Nimble-Essay 0x81de07…fc20d4
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$3.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$348
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-01 08:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% — —
Other
15% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -124 $-109 86¢ $-107 +$1 06-15 16:14
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +90 $90 100¢ $90 +$0 06-30 13:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -93 $-81 86¢ $-81 +$0 06-20 01:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +29 $22 97¢ $28 +$6 07-01 06:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -26 $-16 66¢ $-17 $-1 06-14 18:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +10 $7 74¢ $8 +$1 06-24 16:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 06-29 02:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +13 $4 20¢ $3 $-2 06-24 06:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -14 $-3 16¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 23:56
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +9 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 06-24 10:47
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +18 $3 6¢ $1 $-2 06-15 18:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +8 $2 8¢ $1 $-2 06-08 20:45
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +6 $1 5¢ $0 $-1 06-27 07:34
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +2 $-0 13¢ $0 +$0 06-15 14:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +6 $3 3¢ $0 $-3 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -33 $0 0¢ $-0 $-0 06-21 04:09
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 1¢ $0 $-2 06-15 23:29