 $492 69¢ $766 +$274 08-23 16:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +2,200 $728 30¢ $660 -$68 08-24 00:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -600 -$703 96¢ $-573 +$130 08-14 02:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +3,333 $627 16¢ $550 -$77 08-31 01:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +848 $513 56¢ $479 -$34 10-20 14:30
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +8,566 $1,363 6¢ $471 -$891 09-14 07:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $390 94¢ $468 +$78 05-11 21:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,000 $600 22¢ $450 -$150 08-12 14:12
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +1,755 $319 25¢ $434 +$115 10-23 14:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $320 66¢ $328 +$8 10-08 01:03
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +300 $165 96¢ $289 +$124 10-10 01:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +6,775 $3,131 4¢ $271 -$2,860 10-20 15:13
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +270 $9 85¢ $228 +$220 07-28 12:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $310 22¢ $225 -$85 10-07 12:28