Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
106
lifetime
Volume
$3.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$434
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-11 14:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
88%
Politics
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +265 $222 82¢ $216 $-6 06-11 13:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $75 56¢ $57 $-18 06-11 13:11
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +53 $50 93¢ $49 $-1 06-01 11:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 06-11 14:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -42 $-41 99¢ $-41 $-0 06-11 14:16
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -23 $-23 98¢ $-23 +$0 06-03 20:34
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes +14 $4 22¢ $3 $-1 05-30 18:22
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? Yes +10 $4 13¢ $1 $-3 06-01 14:01