(anonymous) 0xd11c5a…660d06
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
1.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
717
lifetime
Volume
$7.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.69K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-29 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
85% 20% $-40
Other
15% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +310 $266 86¢ $265 $-1 06-08 21:01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +287 $241 89¢ $255 +$14 06-08 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +247 $242 100¢ $247 +$5 06-12 11:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +284 $236 86¢ $243 +$7 06-24 17:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +420 $274 50¢ $208 $-66 06-09 14:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +274 $197 74¢ $204 +$7 06-08 21:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +175 $172 100¢ $175 +$3 06-18 00:25
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +132 $129 100¢ $132 +$3 06-29 20:52
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +130 $119 93¢ $121 +$2 06-13 11:46
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +111 $108 100¢ $111 +$3 06-12 20:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +83 $74 100¢ $83 +$9 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +109 $77 75¢ $81 +$4 06-08 21:01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +92 $80 85¢ $78 $-1 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +90 $75 86¢ $77 +$2 06-08 21:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +69 $66 100¢ $69 +$3 06-13 19:46
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +66 $64 100¢ $65 +$1 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +108 $56 57¢ $62 +$6 06-08 21:01
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +59 $45 99¢ $58 +$14 06-08 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +50 $51 100¢ $50 $-1 06-13 04:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$1 06-14 07:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +19 $28 100¢ $19 $-9 06-18 04:00
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-13 08:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$0 06-13 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -13 $-10 99¢ $-13 $-3 06-01 09:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-1 05-31 09:43
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 06-08 21:02
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -3 $-3 86¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 09:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 09:40
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 09:40