Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$432
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$174
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 06-22 11:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
20%
Crypto
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +144 $130 90¢ $131 +$1 06-22 11:09
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +11 $10 89¢ $10 +$0 06-08 04:02
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +8 $7 89¢ $7 $-0 06-22 11:07
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-22 11:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-08 04:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 06-22 11:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-22 11:04
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? No +7 $5 62¢ $4 $-1 06-08 04:03