Realized P&L
+$651
Unrealized P&L
-$3.13K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
217
Trades
464
lifetime
Volume
$99.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$2.05K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-03 09:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
90% 48% +$4,132
Politics
9% 36% -$3,480
Crypto
1% 32% -$55
Sports
0% 100% +$54
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +7,911 $1,865 8¢ $593 -$1,272 10-02 09:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +495 $287 98¢ $485 +$198 09-03 10:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +7,741 $1,006 4¢ $344 -$662 09-03 14:57
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +3,219 $346 5¢ $156 -$190 10-02 09:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,933 $1,112 6¢ $126 -$986 08-03 19:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,167 $150 11¢ $123 -$27 10-03 09:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +352 $50 16¢ $55 +$5 10-03 09:18
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +999 $100 4¢ $45 -$55 07-25 21:12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +529 $100 8¢ $45 -$55 07-25 21:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +469 $50 8¢ $35 -$15 08-03 20:42
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +406 $20 2¢ $10 -$10 07-25 21:28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,473 $30 1¢ $9 -$21 09-09 11:40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +5,740 $11 0¢ $9 -$3 08-25 11:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +402 $8 2¢ $8 +$1 09-12 07:40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +1,700 $14 0¢ $4 -$9 09-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +521 $3 0¢ $1 -$1 08-22 09:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +855 $20 0¢ $1 -$19 06-17 05:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +509 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 08-05 09:25