Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.2%

Resolved

Trades

878

lifetime

Volume

$9.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 08-08 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

85% 20% $-40

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	32	$889	774	329	+445	open	—	08-02 06:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$424	544	528	+16	open	—	03-26 15:20
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	11	$395	245	240	+5	open	—	03-30 12:08
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	9	$385	414	414	+0	open	—	03-23 18:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	5	$332	382	0	+382	open	—	07-19 18:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	16	$303	479	0	+479	open	—	08-08 03:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$296	174	174	+0	open	—	03-23 18:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	20	$296	174	164	+10	open	—	03-30 13:00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	3	$244	291	0	+291	open	—	07-20 09:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	4	$243	248	1	+247	open	—	06-12 11:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	9	$197	274	0	+274	open	—	06-08 21:01
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	39	$173	396	47	+350	open	—	08-08 16:59
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$172	175	0	+175	open	—	06-18 00:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	6	$165	171	171	+0	open	—	03-23 18:40
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	25	$160	209	169	+40	open	—	04-22 02:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	11	$158	193	0	+193	open	—	07-15 11:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	28	$145	323	95	+228	open	—	04-20 14:07
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	16	$134	442	224	+218	open	—	04-07 23:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	31	$133	118	99	+19	open	—	06-18 04:00
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	4	$130	132	0	+132	open	—	06-29 20:52
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	19	$130	111	57	+54	open	—	07-12 09:59
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	5	$120	130	0	+130	open	—	06-13 11:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	51	$111	77	76	+0	open	—	04-06 02:23
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	5	$109	112	1	+111	open	—	06-12 20:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$109	166	129	+37	open	—	04-03 15:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	03-13 07:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$102	87	56	+31	Yes	$-22	04-26 10:35
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	14	$100	106	45	+61	open	—	04-19 22:06
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	23	$92	61	51	+9	open	—	05-29 15:16
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	11	$91	121	0	+121	open	—	07-31 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:40:00	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x407945…
08-08 16:59:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0xa97532…
08-08 03:38:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xa0df7a…
08-08 03:33:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xdef217…
08-08 03:28:25	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x6ee6df…
08-08 03:21:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x41509b…
08-08 03:15:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x53a627…
08-07 18:52:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x5bdbe4…
08-05 02:18:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x99ee12…
08-04 10:02:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x84658d…
08-04 07:29:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb3acf9…
08-04 06:42:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5f43a1…
08-02 18:39:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x2b661a…
08-02 07:46:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3cb303…
08-02 06:14:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x223bf1…
07-31 21:28:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x4f6ac1…
07-31 21:02:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x670963…
07-31 20:57:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0x04892d…
07-31 10:18:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xbffe8f…
07-31 10:07:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x210403…
07-31 01:08:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7aa15d…
07-30 18:44:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xe0d398…
07-27 19:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x40af5d…
07-27 16:30:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$9	0xcd96b9…
07-27 15:26:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x734196…
07-27 10:51:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xb349de…
07-26 14:12:19	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0x7bfbbb…
07-26 01:35:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x047f5f…
07-26 00:13:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x0c48a2…
07-25 23:31:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	52	76¢	$39	0x0f96e3…
07-25 22:09:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x164041…
07-25 22:07:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf8fa12…
07-25 21:38:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x140942…
07-25 21:30:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc329d1…
07-25 21:22:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0xd2c3e3…
07-25 01:15:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x06fb30…
07-24 21:56:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xca3482…
07-24 21:04:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xc2eba9…
07-24 19:36:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xa5a34c…
07-24 17:32:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x925f51…
07-23 22:03:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x66fe2b…
07-23 19:13:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1a9179…
07-23 15:43:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8789ae…
07-23 12:44:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x7dd5c8…
07-22 08:35:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x615497…
07-22 06:41:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2db12d…
07-21 20:13:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0xcf358a…
07-21 18:37:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x976e71…
07-21 16:52:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x4b3b83…
07-20 09:56:00	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x79aceb…
07-19 18:23:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x646166…
07-19 16:11:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xde2f55…
07-19 15:02:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x6300ab…
07-18 20:33:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x847d57…
07-18 18:55:19	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xd27211…
07-18 17:20:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x947d39…
07-18 17:13:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54be47…
07-17 14:14:19	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x9e1e8b…
07-16 21:14:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x50300f…
07-16 15:40:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	77¢	$18	0xa611ad…
07-16 01:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x57dda4…
07-15 22:00:59	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x31de30…
07-15 20:42:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	153	78¢	$119	0xb555a1…
07-15 12:36:55	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xf0cf47…
07-15 11:51:14	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x2cab18…
07-15 11:39:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x4ce7a5…
07-15 11:39:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	7	87¢	$7	0x00ff40…
07-14 19:54:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa976d8…
07-13 02:50:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x9d80b0…
07-13 02:49:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x577116…
07-13 01:49:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdfde22…
07-13 01:47:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0f524b…
07-13 01:45:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5aa3ff…
07-13 01:44:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xadb0b2…
07-12 09:59:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x87e236…
07-12 08:07:46	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeedfce…
07-12 04:46:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x977e89…
07-12 03:46:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x3ee45b…
07-12 00:04:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xb9e30f…
07-12 00:00:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0x480a0b…
07-11 22:42:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x5525b0…
07-11 22:27:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x13d385…
07-11 22:27:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x97e994…
07-11 22:16:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3f5427…
07-11 19:15:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa0b6a8…
07-11 17:22:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0xcefcc3…
07-11 14:20:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0xd02652…
07-11 14:17:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xdf434c…
07-11 13:40:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x2c9dd5…
07-11 13:10:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x1186b1…
07-11 12:38:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x02b1a2…
07-11 12:27:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe05b35…
07-11 12:26:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xab490d…
07-10 21:59:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x96b1f4…
07-10 21:54:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xb00cb5…
07-10 15:46:07	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xddec64…
07-10 14:30:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x25a6aa…
07-10 13:59:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x4a922d…
07-10 13:46:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xa581d9…
07-10 13:37:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x3ab971…