Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$452
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$169
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-20 01:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
22%
Crypto
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +144 $130 92¢ $134 +$4 06-22 11:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 07-20 01:29
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 $-0 06-22 11:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-08 04:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-22 11:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 07-20 01:29
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? No +7 $5 44¢ $3 $-2 06-08 04:03