Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
61
lifetime
Volume
$305
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$17
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-25 19:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
48% 100% +$0
Other
33% 67% +$0
Crypto
16% 0% $0
Sports
3% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 $0 10-23 18:40
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +6 $6 90¢ $5 $0 08-19 23:38
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-22 12:07
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-24 03:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-26 06:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-04 20:12
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-22 11:43
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-07 07:36
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-04 11:09
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-08 14:27
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-24 18:50
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-22 18:20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-24 17:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-25 23:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-20 19:08