(anonymous) 0xd11c5a…660d06 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$294
Unrealized P&L
+$419
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
151
Trades
1,500
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-08 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
81% 64% +$307
Other
19% 67% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +623 $385 92¢ $573 +$188 08-26 20:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +502 $432 90¢ $449 +$18 11-05 10:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +451 $385 95¢ $430 +$45 09-06 00:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +440 $387 92¢ $407 +$21 08-25 22:18
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +275 $267 98¢ $268 +$1 11-05 10:33
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +156 $145 98¢ $152 +$7 11-05 10:33
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +124 $110 96¢ $118 +$8 11-05 10:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026? No +120 $55 92¢ $111 +$56 11-08 12:28
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +122 $103 78¢ $96 -$7 11-05 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +83 $68 84¢ $70 +$2 11-05 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +84 $63 78¢ $66 +$3 11-07 22:25
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +66 $54 93¢ $61 +$7 11-02 08:00
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 93¢ $46 +$2 08-27 16:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -51 -$83 88¢ $-45 +$38 11-06 20:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +69 $46 66¢ $45 $0 11-05 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +57 $36 64¢ $37 +$1 11-05 10:33
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +32 $31 95¢ $31 +$0 11-05 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +32 $25 75¢ $24 -$1 11-05 15:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +34 $21 68¢ $23 +$2 11-08 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +37 $18 58¢ $22 +$4 10-29 23:49
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +24 $17 86¢ $21 +$3 11-05 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +26 $18 71¢ $19 +$1 09-26 22:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +107 $29 12¢ $13 -$17 11-05 10:33
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 84¢ $11 +$3 10-06 07:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 65¢ $8 +$0 11-05 10:33
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 10-22 21:33
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $0 60¢ $6 +$6 11-05 10:33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 08-17 12:47
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$31 95¢ $0 +$31 11-07 15:49
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 -$1 11-07 19:39