(anonymous) 0xd11c5a…660d06
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
1.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
830
lifetime
Volume
$8.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.76K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-20 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
86% 20% $-40
Other
14% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +382 $332 88¢ $338 +$6 07-19 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +362 $299 74¢ $266 $-33 07-19 16:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +291 $244 86¢ $249 +$4 07-20 09:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +432 $280 52¢ $227 $-53 07-18 17:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +274 $197 78¢ $215 +$18 06-08 21:01
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +130 $119 94¢ $122 +$3 06-13 11:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +109 $77 83¢ $90 +$13 06-08 21:01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +94 $81 91¢ $85 +$4 07-18 18:55
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +90 $75 88¢ $80 +$5 06-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +108 $56 64¢ $70 +$14 06-08 21:01
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-08 21:02
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 09:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 09:40
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 09:40