(anonymous) 0xafa7c2…1f6e67
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Realized P&L
+$434
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
900
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$503
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-21 20:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
89% 50% +$434
Other
11% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +127 $88 82¢ $105 +$17 06-15 14:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +87 $79 89¢ $78 $-1 07-19 18:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +114 $56 64¢ $73 +$17 06-05 02:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +64 $56 88¢ $57 +$0 06-28 15:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -76 $-60 70¢ $-53 +$7 07-22 08:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +59 $40 78¢ $47 +$6 06-04 22:43
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +41 $34 88¢ $36 +$2 06-08 07:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +62 $30 56¢ $34 +$5 07-20 16:21
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +21 $21 95¢ $20 $-1 06-20 12:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 07-11 18:34