(anonymous) 0x856ac2…0f4ea2
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$687
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
19
Trades
1,099
lifetime
Volume
$350.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$319
Open exposure
$138.2K
27 positions
First seen
2026-07-21
last 10-26 08:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
70% 91% +$1,870
Other
30% 100% +$624
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +42,436 $41,052 98¢ $41.4K +$344 10-23 16:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +24,824 $24,554 100¢ $24.7K +$184 10-09 11:58
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +17,532 $17,270 97¢ $17.0K -$237 10-19 06:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,000 $9,745 96¢ $9.6K -$120 10-03 19:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +9,000 $8,926 99¢ $8.9K +$6 10-20 16:32
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +5,779 $5,623 99¢ $5.7K +$78 10-12 19:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,913 $5,691 96¢ $5.7K -$20 10-03 18:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,500 $4,171 98¢ $4.4K +$241 10-19 05:10
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +4,090 $3,929 98¢ $4.0K +$75 10-19 22:06
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,125 $3,053 98¢ $3.1K +$11 10-04 16:17
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +3,155 $3,072 94¢ $3.0K -$91 10-23 10:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,501 $2,101 82¢ $2.0K -$63 10-03 17:14
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +2,008 $1,937 96¢ $1.9K -$8 10-23 14:41
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,328 92¢ $1.4K +$45 10-17 19:57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,500 $1,365 92¢ $1.4K +$8 10-19 05:16
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +1,116 $1,087 95¢ $1.1K -$31 10-23 16:57
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +1,001 $961 97¢ $970 +$9 10-05 04:34
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +815 $804 98¢ $803 -$1 10-23 06:23
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +551 $542 99¢ $547 +$5 10-19 10:48
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +252 $244 96¢ $242 -$2 10-09 09:04
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +151 $148 98¢ $148 +$0 10-18 06:55
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +103 $100 96¢ $99 -$1 10-03 22:56
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$2 10-04 14:44
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +4 -$128 98¢ $3 +$131 10-22 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-04 14:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-04 14:01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +0 -$123 97¢ $0 +$123 10-20 05:43