(anonymous) 0xd11c5a…660d06 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$412
Hit rate
41.2%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
34
1,515 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$454
$13.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-12 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
81% 64% +$268
Other
19% 67% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +623 $385 94¢ $588 +$204 08-26 20:34
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +451 $385 95¢ $427 +$42 09-06 00:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +440 $387 93¢ $409 +$22 08-25 22:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +381 $316 90¢ $343 +$27 11-11 22:02
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +275 $267 96¢ $264 -$3 11-05 10:33
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +156 $145 95¢ $148 +$3 11-05 10:33
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +124 $110 96¢ $119 +$9 11-05 10:33
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +122 $103 85¢ $104 +$1 11-05 10:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +83 $21 94¢ $79 +$58 11-09 09:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +95 $71 76¢ $72 +$1 11-11 13:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +83 $68 86¢ $72 +$3 11-05 10:33
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +99 $65 70¢ $69 +$4 11-09 23:53
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +66 $54 94¢ $62 +$7 11-02 08:00
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 97¢ $48 +$3 08-27 16:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -51 -$83 92¢ $-48 +$36 11-06 20:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +56 $37 66¢ $37 +$0 11-12 08:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +57 $36 64¢ $37 +$1 11-05 10:33
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 95¢ $28 $0 11-10 00:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +32 $25 76¢ $24 -$1 11-05 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +37 $18 55¢ $20 +$3 10-29 23:49
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026 No +24 $17 82¢ $20 +$2 11-05 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +26 $18 72¢ $19 +$1 09-26 22:36
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 84¢ $11 +$3 10-06 07:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +13 $9 68¢ $9 $0 11-10 19:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 67¢ $8 +$1 11-05 10:33
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +107 $29 6¢ $7 -$22 11-05 10:33
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +7 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 10-22 21:33
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $0 60¢ $6 +$6 11-05 10:33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -3 -$3 96¢ $-3 $0 08-17 12:47
saudi troops enter sanaa by december 31 2026 No +3 $2 92¢ $3 +$0 10-25 13:40