Aged-Drum 0xdc700b…e3cc56 Create alert
whale 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$657
Unrealized P&L
+$3.10K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved (90d)
39
Trades (90d)
712
2,514 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$25.3K
$132.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$13.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-15 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
84% 59% -$1,351
Other
16% 56% -$814
Sports
0% 100% +$981
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,910 $2,347 92¢ $3.6K +$1,231 08-26 20:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,637 $984 93¢ $1.5K +$539 11-11 22:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +973 $858 96¢ $937 +$78 08-25 22:18
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +946 $896 97¢ $914 +$18 11-13 11:32
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +955 $798 95¢ $909 +$110 11-06 19:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +841 $741 97¢ $816 +$75 09-05 11:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +639 $362 88¢ $565 +$203 09-04 21:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +566 $315 94¢ $529 +$215 11-06 20:19
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +526 $436 88¢ $463 +$27 10-26 06:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +585 $445 78¢ $454 +$9 11-13 11:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +435 $39 96¢ $415 +$376 11-09 09:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +351 $336 96¢ $337 +$2 11-09 16:16
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +266 $228 95¢ $254 +$26 11-02 08:00
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +231 $206 98¢ $227 +$21 09-06 11:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +328 $216 66¢ $216 +$1 11-13 11:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +327 $223 64¢ $211 -$12 11-13 11:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +252 $239 84¢ $210 -$29 11-12 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +186 $144 80¢ $149 +$6 11-13 11:32
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +132 $45 96¢ $127 +$82 10-02 10:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +228 $110 52¢ $117 +$8 11-12 13:09
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +105 $98 97¢ $102 +$3 09-29 01:10
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +128 $73 76¢ $98 +$24 11-12 18:49
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +101 $76 94¢ $95 +$19 11-03 15:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +128 $88 74¢ $94 +$6 09-26 22:36
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -48 -$19 98¢ $-47 -$28 06-13 17:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +53 $30 81¢ $43 +$13 09-29 18:39
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +34 $3 97¢ $33 +$30 11-12 21:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +38 -$5 86¢ $33 +$37 11-14 22:07
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? No +39 $23 76¢ $30 +$7 11-13 11:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +30 $23 94¢ $28 +$6 10-22 21:32