(anonymous) 0xafa7c2…1f6e67
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$366
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$344
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 02:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70% — —
Other
30% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -67 $-62 99¢ $-66 $-4 05-07 11:00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No +73 $63 89¢ $65 +$3 05-09 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -50 $-33 76¢ $-38 $-5 05-07 11:00
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +33 $28 80¢ $26 $-1 05-09 18:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +29 $26 88¢ $26 $-0 05-09 18:56
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +30 $26 80¢ $24 $-3 05-09 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +28 $22 78¢ $22 +$0 05-07 21:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -21 $-15 84¢ $-18 $-3 05-06 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -36 $-14 48¢ $-17 $-3 05-07 11:00
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +17 $16 88¢ $15 $-1 05-10 02:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +17 $13 84¢ $14 +$2 05-06 16:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +9 $8 85¢ $7 $-0 05-09 19:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +8 $5 63¢ $5 $-0 05-09 18:40