Limp-Frock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

116

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

94% 57% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:36
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 22:08
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 09:43
israel closes its airspace by june 10	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-10 23:44
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 18:54
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-31 16:07
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-22 18:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-04 15:18
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:36
Les Wexner charged by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:45
Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-29 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 18:14
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-07 07:04
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-28 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-15 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 22:02
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 00:32
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 14c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-31 03:35
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 56 57f	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 18:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 21?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-21 05:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 30c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-12 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 25?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-24 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:43:16	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd4504c…
06-29 18:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x33fb80…
06-29 17:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x013080…
06-29 12:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a5e25…
06-29 02:36:25	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd2508c…
06-28 22:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7f4d8f…
06-28 22:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x25ec4d…
06-28 21:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x357e72…
06-28 07:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0642d1…
06-28 06:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24d977…
06-27 12:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfa4492…
06-27 12:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5466b4…
06-27 12:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x36ef8d…
06-26 09:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf53e12…
06-26 09:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x339e0c…
06-25 12:45:38	Les Wexner charged by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb42ede…
06-25 09:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd3bedb…
06-25 09:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6771f…
06-24 14:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf1a80e…
06-24 13:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9a6364…
06-24 12:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x00a61a…
06-23 13:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0c3cfa…
06-23 12:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf1b381…
06-22 16:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0bab44…
06-22 14:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x08d783…
06-22 12:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6d5709…
06-21 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a0e11…
06-21 06:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe2f17a…
06-21 05:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x361dcc…
06-20 04:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9e329e…
06-20 03:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x99838f…
06-20 01:36:20	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x34b2cd…
06-19 07:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8ae854…
06-19 07:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x590c20…
06-19 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf05128…
06-19 06:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7daa62…
06-16 20:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb8a058…
06-16 20:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6529b9…
06-16 19:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4a5fc8…
06-16 18:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x04a4bb…
06-15 10:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9092ff…
06-15 09:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4ec491…
06-15 08:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1f91dc…
06-15 07:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc98deb…
06-14 09:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xdb8d97…
06-14 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8df88c…
06-14 09:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5bf65e…
06-13 14:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xccd2a9…
06-13 12:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd1ffa7…
06-12 15:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x475376…
06-12 14:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9af510…
06-12 14:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0df349…
06-12 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3663d7…
06-12 11:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0257b2…
06-11 22:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9bd196…
06-11 21:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x06cd15…
06-11 21:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1ab4e8…
06-11 21:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb2f7a3…
06-11 12:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf15888…
06-10 23:44:22	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x116d6e…
06-10 17:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3a45ca…
06-10 16:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3e15e…
06-09 00:01:13	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xbb5eb0…
06-08 04:29:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x03ebcf…
06-08 00:39:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x52e257…
06-07 07:04:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xaecbbf…
06-07 06:58:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0c1cc5…
06-06 22:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe9f8f9…
06-06 22:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x8fe66e…
06-06 13:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xca5913…
06-06 05:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0bc4bd…
06-05 19:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3127c1…
06-05 19:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x71fc16…
06-05 17:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7b1daf…
06-05 06:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5c916a…
06-05 06:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4bfb8a…
06-05 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6512f…
06-04 15:18:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x058105…
06-04 11:29:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xfe5343…
06-03 08:27:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc1b8cd…
06-03 07:57:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 3?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaa3189…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb3e316…
06-02 06:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x013487…
06-01 22:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x138137…
06-01 09:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc47eae…
06-01 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8a26e0…
05-31 19:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x40326d…
05-31 18:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x28d10e…
05-31 18:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe57940…
05-31 18:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2b8a97…
05-31 16:07:11	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xfd1a14…
05-31 14:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x41a445…
05-31 08:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xee47ac…
05-31 03:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x5226e9…
05-30 13:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x25b699…
05-30 03:29:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x63a83c…
05-30 03:28:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x623ff5…
05-29 16:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9bce5e…
05-29 15:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x132dc4…