(anonymous) 0xafa7c2…1f6e67
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Realized P&L
+$434
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
800
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$369
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-01 10:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
89% 50% +$434
Other
11% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +127 $88 74¢ $94 +$7 06-15 14:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +114 $56 56¢ $64 +$8 06-05 02:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +64 $56 90¢ $57 +$1 06-28 15:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +59 $40 76¢ $45 +$5 06-04 22:43
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +41 $34 86¢ $35 +$1 06-08 07:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -26 $-23 86¢ $-23 $-0 06-24 17:36
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +21 $21 94¢ $20 $-1 06-20 12:12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 06-08 07:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +24 $10 60¢ $14 +$4 06-27 07:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-26 11:38