Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

+$207

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

$1.48K

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-13 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

72% 50% -$74

Other

20% 75% +$199

Tech

8% 33% -$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+974	$720	92¢	$891	+$171	07-01 10:04
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+184	$167	96¢	$176	+$9	06-13 11:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+234	$150	68¢	$158	+$8	10-13 12:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+159	$145	92¢	$147	+$2	10-13 12:55
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	+108	$86	95¢	$102	+$16	05-14 12:07
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+4	$3	92¢	$3	+$0	07-08 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$720	974	0	+974	open	—	07-01 10:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$688	390	390	+0	No	+$88	04-01 06:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$326	186	186	+0	No	+$46	05-06 10:16
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$167	184	0	+184	open	—	06-13 11:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$162	202	0	+202	Yes	-$162	03-21 09:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$150	234	0	+234	open	—	10-13 12:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$145	159	0	+159	open	—	10-13 12:55
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	1	$137	289	0	+289	No	+$152	04-08 11:21
deepseek v4 released by april 7	1	$127	137	0	+137	No	+$10	04-01 06:42
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	1	$100	595	0	+595	Yes	-$100	04-16 13:21
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	1	$86	108	0	+108	open	—	05-14 12:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$86	89	0	+89	Yes	+$3	03-20 15:32
claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	1	$50	556	0	+556	Yes	-$50	04-16 07:54
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$10	625	0	+625	No	-$10	03-21 09:33
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	07-08 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 12:55:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	159	91¢	$145	0x29902a…
10-13 12:54:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0x43e606…
07-08 06:41:25	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfb7c46…
07-01 10:04:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	827	75¢	$620	0x937949…
06-13 11:46:15	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	184	91¢	$167	0xec2f76…
05-14 12:07:54	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	108	80¢	$86	0x9375e5…
05-14 12:06:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x7e94a9…
05-06 10:16:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x1693fe…
04-18 17:12:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	186	75¢	$140	0xf141df…
04-16 13:21:52	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	595	17¢	$100	0xa1d6e7…
04-16 07:54:56	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x70e19e…
04-08 11:21:59	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	289	47¢	$137	0x6fb4df…
04-01 06:42:13	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	137	93¢	$127	0x521116…
04-01 06:27:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	390	100¢	$388	0x0b55d5…
03-21 09:34:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	202	80¢	$162	0xdd5f08…
03-21 09:33:19	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xb82028…
03-21 09:30:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xea0eef…
03-20 15:32:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x3f7b17…