Nimble-Essay 0x81de07…fc20d4
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
973
lifetime
Volume
$6.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$207
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-22 15:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69% — —
Other
30% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -124 $-98 72¢ $-89 +$10 07-20 14:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -227 $-25 18¢ $-42 $-18 07-22 04:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +15 $17 86¢ $13 $-4 07-14 19:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +31 $12 29¢ $9 $-3 07-21 21:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +27 $9 32¢ $9 $-1 07-17 20:04
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $-0 07-21 21:08
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $5 87¢ $4 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +29 $5 13¢ $4 $-1 07-17 23:33
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 +$0 07-04 05:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5 $4 38¢ $2 $-2 06-29 02:22
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 07-21 21:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +16 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 07-21 21:10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +26 $19 8¢ $2 $-17 07-22 04:14
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 36¢ $2 $-1 07-11 18:49
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +13 $4 15¢ $2 $-2 06-24 06:24
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:41
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +8 $1 20¢ $2 +$0 07-15 23:40
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +8 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:39
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 07-02 23:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:57
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 21¢ $-1 +$0 07-21 14:41
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 07-04 06:10
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +9 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 06-24 10:47
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $-1 58¢ $1 +$2 07-21 03:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-04 08:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-21 21:15
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 14¢ $0 $-1 07-21 19:43