Aged-Drum 0xdc700b…e3cc56 Create alert
whale 5W streak
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$247
Unrealized P&L
+$3.03K
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved (30d)
16
Trades (30d)
183
2,511 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$9.01K
$132.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$13.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-13 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
84% 59% -$1,351
Other
16% 56% -$814
Sports
0% 100% +$981
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,910 $2,347 92¢ $3.6K +$1,231 08-26 20:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,637 $984 93¢ $1.5K +$535 11-11 22:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +973 $858 96¢ $937 +$78 08-25 22:18
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +946 $896 96¢ $905 +$9 11-13 11:32
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +955 $798 95¢ $904 +$105 11-06 19:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +841 $741 96¢ $810 +$68 09-05 11:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +639 $362 88¢ $565 +$203 09-04 21:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +566 $315 92¢ $524 +$209 11-06 20:19
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +526 $436 88¢ $465 +$30 10-26 06:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +585 $445 78¢ $454 +$9 11-13 11:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +435 $39 94¢ $407 +$367 11-09 09:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +351 $336 96¢ $337 +$1 11-09 16:16
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No +266 $228 94¢ $250 +$22 11-02 08:00
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +231 $206 97¢ $224 +$18 09-06 11:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +328 $216 66¢ $218 +$2 11-13 11:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +327 $223 64¢ $209 -$13 11-13 11:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +252 $239 78¢ $198 -$42 11-12 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +186 $144 78¢ $146 +$2 11-13 11:32
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +132 $45 93¢ $123 +$78 10-02 10:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +228 $110 52¢ $117 +$8 11-12 13:09
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +105 $98 96¢ $101 +$2 09-29 01:10
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +128 $73 74¢ $96 +$22 11-12 18:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +128 $88 74¢ $94 +$6 09-26 22:36
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +101 $76 92¢ $93 +$17 11-03 15:34
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +66 $19 86¢ $57 +$38 10-06 07:50
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -48 -$19 97¢ $-47 -$28 06-13 17:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +53 $30 78¢ $41 +$11 09-29 18:39
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +34 $3 97¢ $33 +$30 11-12 21:38
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? No +39 $23 80¢ $31 +$8 11-13 11:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +30 $23 92¢ $28 +$5 10-22 21:32