Nimble-Essay 0x81de07…fc20d4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$776
Unrealized P&L
-$107
Hit rate
46.4%
Resolved
329
Trades
2,644
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$427
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 10-27 03:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
53% 57% -$119
Other
45% 46% -$583
Tech
1% 50% +$2
Sports
1% 0% -$64
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +279 $204 72¢ $202 -$1 10-26 21:44
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +64 $47 72¢ $46 -$2 10-25 22:58
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $21 94¢ $29 +$8 10-25 10:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +79 $26 31¢ $25 -$1 10-25 13:10
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +19 $19 97¢ $18 $0 10-22 13:13
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 $0 10-21 08:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +50 $17 29¢ $14 -$3 10-25 10:15
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $14 72¢ $14 $0 10-22 19:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +86 $47 14¢ $12 -$35 08-11 22:27
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +15 $8 60¢ $9 +$2 10-15 06:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +16 $10 55¢ $9 -$1 10-11 06:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +10 $5 56¢ $5 +$1 10-15 16:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +134 $25 4¢ $5 -$20 10-22 11:12
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +18 $6 18¢ $3 -$3 10-11 22:29
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8 $2 36¢ $3 +$1 10-01 20:40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +3 $3 76¢ $2 $0 10-20 22:02
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-20 13:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $3 90¢ $2 -$2 10-21 03:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +29 $13 6¢ $2 -$11 08-11 22:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +8 $3 16¢ $1 -$2 09-20 10:42
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $2 27¢ $1 -$1 08-11 22:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +61 $11 2¢ $1 -$10 09-21 13:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +33 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-17 10:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +12 $14 8¢ $1 -$13 08-11 22:27
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-26 04:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $4 18¢ $1 -$3 08-11 22:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +7 $2 11¢ $1 -$2 08-11 22:27
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +18 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-14 09:11
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +12 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 10-23 21:09
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +5 $5 10¢ $1 -$5 08-11 22:27