Lighthearted-Sick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$163

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,940

lifetime

Volume

$53.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-11 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

91% 33% $-163

Other

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	43	$3.6K	1,841	2,713	-872	open	—	08-11 18:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	152	$2.6K	1,786	1,786	+0	open	—	04-06 02:25
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	49	$2.1K	1,453	1,070	+383	open	—	05-29 19:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	59	$2.0K	3,211	3,211	+0	open	—	04-03 15:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	21	$2.0K	1,411	1,411	+0	Yes	+$335	05-09 13:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	24	$1.5K	1,197	1,024	+173	open	—	05-26 16:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	50	$1.1K	842	1,073	-232	open	—	06-18 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	18	$1.0K	1,419	542	+877	Yes	$-483	05-08 19:18
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	32	$1.0K	1,276	789	+487	open	—	03-30 12:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	39	$996	1,498	1,498	+0	open	—	04-20 14:52
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	25	$977	2,736	2,279	+456	open	—	04-07 22:34
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	35	$947	818	637	+181	open	—	03-30 13:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	15	$895	576	576	+0	open	—	05-23 14:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	60	$844	720	720	+0	open	—	03-23 14:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	40	$789	1,329	1,184	+145	open	—	06-15 00:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$783	541	541	+0	Yes	$-15	05-04 18:51
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	7	$760	588	330	+258	open	—	04-20 21:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$713	856	868	-12	open	—	04-07 23:08
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	29	$693	657	365	+292	open	—	04-19 22:05
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	71	$683	422	501	-79	open	—	03-07 03:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	21	$666	845	845	+0	open	—	03-26 15:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	14	$620	575	141	+434	open	—	05-04 21:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$597	433	433	+0	open	—	03-12 17:53
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	36	$595	1,397	127	+1,270	open	—	08-08 16:59
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	12	$588	538	208	+330	open	—	04-21 20:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	12	$581	334	334	-0	open	—	04-17 15:01
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	6	$580	315	462	-146	open	—	06-19 02:46
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	44	$551	718	718	+0	open	—	04-22 02:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$533	538	538	+0	open	—	04-22 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$524	296	296	+0	open	—	05-07 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:10:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0xc0bed8…
08-11 11:49:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x7a5892…
08-11 11:40:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x724a5e…
08-11 11:32:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x73ea4a…
08-11 11:30:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x2fd1f3…
08-11 11:27:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc12891…
08-11 01:40:22	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0x0ccaa7…
08-08 16:59:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	128	32¢	$41	0xd2408b…
08-05 02:18:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x569a37…
08-04 07:41:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0ad6c3…
08-04 07:30:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x5c7658…
08-02 18:43:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe736b8…
08-02 18:40:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbf2ca6…
08-02 07:47:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xc1cab1…
08-02 06:14:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	132	81¢	$107	0x353893…
07-31 21:28:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x64068e…
07-31 21:03:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0x1adbf1…
07-31 21:02:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x434e40…
07-31 21:00:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xceb871…
07-31 10:18:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0x8fb268…
07-31 10:08:06	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x493cd2…
07-30 18:44:53	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x60a5cf…
07-30 17:01:39	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x4b4c44…
07-30 17:00:35	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4c4ced…
07-30 17:00:30	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xd8d736…
07-29 11:52:00	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x7cb356…
07-27 19:07:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xf749b7…
07-27 19:07:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x561b46…
07-27 19:07:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x4a7ee7…
07-27 19:06:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	87	77¢	$67	0xa90cf7…
07-27 16:29:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0x5e84d6…
07-27 15:25:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	118	43¢	$51	0xebc207…
07-27 15:25:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	118	43¢	$51	0x009520…
07-27 10:51:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0x98e213…
07-26 14:12:07	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x4e9dfa…
07-26 11:48:49	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	125	46¢	$58	0xf910fd…
07-26 11:48:49	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xb28e7d…
07-26 01:35:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	127	75¢	$95	0xa927dd…
07-26 00:13:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	140	76¢	$106	0xe58bab…
07-25 23:31:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	184	76¢	$140	0x5dee71…
07-25 23:31:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	184	76¢	$140	0x17a1a3…
07-25 22:09:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xaa4091…
07-25 21:38:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x63ef7b…
07-25 21:30:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xdcea9e…
07-25 21:22:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	69	45¢	$31	0x4e05c3…
07-24 21:57:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x7769cd…
07-24 21:04:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x650673…
07-24 19:36:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0x87f870…
07-24 17:32:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x599ba1…
07-23 22:03:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xc3974d…
07-23 19:13:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xad6e62…
07-23 15:43:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xa18b3c…
07-23 12:45:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	90	77¢	$69	0x9788a1…
07-22 16:38:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	57¢	$66	0xe1cb6a…
07-22 16:19:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x21985f…
07-22 14:05:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xfc8bd6…
07-22 14:03:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x6f7c48…
07-22 14:02:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	62	47¢	$29	0x39f0d0…
07-22 14:00:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	62	46¢	$29	0x7122ff…
07-22 08:35:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x9c5ba3…
07-22 06:43:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x8da8df…
07-22 06:41:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xc6d217…
07-21 18:38:39	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	97	20¢	$20	0x27b8e3…
07-21 18:38:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	59	20¢	$12	0x0046cc…
07-21 17:15:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x4634c2…
07-21 17:15:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3668a1…
07-21 17:03:52	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xd01d43…
07-21 17:03:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x46f2f8…
07-21 17:02:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x34af02…
07-21 16:52:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0xb986c9…
07-21 05:18:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	62	64¢	$40	0x793f96…
07-21 05:17:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	62	64¢	$40	0xeb3a71…
07-20 23:38:42	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc1e3de…
07-20 16:21:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0x1b685f…
07-20 11:49:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x8d2b55…
07-20 11:47:12	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x89b5f9…
07-20 11:47:10	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xedd6a8…
07-20 11:47:10	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0xdc1a25…
07-20 09:54:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	52	59¢	$31	0xe36c75…
07-20 09:54:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xba4986…
07-19 18:25:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3d6671…
07-19 16:11:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x2b6c79…
07-18 20:33:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0x9a9602…
07-18 17:21:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x4d3728…
07-18 17:20:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xefbdce…
07-18 16:52:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xfde2eb…
07-18 16:52:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe4a7b3…
07-18 16:51:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8e7668…
07-18 16:51:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6f9250…
07-16 21:16:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	75	77¢	$58	0xcf42f6…
07-16 20:30:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	76	57¢	$43	0xd3fa00…
07-16 15:40:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	75	77¢	$58	0xc200e4…
07-16 11:40:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x8de274…
07-16 01:07:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	97	77¢	$75	0x29598a…
07-16 01:06:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xf6205b…
07-16 01:06:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x923e19…
07-16 01:06:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x7c6b27…
07-16 01:06:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x59788e…
07-16 01:06:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$0	0xf66139…
07-16 01:06:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xda1fbf…