Realized P&L
-$194
Unrealized P&L
+$318
Hit rate
35.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,456
lifetime
Volume
$83.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$3.06K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-20 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
89% 40% $-194
Other
11%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +880 $608 83¢ $730 +$122 06-15 14:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +794 $391 64¢ $512 +$121 06-05 02:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +449 $392 86¢ $384 $-8 07-20 09:55
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +392 $326 88¢ $347 +$21 06-08 07:44
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +350 $312 88¢ $310 $-2 07-19 18:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +390 $266 78¢ $306 +$40 06-04 22:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +416 $193 52¢ $218 +$25 07-20 16:21
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +154 $150 94¢ $145 $-5 06-20 12:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +95 $65 74¢ $70 +$4 07-19 16:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-25 84¢ $-26 $-1 06-08 15:54
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +17 $15 91¢ $15 +$0 07-18 18:55