Past-Polish 0x3c3024…77d8ab
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$50
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
550
Trades
2,279
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$91
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 10:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
53% 65% -$2
Politics
40% 67% +$46
Tech
3% 62% -$13
Crypto
2% 67% +$7
Sports
2% 67% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -19 -$13 56¢ $-11 +$2 10-22 02:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -13 -$8 66¢ $-8 $0 09-03 08:53
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -9 -$7 93¢ $-8 -$1 05-13 09:25
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -8 -$7 95¢ $-8 -$1 05-07 10:09
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-7 -$1 05-07 08:55
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -8 -$6 96¢ $-7 -$2 05-25 02:56
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -8 -$7 95¢ $-7 -$1 05-11 10:46
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $4 +$0 07-27 03:19
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 07-21 09:38
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +4 $2 100¢ $4 +$1 06-22 05:35
Will Alberta join the US? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 $0 06-30 06:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-17 13:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-16 13:31
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-11 10:22
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 08-03 04:56
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 06-05 03:57
US recession by end of 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-21 09:39
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:31
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-26 05:51
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-23 10:08
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 08-04 10:15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $0 88¢ $1 +$1 07-28 10:51
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 07-08 07:01
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +1 $2 13¢ $0 -$1 05-13 10:23
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 08-04 06:03
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +0 $0 89¢ $0 $0 07-03 06:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 06-26 08:55
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 09-02 10:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 56¢ $0 $0 07-14 12:42
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 $1 74¢ $0 -$1 07-06 06:11