Realized P&L
-$163
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,452
lifetime
Volume
$40.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$972
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-09 22:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
92% 33% $-163
Other
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +191 $186 98¢ $187 +$1 05-31 11:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +159 $127 90¢ $143 +$15 05-31 15:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -144 $-132 94¢ $-134 $-2 05-31 09:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +150 $118 89¢ $134 +$15 06-02 17:34
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +142 $117 82¢ $117 $-0 06-08 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +151 $101 74¢ $111 +$10 06-04 22:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +145 $101 72¢ $104 +$3 06-05 06:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +14 $13 97¢ $14 +$0 06-09 22:44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-27 76¢ $-10 +$18 06-09 21:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $7 55¢ $8 +$1 06-04 23:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-8 63¢ $-8 +$1 06-05 22:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:45