Agreeable-Opportunist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-05 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% 100% +$8

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes		-34	$-27	84¢	$-29	$-2	05-28 14:47
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No		+30	$10	29¢	$9	$-1	05-28 16:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	12	$180	175	215	-41	open	—	03-31 01:23
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	14	$168	189	115	+74	open	—	03-18 09:49
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	7	$151	260	174	+86	open	—	03-26 11:32
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	5	$112	84	84	+0	open	—	02-03 15:02
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	8	$100	105	105	+0	open	—	03-24 18:21
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$98	199	158	+40	open	—	04-08 08:50
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	7	$85	109	77	+32	open	—	01-28 00:31
will the uks annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in december	5	$82	31	64	-33	open	—	01-16 16:36
will the uks monthly inflation be 0pt3 in december	4	$72	53	49	+4	open	—	01-20 22:07
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	2	$71	148	148	+0	open	—	04-16 06:03
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	7	$70	53	53	+0	open	—	03-06 14:06
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	4	$69	47	47	+0	open	—	01-23 21:57
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	3	$66	78	0	+78	open	—	01-28 00:48
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	6	$60	51	51	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 00:33
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	4	$52	47	23	+24	open	—	04-07 09:40
will canadas annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in december	5	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	01-14 11:00
will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	5	$45	34	27	+7	open	—	02-12 00:54
will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt2 and 1pt5	2	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	02-09 22:14
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	4	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	02-15 14:47
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?	2	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	04-06 09:53
will the uks annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in december	8	$40	48	47	+1	open	—	01-20 13:53
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$38	32	32	+0	open	—	03-26 13:38
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	5	$38	75	89	-14	open	—	04-16 06:04
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	5	$32	45	18	+27	open	—	03-16 12:18
no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	3	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	01-28 12:30
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	02-13 00:37
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?	2	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	04-16 06:31
will canadas annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in december	2	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	01-16 20:57
will the liberal democratic party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	2	$27	31	31	+0	open	—	02-08 12:38
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	1	$27	0	34	-34	open	—	05-28 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 12:08:31	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0xbb0910…
05-29 12:41:35	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x71f688…
05-28 16:41:30	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x482b52…
05-28 14:47:22	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0x24b245…
05-08 16:27:49	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xa02cd2…
05-08 08:52:06	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc65b3c…
04-22 08:29:22	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1e3c37…
04-21 15:04:10	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x86fd6f…
04-17 17:59:34	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe3d970…
04-16 06:31:48	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x58360e…
04-16 06:04:56	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0x033517…
04-16 06:04:28	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x884975…
04-16 06:03:50	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	148	28¢	$41	0xcbe2a8…
04-08 08:50:57	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	15¢	$7	0xa7d7f7…
04-07 09:40:47	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9bd2fc…
04-06 09:53:29	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xb49a4e…
04-01 12:42:11	will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x819439…
04-01 10:00:19	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2cc750…
04-01 09:57:41	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	148	20¢	$30	0x0afd59…
03-31 01:23:07	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xd38fca…
03-29 12:11:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x61bef7…
03-27 16:36:15	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x8836c9…
03-27 09:41:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x247f17…
03-27 09:36:25	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1040ce…
03-27 09:31:15	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x29dc60…
03-26 19:13:29	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x6c144c…
03-26 19:08:03	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x046b91…
03-26 13:38:17	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x24a438…
03-26 11:32:49	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	86	27¢	$23	0x710b4c…
03-26 09:20:39	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x1348b4…
03-24 20:56:27	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	87	39¢	$34	0x2f2339…
03-24 18:21:27	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$11	0x15d6d5…
03-23 19:24:45	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x514828…
03-23 08:31:19	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x60bc46…
03-21 11:49:55	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0x68d50e…
03-21 11:49:13	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x44e2d3…
03-20 19:03:33	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x17587c…
03-19 21:14:45	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	26¢	$22	0x54b1a9…
03-19 17:30:05	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x295898…
03-19 00:33:39	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x151288…
03-18 23:13:01	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xb6ab11…
03-18 20:36:09	will the uks november 2025january 2026 unemployment rate be 5pt3	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc64e06…
03-18 09:49:57	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0xe29a30…
03-17 12:25:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xbd0b44…
03-17 11:45:25	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x25b76e…
03-16 12:18:31	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbcde20…
03-14 20:34:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xede3dc…
03-14 01:22:33	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	207	2¢	$5	0x4c207b…
03-13 08:35:01	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc0e090…
03-13 08:29:57	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x790ccb…
03-13 08:29:29	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x29db45…
03-11 20:34:27	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x56cc10…
03-11 12:03:29	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x83e157…
03-11 09:33:35	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x06bb31…
03-11 09:31:19	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xee5985…
03-10 11:01:55	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x9233cd…
03-09 21:37:37	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xd5f2e1…
03-08 22:51:19	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	Yes	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0x06f3a1…
03-08 17:07:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x10c9c7…
03-08 13:58:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xd05ad7…
03-06 14:06:25	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xe1ca9d…
03-06 10:09:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0xcbd576…
03-05 02:20:19	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x969cf3…
03-04 20:35:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0x4bd90e…
03-04 19:23:31	will the south african reserve bank decrease the repo rate after the march meeting	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xcbb956…
03-04 19:18:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0xaf92b0…
03-04 13:13:43	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0x67ebfc…
03-04 11:42:27	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0xdbbcd7…
03-02 19:00:11	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xf1e804…
03-01 14:36:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	45¢	$36	0x977402…
02-28 13:30:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1892fd…
02-25 20:12:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	38¢	$7	0x594b87…
02-25 20:12:32	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xb99013…
02-25 12:09:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2a9655…
02-24 17:52:24	will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x6a8b36…
02-24 17:49:46	will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x573bb2…
02-23 16:24:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0x70f6c4…
02-23 00:00:50	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xb0be4b…
02-22 23:59:02	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x10f994…
02-21 02:13:20	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdbef2a…
02-20 09:29:16	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0xf9cf64…
02-20 09:28:44	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$7	0xc35250…
02-18 08:03:06	will the south african reserve bank decrease the repo rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1752ac…
02-18 07:53:10	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x0ebe8f…
02-18 07:43:28	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xe10a1f…
02-17 10:42:17	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x15c605…
02-17 10:40:27	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x83e54e…
02-15 21:36:49	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x8041ba…
02-15 21:36:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x6f3505…
02-15 14:47:45	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x7a340e…
02-15 14:47:27	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x865980…
02-15 14:46:25	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x1ee439…
02-15 14:38:45	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x1d8156…
02-13 19:44:55	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x737e09…
02-13 19:16:35	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb8f24c…
02-13 16:54:11	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1c6dbe…
02-13 00:38:23	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xa9094d…
02-13 00:37:39	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x3322a1…
02-12 21:20:09	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	26	44¢	$12	0x609ada…
02-12 21:19:49	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x3c17d7…