Aged-Drum 0xdc700b…e3cc56
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$194
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
35.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,279
lifetime
Volume
$74.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$4.35K
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 06-30 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
89% 40% $-194
Other
11% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +880 $608 73¢ $642 +$34 06-15 14:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +794 $391 56¢ $445 +$53 06-05 02:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +422 $367 88¢ $373 +$6 06-28 15:24
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +354 $345 100¢ $353 +$8 05-31 11:59
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +392 $326 86¢ $336 +$9 06-08 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +390 $266 74¢ $287 +$21 06-04 22:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +284 $227 100¢ $284 +$56 05-29 19:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -203 $-198 100¢ $-202 $-5 06-14 07:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -228 $-196 86¢ $-198 $-1 06-24 17:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +190 $188 100¢ $190 +$2 06-12 11:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -172 $-169 100¢ $-172 $-3 06-13 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -166 $-154 100¢ $-166 $-12 05-31 09:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -145 $-141 100¢ $-145 $-4 06-13 19:45
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +154 $150 93¢ $143 $-8 06-20 12:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -106 $175 100¢ $-106 $-281 06-18 20:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +119 $99 86¢ $102 +$3 06-08 07:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +157 $59 50¢ $78 +$19 06-27 07:02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +74 $19 99¢ $74 +$54 06-09 21:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-25 80¢ $-25 +$0 06-08 15:54
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -21 $-21 100¢ $-21 $-0 06-12 21:53
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 $-0 06-08 07:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +38 $-8 1¢ $0 +$8 06-14 22:33