(anonymous) 0xdda510…2ac82a Create alert
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved (90d)
212
Trades (90d)
1,373
2,384 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$160.8K
$281.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$29.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-15 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
62% 82% +$10,187
Other
29% 77% +$999
Sports
9% 62% -$7,652
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$103
Tech
0% 100% +$70
Crypto
0% 100% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,500 $9,953 94¢ $10.8K +$800 11-12 20:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +3,536 $2,902 100¢ $3.5K +$622 11-15 07:29
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +3,170 $2,740 92¢ $2.9K +$161 11-11 01:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,494 $2,089 92¢ $2.3K +$218 11-08 09:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +2,600 $1,933 86¢ $2.2K +$290 11-15 12:27
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +1,500 $1,343 91¢ $1.4K +$22 11-11 14:07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,240 $796 90¢ $1.1K +$320 11-15 02:08
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +1,000 $946 95¢ $954 +$8 11-11 04:55
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +750 $570 76¢ $566 -$4 11-10 17:13
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? No +500 $447 88¢ $442 -$5 11-10 09:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $864 72¢ $360 -$504 11-15 20:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +350 $314 100¢ $349 +$35 11-04 06:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $133 76¢ $306 +$173 10-27 03:33
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +300 $231 90¢ $268 +$38 11-12 19:47
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +250 $222 97¢ $242 +$20 11-06 14:08
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? No +219 $197 94¢ $207 +$10 11-11 22:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +200 $176 97¢ $194 +$18 11-06 14:08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +195 $171 93¢ $181 +$10 11-12 18:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +500 $145 32¢ $158 +$12 11-12 17:18
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? No +200 $158 76¢ $151 -$7 11-15 15:49
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? No +200 $142 62¢ $124 -$18 11-15 04:39
Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? No +117 $104 90¢ $106 +$2 11-09 01:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +100 $44 97¢ $97 +$53 09-30 09:02
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +274 $88 32¢ $86 -$1 11-05 10:52
Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +200 $80 40¢ $79 -$1 11-15 10:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +100 $74 74¢ $74 +$0 11-10 04:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +100 $487 68¢ $67 -$420 11-15 10:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +100 $52 66¢ $66 +$14 11-01 00:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $60 6¢ $55 -$5 11-05 12:05
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30? No +53 $43 92¢ $48 +$6 11-15 01:47