Aged-Drum 0xdc700b…e3cc56
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$194
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
35.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
986
lifetime
Volume
$51.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$3.15K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 06-09 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
90% 40% $-194
Other
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +782 $545 72¢ $567 +$22 06-05 06:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +794 $391 55¢ $437 +$46 06-05 02:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +354 $345 98¢ $347 +$2 05-31 11:59
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +392 $326 82¢ $324 $-3 06-08 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +390 $266 74¢ $288 +$23 06-04 22:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +309 $244 87¢ $269 +$25 06-02 17:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +275 $266 97¢ $265 $-0 06-09 23:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +284 $227 90¢ $254 +$27 05-29 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -166 $-154 94¢ $-156 $-1 05-31 09:42
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +119 $99 86¢ $102 +$3 06-08 07:43
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +74 $19 74¢ $55 +$36 06-09 21:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -56 $-20 63¢ $-35 $-15 05-28 12:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-25 80¢ $-25 $-0 06-08 15:54
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -28 $-20 63¢ $-18 +$2 06-09 14:58
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-08 07:43