(anonymous) 0x81f446…d1a1cd
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
85
lifetime
Volume
$373
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$133
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 18:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
57% — —
Other
43% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +198 $50 30¢ $58 +$8 07-21 18:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +77 $21 26¢ $20 $-1 07-06 15:47
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +109 $12 12¢ $14 +$2 07-19 17:33
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +36 $8 28¢ $10 +$2 07-19 17:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 $-7 34¢ $-7 +$0 07-06 15:48
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +71 $5 8¢ $5 +$0 07-06 15:46
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +101 $5 4¢ $4 $-1 07-17 16:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +90 $4 4¢ $4 $-0 07-19 17:18
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes +83 $2 4¢ $3 +$1 07-19 17:18
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +118 $4 2¢ $3 $-1 07-06 15:46
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +29 $2 8¢ $2 +$0 07-19 17:20
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +21 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 07-17 16:12
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +18 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 07-21 18:54