Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$434

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

Trades

956

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-11 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

88% 50% +$434

Other

12% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	38	$947	634	480	+154	open	—	05-29 19:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	24	$812	474	540	-67	open	—	08-11 18:09
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	15	$575	350	380	-31	open	—	06-19 02:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$399	289	364	-74	open	—	06-18 20:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	19	$389	320	267	+53	open	—	05-27 11:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	28	$364	394	394	+0	open	—	04-22 03:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$355	246	246	+0	Yes	$-1	05-04 18:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	9	$334	366	133	+233	Yes	+$116	05-09 13:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	13	$333	420	0	+420	open	—	07-31 21:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	12	$295	362	0	+362	open	—	07-15 11:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	22	$240	284	284	+0	open	—	04-22 13:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	11	$240	154	154	+0	No	$-6	05-04 15:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$234	428	359	+69	open	—	06-15 00:47
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	6	$210	262	21	+240	open	—	07-15 12:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	28	$202	472	46	+426	open	—	08-08 16:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$197	127	127	+0	open	—	05-23 14:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	13	$191	131	119	+12	open	—	05-07 03:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	25	$177	283	283	+0	open	—	04-20 15:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$161	119	119	+0	open	—	06-15 03:37
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	14	$160	156	57	+99	open	—	07-12 09:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$154	502	0	+502	Yes	+$326	05-08 19:25
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	11	$154	396	270	+126	open	—	06-18 19:59
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	10	$153	247	0	+247	open	—	07-12 09:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$141	337	332	+5	open	—	06-26 11:38
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	12	$138	131	72	+59	open	—	04-19 22:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	13	$136	143	13	+130	open	—	05-05 06:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$135	155	0	+155	open	—	05-29 17:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	7	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	5	$132	101	57	+44	open	—	04-20 21:28
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	9	$131	117	47	+71	open	—	04-25 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:09:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x6536ed…
08-11 11:49:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x7e8a27…
08-11 11:30:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x75256d…
08-11 11:27:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x4f2c99…
08-11 11:16:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x47521f…
08-11 01:39:46	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x9ed914…
08-08 16:59:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0xe62f8a…
08-08 03:36:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x99745e…
08-08 03:25:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5ecc5c…
08-08 03:14:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7dac65…
08-07 16:52:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd3f099…
08-06 21:04:53	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	62	70¢	$43	0x123307…
08-06 04:15:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xcd4360…
08-05 02:18:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xd9de3f…
08-04 07:29:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x9f5fe0…
08-02 18:39:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x77d18a…
08-02 07:46:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x99ee85…
08-02 06:14:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0x0ec10b…
07-31 21:27:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x52bf01…
07-31 21:01:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x598076…
07-31 21:01:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x355209…
07-31 20:57:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x99a266…
07-31 10:18:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0xc3f598…
07-31 10:07:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x630b60…
07-30 22:31:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xca57b7…
07-30 17:00:26	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0d94d9…
07-29 11:50:56	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0xac64ef…
07-27 19:06:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	28	77¢	$22	0xc2f545…
07-27 16:29:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xe9a6b4…
07-27 15:25:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x3d1ce6…
07-27 10:50:37	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xcbe3f6…
07-27 09:19:36	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0x5d66f3…
07-26 14:12:01	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	79	49¢	$39	0x015831…
07-26 13:39:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xdec5cd…
07-26 11:48:24	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0x068cfa…
07-26 01:35:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0xf4d3a5…
07-26 00:13:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x01288d…
07-25 23:31:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	59	76¢	$44	0xd2d740…
07-25 21:37:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa8919c…
07-25 21:30:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xbf2783…
07-25 21:22:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xbde593…
07-25 01:17:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6fec0f…
07-24 21:56:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xb51ff2…
07-24 21:04:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x33937e…
07-24 19:35:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$20	0x41c225…
07-24 17:32:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xf04621…
07-24 07:15:00	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x275d26…
07-23 22:02:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x0b6307…
07-23 19:13:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa00894…
07-23 15:43:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0d24b4…
07-23 12:44:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xd86afe…
07-22 16:38:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x6c3f2c…
07-22 16:19:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x21c914…
07-22 14:03:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xa0a320…
07-22 14:03:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x6f97b0…
07-22 08:35:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfe913d…
07-21 20:13:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0xac58ef…
07-21 19:54:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x1496a5…
07-21 18:37:45	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x152e28…
07-21 17:14:54	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x1ed2be…
07-21 17:03:00	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x7fd0f8…
07-21 16:52:00	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xbf0fe5…
07-21 05:17:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x7f3547…
07-20 16:21:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xdbd29b…
07-20 16:21:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa8e5e1…
07-20 11:37:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xa9d1f6…
07-20 09:54:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xd8980d…
07-19 18:23:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0x514e31…
07-19 16:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa83192…
07-19 15:02:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	66	40¢	$26	0x1e443d…
07-18 20:33:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xfca550…
07-18 20:33:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x1f660c…
07-18 17:20:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$10	0xc7a181…
07-18 16:51:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0x79e042…
07-18 06:48:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4260f5…
07-17 14:13:55	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xde61cf…
07-16 21:14:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x9f3a46…
07-16 20:27:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x5b1b8e…
07-16 20:26:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x54329c…
07-16 15:40:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x81292b…
07-16 11:39:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x633853…
07-16 01:06:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	78¢	$22	0xa8614f…
07-15 20:41:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	263	79¢	$207	0x3cb1f1…
07-15 19:50:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x5bea4f…
07-15 12:36:26	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x751803…
07-15 11:51:11	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0xc35a0b…
07-15 11:39:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x353329…
07-13 02:50:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0d1342…
07-13 01:47:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcddfae…
07-12 09:59:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xa642a6…
07-12 09:57:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xfdcf69…
07-12 04:46:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x823c7b…
07-12 03:46:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x9617bf…
07-12 00:32:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x8d16b5…
07-11 23:59:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0x5ebf03…
07-11 22:42:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	46	84¢	$39	0xd4a0b2…
07-11 22:27:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x7da9c7…
07-11 22:22:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x8bc955…
07-11 22:16:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x68c3a5…
07-11 19:15:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x639f0c…