Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$56

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-22 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

53% 83% +$8

Politics

25% 100% +$4

Sports

16% 100% +$1

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No		+56	$53	96¢	$54	+$0	10-22 17:41
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No		+3	$2	94¢	$3	+$0	09-12 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?	2	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	09-13 02:39
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	3	$112	57	57	+0	No	+$0	06-22 18:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	4	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	05-19 20:00
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	3	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$1	06-05 09:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	2	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$1	05-05 11:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	3	$108	57	57	+0	No	+$4	06-17 03:45
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$108	55	55	+0	No	+$0	09-26 12:04
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$107	55	55	+0	No	$0	05-09 19:57
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$1	10-02 04:04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-04 13:20
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	3	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	10-21 17:44
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	3	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$2	06-24 06:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	2	$106	57	57	+0	Yes	+$2	09-08 08:06
Revolut IPO before 2027?	3	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	09-02 14:40
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	08-16 05:27
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	6	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	09-21 08:28
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	3	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	08-11 20:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	06-25 00:25
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	09-07 07:42
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	08-22 18:20
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	4	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-31 11:02
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	3	$98	52	50	+3	open	—	09-12 23:06
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	4	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-27 13:20
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-17 02:06
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	07-15 21:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$1	05-28 06:09
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	1	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	10-22 17:41
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	6	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	07-04 07:32
Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	1	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	09-27 19:07
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	06-26 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:41:42	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xbe140e…
10-21 17:44:39	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x976c93…
10-06 21:51:11	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x978743…
10-06 21:46:17	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x050dd7…
10-06 21:45:20	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x425151…
10-05 17:44:53	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe7095b…
10-02 04:04:38	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x347a45…
09-27 19:07:11	Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x01bb13…
09-26 12:04:33	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x96bfa2…
09-21 08:28:35	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xf88fd7…
09-18 04:37:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb48515…
09-18 04:37:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xaf55b4…
09-17 13:10:30	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xe34789…
09-13 02:39:55	Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0xcc2d03…
09-12 23:06:51	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xfb1ff4…
09-11 08:48:10	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x061a45…
09-09 19:00:58	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x761d6d…
09-09 13:05:58	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xfff7ac…
09-09 10:39:10	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe46792…
09-09 05:15:04	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x4df7b4…
09-08 08:06:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x7814b0…
09-07 19:39:58	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x112982…
09-07 07:42:04	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x77b780…
09-03 04:23:22	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x747ba5…
09-02 14:40:34	Revolut IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x2752b3…
08-22 18:20:19	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x2d28f2…
08-21 21:54:36	Revolut IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x5dbf0c…
08-18 18:07:49	Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xefe043…
08-16 11:36:51	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x68b8c4…
08-16 05:27:07	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xf4c27b…
08-14 19:54:18	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x267f10…
08-12 16:47:46	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x5b1c78…
08-11 20:03:43	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xc6a13b…
08-04 05:08:47	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x743e95…
08-02 23:18:27	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe6ab19…
07-28 17:27:40	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xe48b1a…
07-27 11:22:01	Revolut IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x8d97b1…
07-15 21:31:58	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa48b80…
07-05 18:28:08	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x71e37f…
07-04 07:32:55	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x793286…
07-04 07:24:17	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb5d36b…
07-03 15:58:01	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbeb5dd…
07-03 15:57:02	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e69c0…
07-03 15:56:08	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfea4ed…
07-03 15:55:10	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5d62cb…
06-26 12:46:11	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x54bdeb…
06-25 00:25:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xbf4f66…
06-24 06:52:08	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x64ef12…
06-23 13:28:19	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x830210…
06-22 18:48:22	Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xc2a004…
06-21 18:18:43	Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcf3234…
06-21 17:56:43	Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x4eb679…
06-17 03:45:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x836f57…
06-17 02:06:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x208c9e…
06-11 16:58:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x140ef7…
06-10 11:44:12	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x7ab44e…
06-05 09:25:58	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x282449…
06-03 03:13:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xe1c58a…
06-01 14:10:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x69b8b8…
05-31 11:02:36	Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x980a25…
05-31 11:02:36	Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x449d29…
05-31 10:51:59	Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x54f5df…
05-28 06:09:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xcc6aa3…
05-27 13:20:16	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x783c14…
05-22 14:19:35	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xc1d1e7…
05-22 14:16:57	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x9d77b4…
05-20 07:13:50	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x09e1a0…
05-19 20:00:27	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xebdd9a…
05-19 20:00:26	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x11427d…
05-19 05:36:39	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x469c76…
05-17 18:51:35	Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x685778…
05-16 05:30:29	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x108c68…
05-14 12:56:58	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xd1f031…
05-12 12:38:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8dc55d…
05-11 20:55:39	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x0c5bd7…
05-09 19:57:35	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x53ba18…
05-07 13:05:49	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x004d53…
05-07 13:05:14	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x4e1897…
05-05 11:31:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x84c07d…
05-04 13:20:36	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x773053…
05-01 06:54:16	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xf6e210…
04-30 10:24:38	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe6b7be…
04-30 02:24:46	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0767c4…
04-29 11:36:14	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xbe8b4e…
04-29 11:28:58	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe095ef…
04-29 09:44:06	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6c0300…
04-14 10:15:41	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$22	0xc5d4e4…