Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
172
lifetime
Volume
$6.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$379
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-16 21:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90%
Politics
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +122 $25 99¢ $121 +$96 07-16 21:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +85 $75 90¢ $76 +$1 06-19 21:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +61 $50 86¢ $53 +$3 07-16 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $20 48¢ $48 +$28 07-04 19:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 $-0 07-16 21:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-21 09:07
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +17 $15 97¢ $17 +$1 07-16 10:42
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 06-30 22:04
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes -9 $-10 20¢ $-2 +$9 07-04 10:13
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? Yes +10 $4 15¢ $1 $-3 06-01 14:01