(anonymous) 0xd11c5a…660d06
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
1.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
596
lifetime
Volume
$7.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-09 14:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
84% 20% $-40
Other
16% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +310 $266 87¢ $270 +$3 06-08 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +420 $274 63¢ $265 $-9 06-09 14:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +299 $248 82¢ $246 $-2 06-08 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +248 $242 98¢ $243 +$0 06-08 21:01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +287 $241 84¢ $242 +$1 06-08 21:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +274 $197 74¢ $202 +$4 06-08 21:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +175 $172 98¢ $172 +$0 06-08 21:01
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +132 $129 97¢ $129 $-1 06-08 21:01
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +130 $119 92¢ $119 $-1 06-08 21:01
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +112 $109 98¢ $109 +$1 06-08 21:01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +92 $80 89¢ $82 +$2 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +109 $77 72¢ $79 +$1 06-08 21:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +83 $74 90¢ $75 +$1 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +90 $75 82¢ $74 $-1 06-08 21:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +76 $73 96¢ $73 $-0 06-08 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 $-0 06-08 21:01
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +66 $64 98¢ $64 $-0 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +108 $56 55¢ $59 +$3 06-08 21:01
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +59 $45 74¢ $44 $-1 06-08 21:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +43 $37 86¢ $37 +$0 06-08 21:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +37 $37 97¢ $36 $-0 06-08 21:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +34 $34 97¢ $33 $-0 06-09 22:44
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -40 $-19 71¢ $-29 $-10 06-01 09:40
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +18 $18 98¢ $18 +$0 06-08 21:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -25 $-11 64¢ $-16 $-5 06-01 09:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -13 $-10 90¢ $-12 $-2 06-01 09:40
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $-0 06-08 21:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 05-31 09:43
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -3 $-3 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 09:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 09:40