(anonymous) 0xdda510…2ac82a Create alert
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.91K
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved (90d)
218
Trades (90d)
1,369
2,365 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$160.3K
$279.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$27.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-13 02:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Politics
62% 82% +$10,187
Other
29% 77% +$999
Sports
9% 63% -$7,593
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$103
Crypto
0% 100% +$40
Tech
0% 100% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,500 $9,953 92¢ $10.5K +$570 11-12 20:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +3,279 $2,647 95¢ $3.1K +$466 11-10 12:32
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +3,170 $2,740 85¢ $2.7K -$45 11-11 01:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,494 $2,089 94¢ $2.3K +$243 11-08 09:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +2,300 $1,678 80¢ $1.9K +$174 11-10 04:39
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +1,500 $1,343 86¢ $1.3K -$45 11-11 14:07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,358 $903 90¢ $1.2K +$320 11-12 00:42
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +1,000 $946 96¢ $956 +$10 11-11 04:55
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +750 $570 74¢ $555 -$15 11-10 17:13
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? No +500 $447 90¢ $449 +$2 11-10 09:20
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +350 $314 100¢ $349 +$34 11-04 06:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $133 76¢ $302 +$169 10-27 03:33
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +300 $231 80¢ $242 +$11 11-12 19:47
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +250 $222 96¢ $239 +$17 11-06 14:08
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? No +219 $197 92¢ $200 +$3 11-11 22:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +200 $176 94¢ $189 +$13 11-06 14:08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +195 $171 92¢ $178 +$7 11-12 18:13
Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? No +117 $104 90¢ $106 +$2 11-09 01:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +100 $44 97¢ $97 +$53 09-30 09:02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +500 $145 19¢ $95 -$50 11-12 17:18
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +274 $88 32¢ $86 -$1 11-05 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +100 $74 74¢ $74 $0 11-10 04:19
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +100 $52 59¢ $59 +$7 11-01 00:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $60 6¢ $55 -$5 11-05 12:05
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +100 $46 51¢ $51 +$5 11-05 00:41
carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952 Yes +50 $17 74¢ $37 +$19 08-03 04:22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +83 $31 44¢ $36 +$6 11-12 14:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +15 -$3 91¢ $14 +$17 10-18 07:25
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? No +50 $25 26¢ $13 -$12 09-15 21:14
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date Yes +200 $70 6¢ $11 -$59 08-04 13:31